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The effects of macroprudential policy announcements on systemic risk

Author

Listed:
  • Kristina Bluwstein

    (Bank of England)

  • Alba Patozi

    (Bank of England)

Abstract

We construct a new data set of macroprudential policy announcements for the United Kingdom and estimate their effect on systemic risk, using a high-frequency identification approach. First, by examining a sample of the largest UK-listed banks, we identify macroprudential policy announcement shocks that were unanticipated by the financial markets. Second, we study the effects of market-based macroprudential policy surprises on systemic risk in a local projection framework. We find that tighter than expected macroprudential policy announcements contribute to a substantial reduction in perceived systemic risk in the short run, with effects persisting for several months. The reduction is mostly attributed to the reaction in equity and bond markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Kristina Bluwstein & Alba Patozi, 2024. "The effects of macroprudential policy announcements on systemic risk," Bank of England working papers 1080, Bank of England.
    • Handle: RePEc:boe:boeewp:1080
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Patell, Jm, 1976. "Corporate Forecasts Of Earnings Per Share And Stock-Price Behavior - Empirical Tests," Journal of Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 14(2), pages 246-276.
    2. Franklin Allen & Elena Carletti, 2013. "What Is Systemic Risk?," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 45, pages 121-127, August.
    3. Kuttner, Kenneth N., 2001. "Monetary policy surprises and interest rates: Evidence from the Fed funds futures market," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 47(3), pages 523-544, June.
    4. Refet S Gürkaynak & Brian Sack & Eric Swanson, 2005. "Do Actions Speak Louder Than Words? The Response of Asset Prices to Monetary Policy Actions and Statements," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 1(1), May.
    5. Mark Gertler & Peter Karadi, 2015. "Monetary Policy Surprises, Credit Costs, and Economic Activity," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 7(1), pages 44-76, January.
    6. Linton,Oliver, 2019. "Financial Econometrics," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9781107177154, January.
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    Cited by:

    1. Duprey, Thibaut & Tuzcuoglu, Kerem, 2025. "High-frequency effects of macroprudential policy announcements," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 250(C).

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G18 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Government Policy and Regulation
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

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