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Crecimiento económico y capital humano: Un análisis de cointegración para Colombia en el periodo 1960 – 2012

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  • Jonny Castro Tapias

Abstract

En este documento se busca determinar si el capital humano medido como anos de escolaridad promedio, tiene un impacto positivo en el crecimiento económico en el largo plazo para el periodo 1950 – 2012, usando series de tiempo se busca determinar la relación de largo plazo entre el capital, medido como formación bruta de capital fijo, el capital humano y el producto interno bruto. Usando la técnica de cointegracion de Johansen (1988, 1991) y los modelos de corrección de errores (MCE). La estimación de los modelos de crecimiento económico han empleados variables macroeconómicas para determinar los componentes del crecimiento económico, partiendo del modelo neoclásico de (Solow, 1956), y teniendo en cuenta los postulados de Mankiw, Romer & Weil (1992). Los resultados muestran que de hecho existe un efecto positivo en el largo plazo entre la producción y el capital humano, pero se nota un impacto negativo en la innovación tecnológica, lo que sugiere que se debe tener políticas que incentiven la formación de la educación y la inversión para tener mejores rendimientos en el crecimiento económico en el largo plazo.

Suggested Citation

  • Jonny Castro Tapias, 2014. "Crecimiento económico y capital humano: Un análisis de cointegración para Colombia en el periodo 1960 – 2012," Documentos de Trabajo 12418, Universidad Católica de Colombia.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000444:012418
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • E03 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General - - - Behavioral Macroeconomics
    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
    • I25 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Education - - - Education and Economic Development
    • O47 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence

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