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Exact Simulation of Variance Gamma related OU processes: Application to the Pricing of Energy Derivatives

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  • Piergiacomo Sabino

Abstract

In this study we define a three-step procedure to relate the self-decomposability of the stationary law of a generalized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process to the law of the increments of such processes. Based on this procedure and the results of Qu et al. (2019), we derive the exact simulation, without numerical inversion, of the skeleton of a Variance Gamma, and of a symmetric Variance Gamma driven Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. Extensive numerical experiments are reported to demonstrate the accuracy and efficiency of our algorithms. These results are instrumental to simulate the spot price dynamics in energy markets and to price Asian options and gas storages by Monte Carlo simulations in a framework similar to the one discussed in Cummins et al. (2017, 2018).

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  • Piergiacomo Sabino, 2020. "Exact Simulation of Variance Gamma related OU processes: Application to the Pricing of Energy Derivatives," Papers 2004.06786, arXiv.org.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2004.06786
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    1. Fred Espen Benth & Anca Pircalabu, 2018. "A non-Gaussian Ornstein–Uhlenbeck model for pricing wind power futures," Applied Mathematical Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(1), pages 36-65, January.
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    10. Ole E. Barndorff‐Nielsen & Neil Shephard, 2003. "Integrated OU Processes and Non‐Gaussian OU‐based Stochastic Volatility Models," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 30(2), pages 277-295, June.
    11. T. Pellegrino & P. Sabino, 2015. "Enhancing Least Squares Monte Carlo with diffusion bridges: an application to energy facilities," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(5), pages 761-772, May.
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    13. Fred Espen Benth & Jan Kallsen & Thilo Meyer-Brandis, 2007. "A Non-Gaussian Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Process for Electricity Spot Price Modeling and Derivatives Pricing," Applied Mathematical Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(2), pages 153-169.
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    Cited by:

    1. Yuping Song & Ruiqiu Chen & Chunchun Cai & Yuetong Zhang & Min Zhu, 2025. "Self-Weighted Quantile Estimation for Drift Coefficients of Ornstein–Uhlenbeck Processes with Jumps and Its Application to Statistical Arbitrage," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 13(9), pages 1-31, April.
    2. Nicola Cufaro Petroni & Piergiacomo Sabino, 2020. "Tempered stable distributions and finite variation Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes," Papers 2011.09147, arXiv.org.
    3. Piergiacomo Sabino, 2021. "Normal Tempered Stable Processes and the Pricing of Energy Derivatives," Papers 2105.03071, arXiv.org.
    4. Tim Leung & Kevin W. Lu, 2023. "Monte Carlo Simulation for Trading Under a Lévy-Driven Mean-Reverting Framework," Applied Mathematical Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(4), pages 207-230, July.
    5. Matteo Gardini & Piergiacomo Sabino & Emanuela Sasso, 2020. "A bivariate Normal Inverse Gaussian process with stochastic delay: efficient simulations and applications to energy markets," Papers 2011.04256, arXiv.org.
    6. Kevin W. Lu, 2022. "Calibration for multivariate Lévy-driven Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes with applications to weak subordination," Statistical Inference for Stochastic Processes, Springer, vol. 25(2), pages 365-396, July.
    7. Piergiacomo Sabino, 2021. "Pricing Energy Derivatives in Markets Driven by Tempered Stable and CGMY Processes of Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Type," Papers 2103.13252, arXiv.org.
    8. Roberto Baviera & Pietro Manzoni, 2024. "Fast and General Simulation of L\'evy-driven OU processes for Energy Derivatives," Papers 2401.15483, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2024.

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