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Efectos de mecanismos institucionales en el precio de la vivienda nueva en Medellín

Author

Listed:
  • John J. García
  • Daniel Mateo Cossio
  • Ricardo Mesa Urhan

Abstract

El objetivo de esta investigación es determinar el impacto que tienen los mecanismos de trasmisión de la política pública en la determinación del precio de la vivienda nueva en Medellín, Colombia. Utilizando un modelo de Vectores Auto Regresivos Estructural los principales resultados evidencian que el impacto de un choque de la Unidad de Valor Real (UVR) sobre el precio de la vivienda nueva en Medellín es que el precio del metro cuadrado es elástico ante variaciones en la UVR en el corto plazo. Además, por medio de un modelo de ecuaciones simultáneas, estimado por Sistema de Ecuaciones Aparentemente no Relacionadas y Mínimos Cuadrados en Tres Etapas, el Fondo de Reserva para la Estabilización de la Cartera Hipotecaria (FRECH) presenta una relación positiva sobre la demanda de vivienda, mientras que la tasa de interés hipotecaria tiene una relación negativa con la demanda. En la medida en que se implementan subsidios como estos, la demanda de vivienda tiende a incrementarse y, a su vez, genera una presión al alza del precio de la vivienda nueva. En este sentido los mecanismos institucionales son un incentivo fundamental para el buen desempeño del sector de la construcción.

Suggested Citation

  • John J. García & Daniel Mateo Cossio & Ricardo Mesa Urhan, 2017. "Efectos de mecanismos institucionales en el precio de la vivienda nueva en Medellín," Documentos de Trabajo de Valor Público 15658, Universidad EAFIT.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000122:015658
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    vivienda nueva; modelo de oferta y demanda; UVR; VARE; SANR; MC3E; Medellín –Colombia;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D43 - Microeconomics - - Market Structure, Pricing, and Design - - - Oligopoly and Other Forms of Market Imperfection
    • L16 - Industrial Organization - - Market Structure, Firm Strategy, and Market Performance - - - Industrial Organization and Macroeconomics; Macroeconomic Industrial Structure
    • L74 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Primary Products and Construction - - - Construction

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