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An Integrated Epidemiological and Economic Model of COVID-19 NPIs in Argentina

Author

Listed:
  • Adolfo Rubinstein

    (IECS)

  • Eduardo Levy Yeyati

    (Universidad Torcuato Di Tella)

Abstract

Añadimos un marco económico multisectorial a un modelo epidemiológico SVEIR combinando la lógica económica del modelo DAEDALUS con un tratamiento detallado de la fatiga de los encierros y la disminución del cumplimiento de las medidas de salud pública y sociales reportadas en trabajos empíricos recientes, para cuantificar los beneficios y costos epidemiológicos y económicos de las políticas alternativas de encierro y de salud pública, tanto en términos de intensidad como de duración. Nuestra calibración replica las características clave de las curvas de casos y muertes y el costo económico para Argentina en 2021. El modelo nos permite cuantificar la compensación de políticas a corto plazo entre vidas y medios de vida, y mostrar que puede mejorarse significativamente con políticas farmacológicas específicas, como el despliegue de vacunas, para reducir principalmente la enfermedad grave y el número de muertes por COVID-19, como se ha destacado en estudios anteriores.

Suggested Citation

  • Adolfo Rubinstein & Eduardo Levy Yeyati, 2022. "An Integrated Epidemiological and Economic Model of COVID-19 NPIs in Argentina," Working Papers 197, Red Nacional de Investigadores en Economía (RedNIE).
    • Handle: RePEc:aoz:wpaper:197
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    File URL: https://rednie.eco.unc.edu.ar/files/DT/197.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Eduardo Levy Yeyati & Patricio Goldstein & Luca Sartorio, 2021. "Lockdown Fatigue: The Diminishing Effects of Quarantines on the Spread of COVID-19," CID Working Papers 391, Center for International Development at Harvard University.
    2. Patricio Goldstein & Eduardo Levy Yeyati & Luca Sartorio, 2021. "Lockdown fatigue: The diminishing effects of quarantines on the spread of COVID-19," Department of Economics Working Papers wp_gob_2021_01, Universidad Torcuato Di Tella.
    3. Daron Acemoglu & Victor Chernozhukov & Iván Werning & Michael D. Whinston, 2021. "Optimal Targeted Lockdowns in a Multigroup SIR Model," American Economic Review: Insights, American Economic Association, vol. 3(4), pages 487-502, December.
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