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Default contagion risks in Russian interbank market

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  • A. V. Leonidov
  • E. L. Rumyantsev

Abstract

Systemic risks of default contagion in the Russian interbank market are investigated. The analysis is based on considering the bow-tie structure of the weighted oriented graph describing the structure of the interbank loans. A probabilistic model of interbank contagion explicitly taking into account the empirical bow-tie structure reflecting functionality of the corresponding nodes (borrowers, lenders, borrowers and lenders simultaneously), degree distributions and disassortativity of the interbank network under consideration based on empirical data is developed. The characteristics of contagion-related systemic risk calculated with this model are shown to be in agreement with those of explicit stress tests.

Suggested Citation

  • A. V. Leonidov & E. L. Rumyantsev, 2014. "Default contagion risks in Russian interbank market," Papers 1409.1071, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2016.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1409.1071
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    6. Matteo Chinazzi & Giorgio Fagiolo, 2013. "Systemic Risk, Contagion, and Financial Networks: A Survey," LEM Papers Series 2013/08, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
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    8. A. V. Leonidov & E. L. Rumyantsev, 2014. "Systemic Interbank Network Risks in Russia," Papers 1410.0125, arXiv.org.
    9. Andrew G. Haldane & Robert M. May, 2011. "Systemic risk in banking ecosystems," Nature, Nature, vol. 469(7330), pages 351-355, January.
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    11. Edson Bastos Santos & Rama Cont, 2010. "The Brazilian Interbank Network Structure and Systemic Risk," Working Papers Series 219, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
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    Cited by:

    1. Valentina Y. Guleva & Klavdiya O. Bochenina & Maria V. Skvorcova & Alexander V. Boukhanovsky, 2017. "A Simulation Tool for Exploring the Evolution of Temporal Interbank Networks," Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, vol. 20(4), pages 1-15.
    2. Yu Zhao & Huaming Du & Qing Li & Fuzhen Zhuang & Ji Liu & Gang Kou, 2022. "A Comprehensive Survey on Enterprise Financial Risk Analysis from Big Data Perspective," Papers 2211.14997, arXiv.org, revised May 2023.
    3. Zhang, Ailian & Wang, Shuyao & Liu, Bai & Fu, Jingyuan, 2020. "How government regulation of interbank financing impacts risk for Chinese commercial banks," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    4. A. V. Leonidov & E. L. Rumyantsev, 2014. "Systemic Interbank Network Risks in Russia," Papers 1410.0125, arXiv.org.
    5. Mauro Aliano & Lucianna Cananà & Greta Cestari & Stefania Ragni, 2023. "A Dynamical Model with Time Delay for Risk Contagion," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-19, January.

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