IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/2508.15692.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Effect Identification and Unit Categorization in the Multi-Score Regression Discontinuity Design with Application to LED Manufacturing

Author

Listed:
  • Philipp Alexander Schwarz
  • Oliver Schacht
  • Sven Klaassen
  • Johannes Oberpriller
  • Martin Spindler

Abstract

RDD (Regression discontinuity design) is a widely used framework for identifying and estimating causal effects at the cutoff of a single running variable. In practice, however, decision-making often involves multiple thresholds and criteria, especially in production systems. Standard MRD (multi-score RDD) methods address this complexity by reducing the problem to a one-dimensional design. This simplification allows existing approaches to be used to identify and estimate causal effects, but it can introduce non-compliance by misclassifying units relative to the original cutoff rules. We develop theoretical tools to detect and reduce "fuzziness" when estimating the cutoff effect for units that comply with individual subrules of a multi-rule system. In particular, we propose a formal definition and categorization of unit behavior types under multi-dimensional cutoff rules, extending standard classifications of compliers, alwaystakers, and nevertakers, and incorporating defiers and indecisive units. We further identify conditions under which cutoff effects for compliers can be estimated in multiple dimensions, and establish when identification remains valid after excluding nevertakers and alwaystakers. In addition, we examine how decomposing complex Boolean cutoff rules (such as AND- and OR-type rules) into simpler components affects the classification of units into behavioral types and improves estimation by making it possible to identify and remove non-compliant units more accurately. We validate our framework using both semi-synthetic simulations calibrated to production data and real-world data from opto-electronic semiconductor manufacturing. The empirical results demonstrate that our approach has practical value in refining production policies and reduces estimation variance. This underscores the usefulness of the MRD framework in manufacturing contexts.

Suggested Citation

  • Philipp Alexander Schwarz & Oliver Schacht & Sven Klaassen & Johannes Oberpriller & Martin Spindler, 2025. "Effect Identification and Unit Categorization in the Multi-Score Regression Discontinuity Design with Application to LED Manufacturing," Papers 2508.15692, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2025.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2508.15692
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/2508.15692
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. David Card & David S. Lee & Zhuan Pei & Andrea Weber, 2015. "Inference on Causal Effects in a Generalized Regression Kink Design," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 83, pages 2453-2483, November.
    2. Sandra E. Black, 1999. "Do Better Schools Matter? Parental Valuation of Elementary Education," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 114(2), pages 577-599.
    3. Sebastian Calonico & Matias D. Cattaneo & Rocio Titiunik, 2014. "Robust Nonparametric Confidence Intervals for Regression‐Discontinuity Designs," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 82, pages 2295-2326, November.
    4. Masayuki Sawada & Takuya Ishihara & Daisuke Kurisu & Yasumasa Matsuda, 2024. "Local-Polynomial Estimation for Multivariate Regression Discontinuity Designs," Papers 2402.08941, arXiv.org, revised May 2025.
    5. Matias D. Cattaneo & Rocio Titiunik & Ruiqi Rae Yu, 2025. "Estimation and Inference in Boundary Discontinuity Designs: Location-Based Methods," Papers 2505.05670, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2025.
    6. Matias D. Cattaneo & Nicolas Idrobo & Rocio Titiunik, 2019. "A Practical Introduction to Regression Discontinuity Designs: Foundations," Papers 1911.09511, arXiv.org.
    7. Lee, David S., 2008. "Randomized experiments from non-random selection in U.S. House elections," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 142(2), pages 675-697, February.
    8. Keele, Luke J. & Titiunik, Rocío, 2015. "Geographic Boundaries as Regression Discontinuities," Political Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 23(1), pages 127-155, January.
    9. Choi, Jin-young & Lee, Myoung-jae, 2018. "Regression Discontinuity with Multiple Running Variables Allowing Partial Effects," Political Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 26(3), pages 258-274, July.
    10. Choi, Jin-young & Lee, Myoung-jae, 2023. "Complier and monotonicity for Fuzzy Multi-score Regression Discontinuity with partial effects," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 228(C).
    11. Papay, John P. & Willett, John B. & Murnane, Richard J., 2011. "Extending the regression-discontinuity approach to multiple assignment variables," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 161(2), pages 203-207, April.
    12. Wesley Hartmann & Harikesh S. Nair & Sridhar Narayanan, 2011. "Identifying Causal Marketing Mix Effects Using a Regression Discontinuity Design," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 30(6), pages 1079-1097, November.
    13. Eduard Calvo & Ruomeng Cui & Juan Camilo Serpa, 2019. "Oversight and Efficiency in Public Projects: A Regression Discontinuity Analysis," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 65(12), pages 5651-5675, December.
    14. Hahn, Jinyong & Todd, Petra & Van der Klaauw, Wilbert, 2001. "Identification and Estimation of Treatment Effects with a Regression-Discontinuity Design," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 69(1), pages 201-209, January.
    15. Victor Chernozhukov & Christian Hansen & Nathan Kallus & Martin Spindler & Vasilis Syrgkanis, 2024. "Applied Causal Inference Powered by ML and AI," Papers 2403.02467, arXiv.org.
    16. Alexander Krei{ss} & Christoph Rothe, 2021. "Inference in Regression Discontinuity Designs with High-Dimensional Covariates," Papers 2110.13725, arXiv.org, revised May 2022.
    17. Philipp Schwarz & Oliver Schacht & Sven Klaassen & Daniel Grunbaum & Sebastian Imhof & Martin Spindler, 2024. "Management Decisions in Manufacturing using Causal Machine Learning -- To Rework, or not to Rework?," Papers 2406.11308, arXiv.org.
    18. Joshua D. Angrist & Victor Lavy, 1999. "Using Maimonides' Rule to Estimate the Effect of Class Size on Scholastic Achievement," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 114(2), pages 533-575.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Mauricio Villamizar‐Villegas & Freddy A. Pinzon‐Puerto & Maria Alejandra Ruiz‐Sanchez, 2022. "A comprehensive history of regression discontinuity designs: An empirical survey of the last 60 years," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(4), pages 1130-1178, September.
    2. Blaise Melly & Rafael Lalive, 2020. "Estimation, Inference, and Interpretation in the Regression Discontinuity Design," Diskussionsschriften dp2016, Universitaet Bern, Departement Volkswirtschaft.
    3. Yiqi Liu & Yuan Qi, 2023. "Using Forests in Multivariate Regression Discontinuity Designs," Papers 2303.11721, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2025.
    4. Jin-young Choi & Myoung-jae Lee, 2017. "Regression discontinuity: review with extensions," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 58(4), pages 1217-1246, December.
    5. Bertanha, Marinho & Moreira, Marcelo J., 2020. "Impossible inference in econometrics: Theory and applications," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 218(2), pages 247-270.
    6. Matias D. Cattaneo & Rocío Titiunik, 2022. "Regression Discontinuity Designs," Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 14(1), pages 821-851, August.
    7. Deng, Taotao & Hu, Yukun & Ma, Mulan, 2019. "Regional policy and tourism: A quasi-natural experiment," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 1-16.
    8. Guido Imbens & Stefan Wager, 2019. "Optimized Regression Discontinuity Designs," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 101(2), pages 264-278, May.
    9. Susan Athey & Guido W. Imbens, 2017. "The State of Applied Econometrics: Causality and Policy Evaluation," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 31(2), pages 3-32, Spring.
    10. Kettlewell, Nathan & Siminski, Peter, 2020. "Optimal Model Selection in RDD and Related Settings Using Placebo Zones," IZA Discussion Papers 13639, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    11. Yoichi Arai & Yu‐Chin Hsu & Toru Kitagawa & Ismael Mourifié & Yuanyuan Wan, 2022. "Testing identifying assumptions in fuzzy regression discontinuity designs," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 13(1), pages 1-28, January.
    12. Chen, Heng & Fan, Yanqin, 2019. "Identification and wavelet estimation of weighted ATE under discontinuous and kink incentive assignment mechanisms," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 212(2), pages 476-502.
    13. Marinho Bertanha & Guido W. Imbens, 2020. "External Validity in Fuzzy Regression Discontinuity Designs," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(3), pages 593-612, July.
    14. Masayuki Sawada & Takuya Ishihara & Daisuke Kurisu & Yasumasa Matsuda, 2024. "Local-Polynomial Estimation for Multivariate Regression Discontinuity Designs," Papers 2402.08941, arXiv.org, revised May 2025.
    15. Sebastian Galiani & Patrick J. McEwan & Brian Quistorff, 2017. "External and Internal Validity of a Geographic Quasi-Experiment Embedded in a Cluster-Randomized Experiment," Advances in Econometrics, in: Regression Discontinuity Designs, volume 38, pages 195-236, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
    16. Giuseppe Francesco Gori & Patrizia Lattarulo & Marco Mariani & Laura Razzolini, 2024. "The Expediting Effect of Monitoring on Infrastructural Works. A Regression-Discontinuity Approach with Multiple Assignment Variables," Italian Economic Journal: A Continuation of Rivista Italiana degli Economisti and Giornale degli Economisti, Springer;Società Italiana degli Economisti (Italian Economic Association), vol. 10(1), pages 197-224, March.
    17. Sebastian Calonico & Matias D Cattaneo & Max H Farrell, 2020. "Optimal bandwidth choice for robust bias-corrected inference in regression discontinuity designs," The Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 23(2), pages 192-210.
    18. Shenglong Liu & Yuanyuan Wan & Xiaoming Zhang, 2024. "Retirement Spillover Effects on Spousal Health in Urban China," Journal of Family and Economic Issues, Springer, vol. 45(3), pages 756-783, September.
    19. Guido W. Imbens & Jeffrey M. Wooldridge, 2009. "Recent Developments in the Econometrics of Program Evaluation," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 47(1), pages 5-86, March.
    20. Bauer, Thomas K. & Bender, Stefan & Paloyo, Alfredo R. & Schmidt, Christoph M., 2012. "Evaluating the labor-market effects of compulsory military service," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 56(4), pages 814-829.

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2508.15692. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.