Looking for a break in Spanish Inflation Data in the early eighties and assessing persistence
Using the Bai-Perron test, we look for a shift in the conditional mean of an AR representation of Spanish CPI inflation over the period: 1978-2006. It is clear that Spain, as most OECD economies, experienced an inflation slowdown in the early eithgties, which can be related to some policy measures undertook by the government coming out of the 1982 elections. It is shown, that when the break is accounted for, there are no signs of persistence in Spanish CPI inflation.
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- Andrew T. Levin & Jeremy M. Piger, 2003.
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2002-023, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
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Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
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