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Estimating the Impact of Wind Generation in the UK

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  • Lisa MH Hall
  • Alastair Buckley
  • Jose Mawyin

Abstract

This paper studies the impact of wind generation on market prices and system costs in the UK between 2013 and 2014. The wider effects and implications of wind generation is of direct relevance and importance to policy makers, as well as the grid operator and market traders. We compare electricity generation from Coal, Gas and wind, on both the wholesale and imbalance market. We calculate the system cost of wind generation (government subsidies and curtailment costs) and the total energy costs. For the first time in the UK, we calculate the Merit Order Effect on spot price due to the wind component and show a $1.67\%$ price decrease for every percentage point of wind generation (compared to the ``zero-wind'' price). The net result of total costs and price savings is roughly zero (slight positive gain). We also consider the effect of not having either an onshore or an offshore wind component. We show that the Merit-Order Effect savings are heavily reduced, leading to an outgoing cost of wind generation in both cases. It is therefore important to have a significant total percentage of wind generation, from both onshore and offshore farms.

Suggested Citation

  • Lisa MH Hall & Alastair Buckley & Jose Mawyin, 2015. "Estimating the Impact of Wind Generation in the UK," Papers 1510.05854, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2015.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1510.05854
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Ketterer, Janina C., 2014. "The impact of wind power generation on the electricity price in Germany," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 270-280.
    2. Swinand, Gregory P. & O'Mahoney, Amy, 2015. "Estimating the impact of wind generation and wind forecast errors on energy prices and costs in Ireland," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 468-473.
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