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Crecimiento Económico y Gasto Público: Una Interpretación de las Experiencias Internacionales y del Caso Colombiano (1982-1999)

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  • Carlos Esteban Posada
  • José Fernando Escobar

Abstract

En este documento se presentan los resultados de la estimación econométrica del modelo de gasto público y crecimiento económico de Barro (1990). La estimación fue de tipo panel utilizando datos de frecuencia anual de 83 países (con poblaciones mayores a 2 millones en 1980)a lo largo del período 1982-1999. Cuando se juzgan los crecimientos del gasto público y del producto tanto de Colombia como de otros países de ingreso medio a la luz de las estimaciones del modelo surge una conclusión:el gasto público colombiano se volvió excesivo durante la segunda mitad de los años 90 y, por tanto, contribuyó a la reducción de la tasa de crecimiento de la economía.

Suggested Citation

  • Carlos Esteban Posada & José Fernando Escobar, 2003. "Crecimiento Económico y Gasto Público: Una Interpretación de las Experiencias Internacionales y del Caso Colombiano (1982-1999)," Borradores de Economia 258, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    • Handle: RePEc:bdr:borrec:258
    DOI: 10.32468/be.258
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Feldstein, Martin, 1997. "How Big Should Government Be?," National Tax Journal, National Tax Association;National Tax Journal, vol. 50(2), pages 197-213, June.
    2. Breitung, Jörg & Lechner, Michael, 1998. "Alternative GMM methods for nonlinear panel data models," SFB 373 Discussion Papers 1998,81, Humboldt University of Berlin, Interdisciplinary Research Project 373: Quantification and Simulation of Economic Processes.
    3. Barro, Robert J, 1990. "Government Spending in a Simple Model of Endogenous Growth," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 98(5), pages 103-126, October.
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    Cited by:

    1. Gómez Munoz, Wilman & Rhenals M., Remberto, 2007. "Un cálculo del déficit fiscal estructural: análisis y una propuesta metodológica," Perfil de Coyuntura Económica, Universidad de Antioquia, CIE, December.
    2. Gonzalo Restrepo Quintero & Daphne Alvarez Villa, 2005. "Ley 617 de 2000 y su impacto fiscal territorial," Ensayos Sobre Economía Regional (ESER) 3139, Banco de la República - Economía Regional.
    3. Ligia Alba Melo-Becerra & Jorge Enrique Ramos-Forero, 2017. "El gasto público en Colombia: Algunos aspectos sobre su tamaño, evolución y estructura," Borradores de Economia 1003, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Crecimiento económico; gasto público; elasticidad- capital del producto; estimación panel;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C33 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • H50 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - General
    • O11 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
    • O41 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - One, Two, and Multisector Growth Models

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