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Politique économique et perspectives de croissance dans les économies émergentes d'Afrique

Listed author(s):
  • Patrick GUILLAUMONT

    ()

    (Centre d'Etudes et de Recherches sur le Développement International(CERDI))

  • Sylviane GUILLAUMONT JEANNENEY

    ()

    (Centre d'Etudes et de Recherches sur le Développement International(CERDI))

  • Aristomène VAROUDAKIS

Nous évaluons le potentiel de croissance des économies d'Afrique à l'horizon de 2010. L'analyse s'appuie sur l'estimation d'un modèle de croissance en données de panel, pour 39 économies d'Afrique et sept périodes quinquennales, couvrant les années 1960-95. Nos simulations s'appuient sur un "scénario de base", consistant à extrapoler les politiques observées et un scénario "d'Afrique émergente" où certaines économies africaines poursuivent les réformes déjà amorcées et améliorent durablement leurs performances. Nos résultats permettent de décomposer les gains attendus d'une amélioration durable des politiques en Afrique.

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File URL: http://publi.cerdi.org/ed/1999/1999.02.pdf
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Paper provided by CERDI in its series Working Papers with number 199902.

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Length: 11
Date of creation: 1999
Publication status: Published in Revue Economique, Mai 1999, pages 511-521
Handle: RePEc:cdi:wpaper:101
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  1. Guillaumont, Patrick & Jeanneney, Sylviane Guillaumont & Brun, Jean-Francois, 1999. "How Instability Lowers African Growth," Journal of African Economies, Centre for the Study of African Economies (CSAE), vol. 8(1), pages 87-107, March.
  2. Berthelemy, Jean-Claude & Varoudakis, Aristomene, 1996. "Economic Growth, Convergence Clubs, and the Role of Financial Development," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 48(2), pages 300-328, April.
  3. Sekkat, Khalid & Varoudakis, Aristomene, 2000. "Exchange rate management and manufactured exports in Sub-Saharan Africa," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 61(1), pages 237-253, February.
  4. Dhaneshwar Ghura & Michael T. Hadjimichael, 1996. "Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 43(3), pages 605-634, September.
  5. Sachs, Jeffrey D & Warner, Andrew M, 1997. "Sources of Slow Growth in African Economies," Journal of African Economies, Centre for the Study of African Economies (CSAE), vol. 6(3), pages 335-376, October.
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