Believe but Verify? Russian Views and the Market
Prominent analysts argue that the Russian reform process has gone badly because Russian attitudes towards the market mechanism fundamentally differ from those in the West. Others strenuously dispute this. We combine surveys and a double auction experiment to investigate Russian beliefs about how markets work. Beliefs about the likelihood that economic theory would predict outcomes were elicited before (‘ex ante’) and after (‘ex post’) the double auction. Women, graduates of general secondary schools, children of Orthodox parents and children of entrepreneurs are more skeptical ex ante. Having observed the trading results women, children of Orthodox parents and children of entrepreneurs become less skeptical. Graduates of general secondary schools remain relatively skeptical ex post. Measures of political orientation are weakly associated with beliefs, and sociodemographic characteristics, such as occupation, income and parents’ education, have no detectable effect on beliefs about the predictive value of economic theory.
|Date of creation:||Nov 2005|
|Date of revision:|
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- Andrew Austin & Nathaniel T. Wilcox, 2004.
"Believing in Economic Theory: Sex, Lies, Evidence, Trust and Ideology,"
CERGE-EI Working Papers
wp238, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague.
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Artefactual Field Experiments
00091, The Field Experiments Website.
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