IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/2411.01983.html

Real-world models for multiple term structures: a unifying HJM semimartingale framework

Author

Listed:
  • Claudio Fontana
  • Eckhard Platen
  • Stefan Tappe

Abstract

We develop a unified framework for modeling multiple term structures arising in financial, insurance, and energy markets, adopting an extended Heath-Jarrow-Morton (HJM) approach under the real-world probability. We study market viability and characterize the set of local martingale deflators. We conduct an analysis of the associated stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE), addressing existence and uniqueness of solutions, invariance properties and existence of affine realizations.

Suggested Citation

  • Claudio Fontana & Eckhard Platen & Stefan Tappe, 2024. "Real-world models for multiple term structures: a unifying HJM semimartingale framework," Papers 2411.01983, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2026.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2411.01983
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/2411.01983
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Fred Espen Benth & Paul Kruhner, 2014. "Representation of infinite dimensional forward price models in commodity markets," Papers 1403.4111, arXiv.org.
    2. Eckhard Platen & Steffan Tappe, 2015. "Real-World Forward Rate Dynamics With Affine Realizations," Published Paper Series 2015-7, Finance Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney.
    3. David Heath & Robert Jarrow & Andrew Morton, 2008. "Bond Pricing And The Term Structure Of Interest Rates: A New Methodology For Contingent Claims Valuation," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Financial Derivatives Pricing Selected Works of Robert Jarrow, chapter 13, pages 277-305, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    4. Shane Miller & Eckhard Platen, 2004. "A Two-Factor Model for Low Interest Rate Regimes," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 11(1), pages 107-133, March.
    5. Nicola Bruti-Liberati & Christina Nikitopoulos-Sklibosios & Eckhard Platen, 2010. "Real-world jump-diffusion term structure models," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(1), pages 23-37.
    6. Tomas Björk & Yuri Kabanov & Wolfgang Runggaldier, 1997. "Bond Market Structure in the Presence of Marked Point Processes," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 7(2), pages 211-239, April.
    7. Ioannis Karatzas & Constantinos Kardaras, 2007. "The numéraire portfolio in semimartingale financial models," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 11(4), pages 447-493, October.
    8. Claudio Fontana & Zorana Grbac & Sandrine Gümbel & Thorsten Schmidt, 2020. "Term structure modelling for multiple curves with stochastic discontinuities," Post-Print hal-03898927, HAL.
    9. Eckhard Platen, 2006. "A Benchmark Approach To Finance," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 16(1), pages 131-151, January.
    10. Claudio Fontana, 2015. "Weak And Strong No-Arbitrage Conditions For Continuous Financial Markets," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 18(01), pages 1-34.
    11. Claudio Fontana & Zorana Grbac & Sandrine Gümbel & Thorsten Schmidt, 2020. "Term structure modelling for multiple curves with stochastic discontinuities," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 24(2), pages 465-511, April.
    12. Robert A. Jarrow & Stuart M. Turnbull, 2008. "Pricing Derivatives on Financial Securities Subject to Credit Risk," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Financial Derivatives Pricing Selected Works of Robert Jarrow, chapter 17, pages 377-409, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    13. Christa Cuchiero & Claudio Fontana & Alessandro Gnoatto, 2016. "A general HJM framework for multiple yield curve modelling," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 20(2), pages 267-320, April.
    14. Christa Cuchiero & Claudio Fontana & Alessandro Gnoatto, 2019. "Affine multiple yield curve models," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 29(2), pages 568-611, April.
    15. Stefan Tappe & Stefan Weber, 2014. "Stochastic mortality models: an infinite-dimensional approach," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 18(1), pages 209-248, January.
    16. Constantinos Kardaras, 2011. "On the closure in the Emery topology of semimartingale wealth-process sets," Papers 1108.0945, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2013.
    17. Huy N. Chau & Andrea Cosso & Claudio Fontana & Oleksii Mostovyi, 2015. "Optimal investment with intermediate consumption under no unbounded profit with bounded risk," Papers 1509.01672, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2017.
    18. Jarrow, Robert A & Turnbull, Stuart M, 1998. "A Unified Approach for Pricing Contingent Claims on Multiple Term Structures," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 10(1), pages 5-19, January.
    19. Kardaras, Constantinos, 2024. "Stochastic integration with respect to arbitrary collections of continuous semimartingales and applications to mathematical finance," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 121057, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    20. Kaushik I. Amin & Robert A. Jarrow, 2008. "Pricing foreign currency options under stochastic interest rates," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Financial Derivatives Pricing Selected Works of Robert Jarrow, chapter 14, pages 307-326, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    21. Benth, Fred Espen & Koekebakker, Steen, 2008. "Stochastic modeling of financial electricity contracts," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 30(3), pages 1116-1157, May.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Claudio Fontana & Simone Pavarana & Wolfgang J. Runggaldier, 2023. "A stochastic control perspective on term structure models with roll-over risk," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 27(4), pages 903-932, October.
    2. Stefan Tappe, 2022. "Invariant cones for jump-diffusions in infinite dimensions," Papers 2206.13913, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2023.
    3. Claudio Fontana & Simone Pavarana & Wolfgang J. Runggaldier, 2023. "A stochastic control perspective on term structure models with roll-over risk," Papers 2304.04453, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2023.
    4. Cuchiero, Christa & Di Persio, Luca & Guida, Francesco & Svaluto-Ferro, Sara, 2024. "Measure-valued affine and polynomial diffusions," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 175(C).
    5. Nicola Bruti-Liberati & Christina Nikitopoulos-Sklibosios & Eckhard Platen, 2010. "Real-world jump-diffusion term structure models," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(1), pages 23-37.
    6. Claudio Fontana & Zorana Grbac & Sandrine Gümbel & Thorsten Schmidt, 2020. "Term structure modelling for multiple curves with stochastic discontinuities," Post-Print hal-03898927, HAL.
    7. Claudio Fontana & Zorana Grbac & Sandrine Gumbel & Thorsten Schmidt, 2018. "Term structure modeling for multiple curves with stochastic discontinuities," Papers 1810.09882, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2019.
    8. Fontana, Claudio & Runggaldier, Wolfgang J., 2021. "Arbitrage concepts under trading restrictions in discrete-time financial markets," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 66-80.
    9. Markus Hess, 2020. "A pure-jump mean-reverting short rate model," Papers 2006.14814, arXiv.org.
    10. Huy N. Chau & Andrea Cosso & Claudio Fontana, 2018. "The value of informational arbitrage," Papers 1804.00442, arXiv.org.
    11. Christa Cuchiero & Claudio Fontana & Alessandro Gnoatto, 2019. "Affine multiple yield curve models," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 29(2), pages 568-611, April.
    12. Claudio Fontana & Wolfgang J. Runggaldier, 2020. "Arbitrage concepts under trading restrictions in discrete-time financial markets," Papers 2006.15563, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2020.
    13. Claudio Fontana & Zorana Grbac & Sandrine Gümbel & Thorsten Schmidt, 2020. "Term structure modelling for multiple curves with stochastic discontinuities," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 24(2), pages 465-511, April.
    14. Jarrow, Robert A. & Turnbull, Stuart M., 2000. "The intersection of market and credit risk," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 24(1-2), pages 271-299, January.
    15. Carassus, Laurence, 2023. "No free lunch for markets with multiple numéraires," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    16. Matthew Bickersteth & Yining Ding & Marek Rutkowski, 2021. "Pricing and hedging of SOFR derivatives," Papers 2112.14033, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2025.
    17. Bjork, Tomas, 2009. "Arbitrage Theory in Continuous Time," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, edition 3, number 9780199574742.
    18. Nicola Bruti-Liberati & Christina Nikitopoulos-Sklibosios & Eckhard Platen & Erik Schlögl, 2009. "Alternative Defaultable Term Structure Models," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 16(1), pages 1-31, March.
    19. Tappe, Stefan, 2016. "Affine realizations with affine state processes for stochastic partial differential equations," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 126(7), pages 2062-2091.
    20. Dean Buckner & Kevin Dowd & Hardy Hulley, 2024. "Arbitrage problems with reflected geometric Brownian motion," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 28(1), pages 1-26, January.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2411.01983. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.