IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/ags/masddp/23709.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

A Road Ahead From Cancun? Weighing Up Some Give-And-Take Scenarios In A Dda Spirit

Author

Listed:
  • Shakur, Shamim
  • Rae, Allan N.
  • Chatterjee, Srikanta

Abstract

Given that around 20 percent of the members of the World Trade Organisation (WTO) are identified as least developed countries (LDC's), global trade negotiations, resumed after the Cancun fiasco of September 2003, must address some major development issues in the spirit of the Doha Development Agenda (DDA), if they are to make any headway. This will, predictably, involve some sensible give-and-take not only between the developed countries and the LDC's, but also amongst the LDC's themselves, and between them and other developing countries. Issues of restrictions affecting agricultural trade - a major factor in the failure at Cancun - need re-addressing; but non-agricultural trade issues must also feature in the negotiations as that could make some acceptable policy compromises possible. This paper investigates, in a computable-general-equilibrium (CGE) framework, the welfare impacts on selected developed and developing country groupings of several scenarios of trade liberalisation that are likely to enhance agricultural and non-agricultural trade flows within the LDC's, and between them and other developing countries. The scenarios will involve experimentation with selected commodities that are of special export interest to LDC's to identify some modalities of trade liberalisation and policy reciprocity, that are more likely to be acceptable to all parties.

Suggested Citation

  • Shakur, Shamim & Rae, Allan N. & Chatterjee, Srikanta, 2004. "A Road Ahead From Cancun? Weighing Up Some Give-And-Take Scenarios In A Dda Spirit," Discussion Papers 23709, Massey University, Department of Applied and International Economics.
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:masddp:23709
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.23709
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/23709/files/dp040010.pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.22004/ag.econ.23709?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Hoekman, Bernanrd & Ng, Francis & Olarreaga, Marcelo, 2003. "Reducing agrcultural tariffs versus domestic support : what's more important for developing countries?," Policy Research Working Paper Series 2918, The World Bank.
    2. Sumner, Daniel A., 2000. "Domestic support and the WTO negotiations," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 44(3), pages 1-18.
    3. Rae, Allan N. & Strutt, Anna, 2003. "The Current Round of Agricultural Trade Negotiations: Should We Bother About Domestic Support?," Estey Centre Journal of International Law and Trade Policy, Estey Centre for Law and Economics in International Trade, vol. 4(2), pages 1-19.
    4. repec:bla:worlde:v:23:y:2000:i:04:p:455-469 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Olarreaga, Marcelo & Ng, Francis, 2002. "Reducing Agriculture Tariffs Versus Domestic Support: What's More Important for Developing Countries?," CEPR Discussion Papers 3576, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    6. Dimaranan, Betina V. & Hertel, Thomas W. & Keeney, Roman, 2003. "OECD Domestic Support and the Developing Countries," 2003 Annual meeting, July 27-30, Montreal, Canada 22000, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    7. Tim Josling, 2000. "New Farm Programs in North America and Their Treatment in the WTO: Discussion," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 82(3), pages 775-777.
    8. Rae, Allan N. & Strutt, Anna, 2003. "The Current Round of Agricultural Trade Negotiations: Should We Bother About Domestic Support? Technical Annex," Estey Centre Journal of International Law and Trade Policy, Estey Centre for Law and Economics in International Trade, vol. 4(2), pages 1-6.
    9. Dimaranan, Betina & Hertel, Thomas W. & Keeney, Roman, 2003. "OECD Domestic Support and the Developing Countries," GTAP Working Papers 1161, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Department of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University.
    10. Hertel, Thomas, 1997. "Global Trade Analysis: Modeling and applications," GTAP Books, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Department of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University, number 7685, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Niven Winchester, 2006. "Liberating middle earth: How will changes in the global trading system affect New Zealand?," New Zealand Economic Papers, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(1), pages 45-79.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Betina Dimaranan & Thomas W. Hertel & Roman Keeney, 2003. "OECD Domestic Support and Developing Countries," WIDER Working Paper Series DP2003-32, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    2. BOUËT Antoine & BUREAU Jean-Christophe & DECREUX Yvan & JEAN Sébastien, 2010. "Is Northern Agricultural Liberalization Beneficial to Developing Countries?," EcoMod2003 330700021, EcoMod.
    3. Kym Anderson, 2005. "On the Virtues of Multilateral Trade Negotiations," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 81(255), pages 414-438, December.
    4. Go, Delfin S. & Kearney, Marna & Robinson, Sherman & Thierfelder, Karen, 2004. "An Analysis of South Africa's Value Added Tax," Conference papers 331274, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    5. Antimiani, Alessandro & Conforti, Piero & Salvatici, Luca, 2005. "Alternative Market Access Scenarios in the Agriculture Trade Negotiations of the Doha Round," Estey Centre Journal of International Law and Trade Policy, Estey Centre for Law and Economics in International Trade, vol. 6(2), pages 1-23.
    6. Andrew H. Charlton & Joseph E. Stiglitz, 2005. "A Development‐friendly Prioritisation of Doha Round Proposals," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 28(3), pages 293-312, March.
    7. Mario Holzner, 2004. "GSIM Measurement of the Costs of Protection in Southeast Europe," wiiw Balkan Observatory Working Papers 55, The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, wiiw.
    8. Isermeyer, F. & Deblitz, C. & Hemme, T. & Pleßmann, F., 2005. "A link between the International Farm Comparison Network (IFCN) and global equilibrium models," Conference papers 331341, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    9. Thomas W. Hertel & Jeffrey J. Reimer, 2006. "Predicting the Poverty Impacts of Trade Reform," QA - Rivista dell'Associazione Rossi-Doria, Associazione Rossi Doria, issue 2, May.
    10. Pinto, Talita & Zanetti De Lima, Cicero & Gurgel, Angelo & Teixeira, Erly, 2016. "Spillover effects of rural credit: a CGE application for Brazilian regions," Conference papers 332761, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    11. Binfield, Julian & Meyers, William & Westhoff, Patrick, 2005. "Modelling CAP Reform: Consensus or Conflict?," Conference papers 331431, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    12. Hertel, Thomas W. & Reimer, Jeffrey J. & Valenzuela, Ernesto, 2005. "Incorporating commodity stockholding into a general equilibrium model of the global economy," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 22(4), pages 646-664, July.
    13. Ahmed, Saira & Ahmed, Vaqar & Abbas, Ahsan & O' Donoghue, Cathal, 2010. "Global Financial Crisis, MDGs and Choices for Pakistan’s Inclusive Development," Conference papers 331971, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    14. Hertel, Thomas W. & Keeney, Roman & Valenzuela, Ernesto, 2004. "Global Analysis of Agricultural Trade Liberalization: Assessing Model Validity," Conference papers 331270, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    15. Peters, Ralf & Vanzetti, David, 2012. "A Coherent Agriculture Trade Policy for Mexico," Conference papers 332229, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    16. Mr. Stephen Tokarick, 2003. "Measuring the Impact of Distortions in Agricultural Trade in Partial and General Equilibrium," IMF Working Papers 2003/110, International Monetary Fund.
    17. Raihan, Selim & Khondker, Bazlul Haque, 2010. "Doha Round Impacts on India: A Study in a Sequential Dynamic CGE Framework," MPRA Paper 37897, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    18. Jha, Shreyasi & Gamper-Rabindran, Shanti, 2004. "Environmental Impact of India’s Trade Liberalization," Conference papers 331181, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    19. Joseph E. Stiglitz & Andrew Charlton, 2005. "Un cycle de négociations commerciales pour le développement ?," Revue d’économie du développement, De Boeck Université, vol. 13(4), pages 17-54.
    20. Anderson, Kym, 2004. "The Challenge of Reducing Subsidies and Trade Barriers," CEPR Discussion Papers 4592, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    International Relations/Trade;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ags:masddp:23709. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: AgEcon Search (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/samasnz.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.