Beyond PPML: Exploring Machine Learning Alternatives for Gravity Model Estimation in International Trade
Author
Abstract
Suggested Citation
Download full text from publisher
References listed on IDEAS
- Holger Breinlich & Dennis Novy & J. M. C. Santos Silva, 2024.
"Trade, Gravity, and Aggregation,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 106(5), pages 1418-1426, September.
- Breinlich, Holger & Novy, Dennis & Santos Silva, JMC, 2021. "Trade, Gravity and Aggregation," CEPR Discussion Papers 16552, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Holger Breinlich & Dennis Novy & Joao M.C. Santos Silva, 2021. "Trade, Gravity and Aggregation," School of Economics Discussion Papers 0721, School of Economics, University of Surrey.
- Holger Breinlich & Dennis Novy & J.M.C. Santos Silva, 2021. "Trade, gravity and aggregation," CEP Discussion Papers dp1802, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
- Breinlich, Holger & Novy, Dennis & Santos Silva, J. M. C., 2021. "Trade, gravity and aggregation," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 113858, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- J. M. C. Santos Silva & Silvana Tenreyro, 2022.
"The Log of Gravity at 15,"
Portuguese Economic Journal, Springer;Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestao, vol. 21(3), pages 423-437, September.
- J.M.C. Santos Silva & Silvana Tenreyro, 2021. "The Log of Gravity At 15," School of Economics Discussion Papers 0121, School of Economics, University of Surrey.
- Silva, J.M.C. Santos & Tenreyo, Silvana, 2022. "The Log of Gravity at 15," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 112437, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Santos Silva, J.M.C. & Tenreyro, Silvana, 2011.
"Further simulation evidence on the performance of the Poisson pseudo-maximum likelihood estimator,"
Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 112(2), pages 220-222, August.
- Santos Silva, Joao M C & Tenreyro, Silvana, 2009. "Further simulation evidence on the performance of the Poisson pseudo-maximum likelihood estimator," Economics Discussion Papers 3546, University of Essex, Department of Economics.
- J. M. C. Santos Silva & Silvana Tenreyro, 2009. "Further Simulation Evidence on the Performance of the Poisson Pseudo-Maximum Likelihood Estimator," CEP Discussion Papers dp0933, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
- Santos Silva, Joao & Tenreyro, Silvana, 2009. "Further simulation evidence on the performance of the Poisson pseudo-maximum likelihood estimator," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 25506, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Anna D’Ambrosio & Sandro Montresor, 2022. "The pro-export effect of subnational migration networks: new evidence from Spanish provinces," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 158(1), pages 53-107, February.
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- Masood, Amjad & Martínez-Zarzoso, Inmaculada, 2024. "Trade effects of trade facilitation revisited," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 234(C).
- Harald Oberhofer & Zhenyi Wang, 2025.
"Everything You Always Wanted to Know About EU Membership Trade Effects But Were Afraid to Ask,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
11823, CESifo.
- Harald Oberhofer & Zhenyi Wang, 2025. "Everything You Always Wanted to Know About EU Membership Trade Effects But Were Afraid to Ask," Working Papers 202523, Center for Global Policy Analysis, LeBow College of Business, Drexel University.
- Harald Oberhofer & Zhenyi Wang, 2025. "Everything You Always Wanted to Know About EU Membership Trade Effects but Were Afraid to Ask," WIFO Working Papers 703, WIFO.
- Borworn Tanrattanaphong, 2025. "Value chain upgrading and seafood exports: lessons from developing countries," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 12(1), pages 1-11, December.
- Paudel, Nawaraj S. & Lahiri, Sajal, 2024. "Heterogeneity in the Effect of Size on Internal Migration in the United States: A Gravity Model and PPML Estimator Approach," EconStor Preprints 300726, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
- Usala, Cristian & Primerano, Ilaria & Santelli, Francesco & Ragozini, Giancarlo, 2024. "The more the better? How degree programs’ variety affects university students’ churn risk," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
- Vicente Pinilla & Agustina Rayes, 2024. "Trade Treaties and the Boost of Argentine Exports, 1880-1929," Documentos de Trabajo (DT-AEHE) 2406, Asociación Española de Historia Económica.
- Eduardo Rodrigues Sanguinet & Augusto Mussi Alvim & Miguel Atienza, 2022. "Trade agreements and participation in global value chains: Empirical evidence from Latin America," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 45(3), pages 702-738, March.
- Steven Buigut & Burcu Kapar, 2023. "How did Brexit impact EU trade? Evidence from real data," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 46(6), pages 1566-1581, June.
- Arkangel M. Cordero & Alexander C. Lewis, 2024. "How Does Regional Social Capital Structure the Relationship Between Entrepreneurship, Ethnic Diversity, and Residential Segregation?," Entrepreneurship Theory and Practice, , vol. 48(3), pages 788-825, May.
- Jinsuk Yang & Qing Hao & Mahmut Yaşar, 2023. "Institutional investors and cross‐border mergers and acquisitions: The 2000–2018 period," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 23(3), pages 553-583, September.
- Doukoure Charle Fe, 2021. "Trade flows between the West African Economic and Monetary Union's members so little: does exports structure matter ?," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 41(2), pages 816-833.
- Amelie Guillin & Isabelle Rabaud & Chahir Zaki, 2023.
"Does the depth of trade agreements matter for trade in services?,"
The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 46(12), pages 3616-3653, December.
- Amélie Guillin & Isabelle Rabaud & Chahir Zaki, 2022. "Does the Depth of Trade Agreements Matter for Trade in Services?," Working Papers hal-04638832, HAL.
- Amelie Guillin & Isabelle Rabaud & Chahir Zaki, 2023. "Does the depth of trade agreements matter for trade in services?," Post-Print hal-04362476, HAL.
- Mohamed Amara & Hatem Jemmali, 2018.
"Deciphering the Relationship Between Internal Migration and Regional Disparities in Tunisia,"
Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 135(1), pages 313-331, January.
- Mohamed Amara & Hatem Jemmali, 2016. "Deciphering the Relationship between Internal Migration and Regional Disparities in Tunisia," Working Papers 1043, Economic Research Forum, revised 09 Jan 2016.
- Anne-Célia Disdier & Lionel Fontagné, 2010.
"Trade impact of European measures on GMOs condemned by the WTO panel,"
Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 146(3), pages 495-514, September.
- Disdier, Anne-Celia & Fontagne, Lionel, 2008. "Trade Impact of European Measures on GMOs Condemned by the WTO Panel," 2008 International Congress, August 26-29, 2008, Ghent, Belgium 44392, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
- Anne-Célia Disdier & Lionel Fontagné, 2010. "Trade Impact of European Measures on GMOS Condemned by the WTO Panel," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) hal-00639442, HAL.
- Anne-Célia Disdier & Lionel Fontagné, 2010. "Trade Impact of European Measures on GMOS Condemned by the WTO Panel," PSE-Ecole d'économie de Paris (Postprint) hal-00639442, HAL.
- Anne-Célia Disdier & Lionel Fontagné, 2009. "Trade Impact of European Measures on GMOs Condemned by the WTO Panel," Working Papers 2009-16, CEPII research center.
- Anne-Célia Disdier & Lionel Fontagné, 2010. "Trade Impact of European Measures on GMOS Condemned by the WTO Panel," Post-Print hal-00639442, HAL.
- Anne-Célia Disdier & Lionel Fontagné, 2010. "Trade impact of European measures on GMOs condemned by the WTO panel," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) hal-00594967, HAL.
- Anne-Célia Disdier & Lionel Fontagné, 2010. "Trade impact of European measures on GMOs condemned by the WTO panel," Post-Print hal-00594967, HAL.
- Christian Estmann & Bjørn Bo Sørensen & Benno Ndulu & John Rand, 2022.
"Merchandise export diversification strategy for Tanzania: Promoting inclusive growth, economic complexity and structural change,"
The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 45(8), pages 2649-2695, August.
- Christian Estmann & Bjoern Bo Soerensen & Benno Ndulu & John Rand, 2020. "Merchandise export diversification strategy for Tanzania - promoting inclusive growth, economic complexity and structural change," DERG working paper series 20-02, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics. Development Economics Research Group (DERG).
- Andrzej Cieślik & Sarhad Hamza, 2022. "Inward FDI, IFRS Adoption and Institutional Quality: Insights from the MENA Countries," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 10(3), pages 1-19, June.
- Silva João M. C. Santos & Tenreyro Silvana & Windmeijer Frank, 2015.
"Testing Competing Models for Non-negative Data with Many Zeros,"
Journal of Econometric Methods, De Gruyter, vol. 4(1), pages 29-46, January.
- Silva, João M. C. Santos & Tenreyro, Silvana & Windmeijer, Frank, 2015. "Testing competing models for non-negative data with many zeros," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 63663, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Michael Knuchel, 2018. "Comparing estimation methods of trade costs," Aussenwirtschaft, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science, Swiss Institute for International Economics and Applied Economics Research, vol. 69(01), pages 81-106, December.
- Bo Xiong & John Beghin, 2017.
"Disentangling Demand-Enhancing And Trade-Cost Effects Of Maximum Residue Regulations,"
World Scientific Book Chapters, in: John Christopher Beghin (ed.), Nontariff Measures and International Trade, chapter 6, pages 105-108,
World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
- Bo Xiong & John Beghin, 2014. "Disentangling Demand-Enhancing And Trade-Cost Effects Of Maximum Residue Regulations," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 52(3), pages 1190-1203, July.
- Bo Xiong & John C. Beghin, 2013. "Disentangling Demand-Enhancing and Trade-Cost Effects of Maximum Residue Regulations," Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) Publications 13-wp544, Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) at Iowa State University.
- Xiong, Bo & Beghin, John, 2014. "Disentangling Demand-Enhancing and Trade-Cost Effects of Maximum Residue Regulations," ISU General Staff Papers 201401010800001563, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
- Xiong, Bo & Beghin, John C., 2013. "Disentangling Demand-Enhancing and Trade-Cost Effects of Maximum Residue Regulations," Staff General Research Papers Archive 34393, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
- Giorgia Giovannetti & Elisa Ticci, 2013. "Biofuel Development and Large-Scale Land Deals in Sub-Saharan Africa," Working Papers - Economics wp2013_27.rdf, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Scienze per l'Economia e l'Impresa.
More about this item
Keywords
Gravity Model; PPML Machine Learning; International Trade; Trade Policy Analysis; Modèle de gravité; PPML; apprentissage automatique; commerce international; analyse de la politique commerciale;All these keywords.
JEL classification:
- F10 - International Economics - - Trade - - - General
- F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
- C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
- C45 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Neural Networks and Related Topics
Statistics
Access and download statisticsCorrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:cir:cirwor:2025s-14. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Webmaster (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/ciranca.html .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.