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Endogenous Strategic Business Cycles

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Abstract

This paper examines an overlapping generations version of the Shapley-Shubik market game. We show existence of equilibria for the simple one commodity model and analyze the dynamics of the equilibrium trajectories generated in the model. Because of the non-linearities generated by strategic interaction of agents in the model, we find that complex and chaotic equilibrium dynamics are possible in this model for a much broader range of preferences than those for which Grandmont (1985) found complicated dynamics in the perfectly competitive version of this model. These results, then, provide an alternative to the usual technology-based explanation for the historical fact that business cycles became an important economic phenomenon only with the onset of industrialization.

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  • Aditya Goenka & David Kelly & Stephen Spear, "undated". "Endogenous Strategic Business Cycles," GSIA Working Papers 2, Carnegie Mellon University, Tepper School of Business.
    • Handle: RePEc:cmu:gsiawp:2
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    2. Ghosal, Sayantan & Morelli, Massimo, 2004. "Retrading in market games," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 115(1), pages 151-181, March.
    3. Toraubally, Waseem A., 2024. "Quantity competition in Hotellings linear city," CRETA Online Discussion Paper Series 87, Centre for Research in Economic Theory and its Applications CRETA.
    4. William A. Barnett & Yijun He & ., 1999. "Stabilization Policy as Bifurcation Selection: Would Keynesian Policy Work if the World Really were Keynesian?," Macroeconomics 9906008, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Toraubally, Waseem A., 2018. "Large market games, the law of one price, and market structure," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 13-26.
    6. Aditya Goenka & Lin Liu, 2012. "Infectious diseases and endogenous fluctuations," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 50(1), pages 125-149, May.
    7. Toraubally, Waseem A., 2022. "Strategic trading and Ricardian comparative advantage," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 195(C), pages 428-447.
    8. Peck, James, 2003. "Large market games with demand uncertainty," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 109(2), pages 283-299, April.
    9. Amir, Rabah & Bloch, Francis, 2009. "Comparative statics in a simple class of strategic market games," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, vol. 65(1), pages 7-24, January.
    10. Bloch, Francis & Ferrer, Helene, 2001. "Trade Fragmentation and Coordination in Strategic Market Games," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 101(1), pages 301-316, November.
    11. Kunieda, Takuma, 2008. "Finance and Growth Cycles," MPRA Paper 11340, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. William A. Barnett & Yijun He, 1999. "Center Manifold, Stability, and Bifurcations in Continuous Time Macroeconometric Systems," Macroeconomics 9901002, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    13. Toraubally, Waseem A., 2019. "Arbitrage equilibria in large games with many commodities," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 179(C), pages 24-28.
    14. Orrego, Fabrizio, 2011. "Demografía y precios de activos," Revista Estudios Económicos, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú, issue 22, pages 83-101.
    15. Goenka, Aditya, 2003. "Informed trading and the 'leakage' of information," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 109(2), pages 360-377, April.
    16. Goenka, Aditya & Poulsen, Odile, 2004. "Factor Intensity Reversal and Ergodic Chaos," Working Papers 04-13, University of Aarhus, Aarhus School of Business, Department of Economics.
    17. Breton, Michele & St-Amour, Pascal & Vencatachellum, Desire, 2003. "Dynamic production teams with strategic behavior," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 27(5), pages 875-905, March.
    18. Aloisio Araujo & Wilfredo L. Maldonado & Diogo Pinheiro & Alberto A. Pinto & Mohammad Choubdar Soltanahmadi, 2021. "Refinement of dynamic equilibrium using small random perturbations," International Journal of Economic Theory, The International Society for Economic Theory, vol. 17(3), pages 258-283, September.
    19. Polemarchakis, Herakles M. & Ray, Indrajit, 2006. "Sunspots, correlation and competition," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, vol. 56(1), pages 174-184, July.
    20. Toraubally, Waseem A., 2023. "Comparative advantage with many goods: New treatment and results," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 311(3), pages 1188-1201.
    21. Kim, Eungsik & Spear, Stephen, 2025. "The rich are not like you and me: Income, price dispersion, and consumption," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 228(C).
    22. Kashan Pirzada, 2016. "Providers And Users’ Perception Of Voluntary Need Of Human Resource Disclosure: A Content Analysis," Polish Journal of Management Studies, Czestochowa Technical University, Department of Management, vol. 14(2), pages 232-242, December.

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