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It Hurts (Stock Prices) When Your Team Is About to Lose a Soccer Match

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  • Michael Ehrmann
  • David-Jan Jansen

Abstract

The end result of major sporting events has been shown to affect next-day stock returns through shifts in investor mood. By studying the soccer matches that led to the elimination of France and Italy from the 2010 FIFA World Cup, we show that mood-related pricing effects can materialize as sporting events unfold. We do this by using intraday stock prices for a firm cross-listed on the Paris and Milan stock exchanges. This strategy allows for a straightforward identification of pricing effects. During the soccer matches, stock prices in the country that eventually loses are lower by up to seven basis points. The probability of underpricing increases as elimination from the tournament becomes more likely.

Suggested Citation

  • Michael Ehrmann & David-Jan Jansen, 2014. "It Hurts (Stock Prices) When Your Team Is About to Lose a Soccer Match," Staff Working Papers 14-2, Bank of Canada.
    • Handle: RePEc:bca:bocawp:14-2
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    Cited by:

    1. Ehrmann, Michael & Jansen, David-Jan, 2022. "Stock return comovement when investors are distracted: More, and more homogeneous," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
    2. Wang, Jianxin, 2022. "Market distraction and near-zero daily volatility persistence," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    3. Cornaggia, Kimberly & Hund, John & Nguyen, Giang, 2022. "Investor attention and municipal bond returns," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    4. Jerome Geyer-Klingeberg & Markus Hang & Matthias Walter & Andreas Rathgeber, 2018. "Do stock markets react to soccer games? A meta-regression analysis," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(19), pages 2171-2189, April.
    5. Michael Ehrmann & David‐Jan Jansen, 2017. "The Pitch Rather Than the Pit: Investor Inattention, Trading Activity, and FIFA World Cup Matches," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 49(4), pages 807-821, June.
    6. Carlos Viana de Carvalho & Eduardo Zilberman & Ruy Ribeiro, "undated". "Sentiment, Electoral Uncertainty and Stock Returns," Textos para discussão 655, Department of Economics PUC-Rio (Brazil).
    7. Steffen Hundt & Andreas Horsch, 2019. "Sponsorship of the FIFA world cup, shareholder wealth, and the impact of corruption," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 51(23), pages 2468-2491, May.
    8. Saggu, Aman & Ante, Lennart & Demir, Ender, 2024. "Anticipatory gains and event-driven losses in blockchain-based fan tokens: Evidence from the FIFA World Cup," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(PA).
    9. Fjesme, Sturla Lyngnes & Lv, Jin Roc & Shekhar, Chander, 2023. "The world cup in football and the US IPO market," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    10. Andrea Schertler & Jarmo Beurden, 2023. "How relative competitive strength moderates stock price responses after European soccer tournaments," Journal of Business Economics, Springer, vol. 93(8), pages 1385-1414, October.
    11. Lennart Ante & Benjamin Schellinger & Ender Demir, 2024. "The impact of football games and sporting performance on intra-day fan token returns," Journal of Business Economics, Springer, vol. 94(5), pages 813-850, July.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Asset Pricing; Financial markets;

    JEL classification:

    • G02 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Behavioral Finance: Underlying Principles
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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