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The Role Of Partnership Status And Expectations On The Emancipation Behaviour Of Spanish Graduates

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    Leaving the nest in Southern Europe, and to a lesser extend in other countries, is a decision taken simultaneously by two young adults who form a new household. However, nothing is known about the effect of partnership status on children’s emancipation since conventional datasets do not collect this information. To fill this gap we have collected a unique dataset of 1.600 individuals that is representative of the population of graduates at the University of Murcia aged 25 to 29 years at the time of the first interview in 2004. Non-emancipated respondents were reinterviewed 12 and 24 months following the initial interview and we elicited their subjective beliefs about the one-year-ahead probability of several personal and job-related outcomes. Our empirical results indicate that having a partner is as relevant as being employed for men to emancipate. For women, the marginal effect of having a partner is three times larger than that of working. Expectations measures reveal information about the realization of the reference outcome not otherwise available from objective variables. Moreover, partnered respondents’ expectations about living with their partner and about their employed partners losing their job or becoming unemployed are strong predictors of future emancipation even conditional upon numerous observable characteristics.

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    Paper provided by CEMFI in its series Working Papers with number wp2008_0812.

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    Date of creation: Jun 2008
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    Handle: RePEc:cmf:wpaper:wp2008_0812
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    1. Fernandes Ana & Becker Sascha O & Bentolila Samuel & Ichino Andrea, 2008. "Income Insecurity and Youth Emancipation: A Theoretical Approach," The B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis & Policy, De Gruyter, vol. 8(1), pages 1-42, July.
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    5. Giuliano, Paola, 2006. "Living Arrangements in Western Europe: Does Cultural Origin Matter?," IZA Discussion Papers 2042, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA).
    6. repec:att:wimass:9614 is not listed on IDEAS
    7. Maite Martínez-Granado & Javier Ruiz-Castillo, 2002. "The decisions of Spanish youth: A cross-section study," Journal of Population Economics, Springer, vol. 15(2), pages 305-330.
    8. McElroy, Marjorie B, 1985. "The Joint Determination of Household Membership and Market Work: The Case of Young Men," Journal of Labor Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 3(3), pages 293-316, July.
    9. Becker, Sascha O. & Bentolila, Samuel & Fernandes, Ana & Ichino, Andrea, 2005. "Youth Emancipation and Perceived Job Insecurity of Parents and Children," CEPR Discussion Papers 5338, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
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    12. Jeff Dominitz & Charles F. Manski, 1996. "Perceptions of Economic Insecurity: Evidence from the Survey of Economic Expectations," NBER Working Papers 5690, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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    14. Melvin Stephens, 2004. "Job Loss Expectations, Realizations, and Household Consumption Behavior," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 86(1), pages 253-269, February.
    15. Charles F. Manski, 2004. "Measuring Expectations," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 72(5), pages 1329-1376, 09.
    16. Charles F. Manski & John D. Straub, 1999. "Worker Perceptions of Job Insecurity in the Mid-1990s: Evidence from the Survey of Economic Expectations," NBER Working Papers 6908, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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    18. De la Rica Goiricelaya, Sara & Iza Padilla, María Amaya, 2003. "Career Planning in Spain: Do temporary contracts delay marriage and motherhood?," DFAEII Working Papers 2003-05, University of the Basque Country - Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II.
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