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Sensitivity of Simulation Results to Competing SAM Updates


  • Manuel Alejandro Cardenete
  • Ferran Sancho


From the classical gold standard up to the current ERM2 arrangement of the European Union, target zones have been a widely used exchange regime in contemporary history. This paper presents a benchmark model that rationalizes the choice of target zones over the rest of regimes: the fixed rate, the free float and the managed float. It is shown that the monetary authority may gain efficiency by reducing volatility of both the exchange rate and the interest rate at the same time. Furthermore, the model is consistent with some known stylized facts in the empirical literature that previous models were not able to generate, namely, the positive relation between the exchange rate and the interest rate differential, the degree of non-linearity of the function linking the exchange rate to fundamentals and the shape of the exchange rate stochastic distribution.

Suggested Citation

  • Manuel Alejandro Cardenete & Ferran Sancho, 2003. "Sensitivity of Simulation Results to Competing SAM Updates," Working Papers 88, Barcelona Graduate School of Economics.
  • Handle: RePEc:bge:wpaper:88

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    References listed on IDEAS

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    5. Ballard, Charles L. & Fullerton, Don & Shoven, John B. & Whalley, John, 2009. "A General Equilibrium Model for Tax Policy Evaluation," National Bureau of Economic Research Books, University of Chicago Press, edition 0, number 9780226036335.
    6. Sherman Robinson & Andrea Cattaneo & Moataz El-Said, 2001. "Updating and Estimating a Social Accounting Matrix Using Cross Entropy Methods," Economic Systems Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(1), pages 47-64.
    7. Charles L. Ballard & Don Fullerton & John B. Shoven & John Whalley, 1985. "Introduction to "A General Equilibrium Model for Tax Policy Evaluation"," NBER Chapters,in: A General Equilibrium Model for Tax Policy Evaluation, pages 1-5 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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    Cited by:

    1. M. Alejandro CARDENETE & M. Carmen LIMA, "undated". "Multiplier Decomposition Within Regional SAMs: the Case of Andalusia," EcoMod2004 330600033, EcoMod.
    2. Sancho, Ferran, 2010. "Double dividend effectiveness of energy tax policies and the elasticity of substitution: A CGE appraisal," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(6), pages 2927-2933, June.
    3. M. Carmen Lima Díaz & M. Alejandro Cardenete Flores, 2007. "A price model to assess the inflationary effects of the European Regional Policy," Working Papers 07.15, Universidad Pablo de Olavide, Department of Economics.
    4. Lima , M.Carmen & Cardenete, M.Alejandro & Hewings , G.J.D. & Vallés Ferrer, José, 2004. "A structural analysis of a regional economy using Social Accounting Matrices:1990-1999," INVESTIGACIONES REGIONALES - Journal of REGIONAL RESEARCH, Asociación Española de Ciencia Regional, issue 5, pages 113-138.
    5. M. Carmen Lima Díaz & Manuel Alejandro Cardenete Flores & José Vallés Ferrer, 2003. "Structural Path Analysis: Applications to Structural Changes in the Andalusian economy (1990-1999)," ERSA conference papers ersa03p109, European Regional Science Association.
    6. M. Carmen Lima & M. Alejandro Cardenete & José Vallés, 2003. "Un análisis estructural de la economía andaluza a través de matrices de contabilidad social: 1990-19991," Economic Working Papers at Centro de Estudios Andaluces E2003/20, Centro de Estudios Andaluces.

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    JEL classification:

    • C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection
    • C67 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Input-Output Models
    • C68 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computable General Equilibrium Models


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