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The Land Use in Rural New Zealand Model Version 1 (LURNZv1): Model Description

Author

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  • Hendy, Joanna
  • Kerr, Suzi
  • Baisden, Troy

Abstract

This paper documents the first version of the Land Use in Rural New Zealand Model (LURNZv1). It describes the overall modelling approach, the database underlying the model, and the construction of each module within the model. The model is econometrically estimated from national time series data and spatially extrapolated using economic and geophysical variables. It is primarily a simulation model but is also set up to produce predictions based on future price scenarios. The model output includes projections of four types of rural land use under different scenarios and 25 ha grid maps of where land use, and changes in land use, are likely to occur.

Suggested Citation

  • Hendy, Joanna & Kerr, Suzi & Baisden, Troy, 2007. "The Land Use in Rural New Zealand Model Version 1 (LURNZv1): Model Description," Motu Working Papers 292843, Motu Economic and Public Policy Research.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:motuwp:292843
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.292843
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    2. Kerr, Suzi & Zhang, Wei & Power, William, 2010. "Short term effects of moderate carbon prices on land use in the New Zealand emissions trading system: LURNZ-climate land use change simulations," 2010 Conference, August 26-27, 2010, Nelson, New Zealand 96941, New Zealand Agricultural and Resource Economics Society.
    3. Manley, Bruce, 2018. "Forecasting the effect of carbon price and log price on the afforestation rate in New Zealand," Journal of Forest Economics, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 112-120.
    4. Anastasiadis, Simon & Kerr, Suzi & Zhang, Wei & Allan, Corey & Power, WIlliam, 2014. "Land Use in Rural New Zealand: Spatial Land Use, Land-use Change, and Model Validation," Motu Working Papers 290607, Motu Economic and Public Policy Research.
    5. Kerr, Suzi & Anastasiadis, Simon & Olssen, Alex & Power, William & Timar, Levente & Zhang, Wei, 2012. "Spatial and Temporal Responses to an Emissions Trading System Covering Agriculture and Forestry: Simulation Results from New Zealand," Motu Working Papers 189545, Motu Economic and Public Policy Research.
    6. Lock, Kelly & Hendy, Joanna & Kerr, Suzi, 2006. "Sheep and Beef Production Costs Across New Zealand: Introducing the Spatial Dimension," 2006 Conference, August 24-25, 2006, Nelson, New Zealand 31952, New Zealand Agricultural and Resource Economics Society.
    7. Adams, Thomas & Turner, James A., 2012. "An investigation into the effects of an emissions trading scheme on forest management and land use in New Zealand," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 15(C), pages 78-90.
    8. Evison, David, 2010. "Comparing the profitability of farming and forestry," 2010 Conference, August 26-27, 2010, Nelson, New Zealand 99682, New Zealand Agricultural and Resource Economics Society.
    9. Olubode-Awosola, Femi, 2011. "Integrated Assessment Modelling of Complexity in the New Zealand Farming Industry," 2011 Conference, August 25-26, 2011, Nelson, New Zealand 115404, New Zealand Agricultural and Resource Economics Society.
    10. Lock, Kelly & Kerr, Suzi & Cox, Tim & Rutherford, Kit, 2008. "Assessing design options for a Nutrient Trading System using an integrated model," 2008 Conference, August 28-29, 2008, Nelson, New Zealand 96443, New Zealand Agricultural and Resource Economics Society.
    11. Zhang, Wei & Power, William & Kerr, Suzi, 2009. "Potential Scrub Changes and Its Spatial Allocation under the New Zealand Emission Trading System," 2009 Conference, August 16-22, 2009, Beijing, China 50896, International Association of Agricultural Economists.

    More about this item

    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • C88 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology; Computer Programs - - - Other Computer Software
    • Q25 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Renewable Resources and Conservation - - - Water
    • Q28 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Renewable Resources and Conservation - - - Government Policy
    • R14 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Land Use Patterns

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