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Lectura de la estadística fiscal


  • Alvaro Montenegro



Este documento hace un recuento de la estadística fiscal colombiana. Sostiene que sería más realista presentar el déficit calculado con la amortización sobre la línea en lugar del tradicional calculado con la amortización bajo la línea; que el concepto del superávit primario carece de sentido económico excepto para los prestamistas; que el déficit consolidado del sector público es una medida engañosa de la situación fiscal y que la meta del déficit debe fijarse en términos del gobierno central y no del consolidado. Encuentra que, con cifras preliminares del 2003, el déficit fiscal del gobierno central continúa excediendo el límite estimado para mantener la deuda estable como proporción del Pib.

Suggested Citation

  • Alvaro Montenegro, 2004. "Lectura de la estadística fiscal," DOCUMENTOS DE ECONOMÍA 003137, UNIVERSIDAD JAVERIANA - BOGOTÁ.
  • Handle: RePEc:col:000108:003137

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Fischer, Stanley & Easterly, William, 1990. "The Economic of the Government Budget Constraint," World Bank Research Observer, World Bank Group, vol. 5(2), pages 127-142, July.
    2. Laurence J. Kotlikoff & Laurence J. Kotlikoff & Willi Leibfritz, 1999. "From Deficit Delusion to the Fiscal Balance Rule: Looking for an Economically Meaningful Way to Assess Fiscal Policy," NBER Chapters,in: Generational Accounting around the World, pages 9-30 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Blejer, Mario I & Cheasty, Adrienne, 1991. "The Measurement of Fiscal Deficits: Analytical and Methodological Issues," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 29(4), pages 1644-1678, December.
    4. Mauricio Cabrera G. & Jorge Iván González, 2000. "La disyuntiva no es pagar o sisar la deuda, es pagarla a sobreprecio o a un precio justo," Revista de Economía Institucional, Universidad Externado de Colombia - Facultad de Economía, vol. 2(3), pages 185-194, July-dece.
    5. Antonio Hernández Gamarra & Luis I. Lozano Espitia & Martha Misas Arango, 2000. "La disyuntiva de la deuda pública: pagar o sisar," Revista de Economía Institucional, Universidad Externado de Colombia - Facultad de Economía, vol. 2(3), pages 149-184, July-dece.
    6. Sergio Clavijo, 2002. "Deuda Pública Cierta Y Contingente: El Caso De Colombia," BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA 002341, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA.
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