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Poverty program participation and employment in timber-dependent counties

Author

Listed:
  • Berck, Peter
  • Costello, Christopher
  • Hoffmann, Sandra A.
  • Fortmann, Louise

Abstract

This paper uses cointegrated time-series methods to evaluate the effect of timber employment on participation in a major poverty program-Aid to Families with Dependent Children-Unemployed Parent (AFDC-UP). The study is conducted for major timber-producing counties in California. It is shown that a two-sector structural model can be solved to produce an error-correction model. An error-correction model is estimated with time series on state and county AFDC-UP caseload, state employment, county nontimber employment, and county timber employment. Utilizing tests on the cointegrating space, it is shown that there is no long-run relationship between poverty and timber employment in 10 of the 11 counties studied.

Suggested Citation

  • Berck, Peter & Costello, Christopher & Hoffmann, Sandra A. & Fortmann, Louise, 1999. "Poverty program participation and employment in timber-dependent counties," CUDARE Working Papers 43913, University of California, Berkeley, Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:ucbecw:43913
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.43913
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