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Thomas Michael Mertens

Personal Details

First Name:Thomas
Middle Name:Michael
Last Name:Mertens
Suffix:
RePEc Short-ID:pme415
[This author has chosen not to make the email address public]
https://sites.google.com/site/thomasmichaelmertens/
Terminal Degree:2009 Department of Economics; Harvard University (from RePEc Genealogy)

Affiliation

Economic Research
Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco

San Francisco, California (United States)
http://www.frbsf.org/economics/

: (415) 974-3190
(415) 974-2168
P.O. Box 7702, San Francisco, CA 94120-7702
RePEc:edi:erfsfus (more details at EDIRC)

Research output

as
Jump to: Working papers Articles

Working papers

  1. Thomas M. Mertens & John C. Williams, 2019. "Monetary policy frameworks and the effective lower bound on interest rates," Staff Reports 877, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, revised 13 Jan 2019.
  2. Thomas M. Mertens & John C. Williams, 2019. "Tying Down the Anchor: Monetary Policy Rules and the Lower Bound on Interest Rates," Working Paper Series 2019-14, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, revised 01 May 2019.
  3. Thomas M. Mertens & John C. Williams, 2018. "What to Expect from the Lower Bound on Interest Rates: Evidence from Derivatives Prices," Working Paper Series 2018-3, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, revised 18 Jan 2018.
  4. Tarek A. Hassan & Thomas M. Mertens & Tony Zhang, 2016. "Currency Manipulation," Working Paper Series 2016-15, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, revised 12 Aug 2008.
  5. Tarek A. Hassan & Thomas M. Mertens & Tony Zhang, 2015. "Not so disconnected: exchange rates and the capital stock," Working Paper Series 2015-21, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, revised 01 Dec 2015.
  6. Tarek A. Hassan & Thomas M. Mertens, 2011. "The Social Cost of Near-Rational Investment," NBER Working Papers 17027, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  7. Roc Armenter & Thomas M. Mertens, 2010. "Fraud deterrence in dynamic Mirrleesian economies," Working Papers 10-7, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, revised 2010.
  8. Thomas Mertens, 2005. "Option pricing with sparse grids," Computing in Economics and Finance 2005 449, Society for Computational Economics.

Articles

  1. Simon H. Kwan & Thomas M. Mertens, 2020. "Market Assessment of COVID-19," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, vol. 2020(14), pages 1-5, May.
  2. Michael D. Bauer & Thomas M. Mertens, 2019. "Zero Lower Bound Risk according to Option Prices," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  3. Thomas M. Mertens & Patrick Shultz & Michael Tubbs, 2018. "Valuation Ratios for Households and Businesses," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  4. Michael D. Bauer & Thomas M. Mertens, 2018. "Economic Forecasts with the Yield Curve," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  5. Michael D. Bauer & Thomas M. Mertens, 2018. "Information in the Yield Curve about Future Recessions," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  6. Thomas M. Mertens & Patrick Shultz, 2017. "China's Exchange Rate Policies and U.S. Financial Markets," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  7. John G. Fernald & Thomas M. Mertens & Patrick Shultz, 2017. "Has the Dollar Become More Sensitive to Interest Rates?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  8. Tarek A. Hassan & Thomas M. Mertens, 2011. "Market Sentiment: A Tragedy of the Commons," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 101(3), pages 402-405, May.

Citations

Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.

Blog mentions

As found by EconAcademics.org, the blog aggregator for Economics research:
  1. Tarek A. Hassan & Thomas M. Mertens, 2011. "The Social Cost of Near-Rational Investment," NBER Working Papers 17027, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Mentioned in:

    1. The high welfare cost of small information failures
      by Economic Logician in Economic Logic on 2011-06-09 20:19:00

Working papers

  1. Thomas M. Mertens & John C. Williams, 2019. "Monetary policy frameworks and the effective lower bound on interest rates," Staff Reports 877, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, revised 13 Jan 2019.

    Cited by:

    1. Gauti Eggertsson & Sergey K. Egiev & Alessandro Lin & Josef Platzer & Luca Riva, 2020. "A Toolkit for Solving Models with a Lower Bound on Interest Rates of Stochastic Duration," Working Papers 2020-14, Brown University, Department of Economics.
    2. Jerome H. Powell, 2019. "Opening Remarks : a speech at the \\"Conference on Monetary Policy Strategy, Tools, and Communications Practices\\" sponsored by the Federal Reserve, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, Chicago," Speech 1070, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

  2. Thomas M. Mertens & John C. Williams, 2019. "Tying Down the Anchor: Monetary Policy Rules and the Lower Bound on Interest Rates," Working Paper Series 2019-14, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, revised 01 May 2019.

    Cited by:

    1. Coenen, Günter & Montes-Galdón, Carlos & Smets, Frank, 2020. "Effects of state-dependent forward guidance, large-scale asset purchases and fiscal stimulus in a low-interest-rate environment," Working Paper Series 2352, European Central Bank.
    2. Eo, Yunjong & Lie, Denny, 2019. "Average Inflation Targeting and Interest-Rate Smoothing," Working Papers 2019-15, University of Sydney, School of Economics.
    3. Gauti Eggertsson & Sergey K. Egiev & Alessandro Lin & Josef Platzer & Luca Riva, 2020. "A Toolkit for Solving Models with a Lower Bound on Interest Rates of Stochastic Duration," Working Papers 2020-14, Brown University, Department of Economics.
    4. John C. Williams, 2019. "When the Facts Change…: remarks at the 9th High-Level Conference on the International Monetary System, Zürich, Switzerland," Speech 320, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    5. John C. Williams, 2019. "If we fail to prepare, we prepare to rail: remarks at Council on Foreign Relations, New York City," Speech 323, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    6. Jasmina Arifovic & Alex Grimaud & Isabelle Salle & Gauthier Vermandel, 2020. "Social Learning and Monetary Policy at the Effective Lower Bound," Staff Working Papers 20-2, Bank of Canada.

  3. Thomas M. Mertens & John C. Williams, 2018. "What to Expect from the Lower Bound on Interest Rates: Evidence from Derivatives Prices," Working Paper Series 2018-3, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, revised 18 Jan 2018.

    Cited by:

    1. Sanjay R. Singh & Pablo Cuba-Borda, 2019. "Understanding Persistent Stagnation," Working Papers 329, University of California, Davis, Department of Economics.
    2. Aeimit Lakdawala & Michael Bauer & Philippe Mueller, 2019. "Market-Based Monetary Policy Uncertainty," 2019 Meeting Papers 1403, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    3. Lamla, Michael & PJaifar, Damian & Rendell, Lea, 2019. "Inflation and Deflationary Biases in Inflation Expectations," Essex Finance Centre Working Papers 24771, University of Essex, Essex Business School.
    4. Thomas M. Mertens & John C. Williams, 2019. "Tying down the anchor: monetary policy rules and the lower bound on interest rates," Staff Reports 887, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, revised 01 Aug 2019.
    5. Thomas M. Mertens & John C. Williams, 2019. "Monetary Policy Frameworks and the Effective Lower Bound on Interest Rates," AEA Papers and Proceedings, American Economic Association, vol. 109, pages 427-432, May.
    6. Hills, Timothy S. & Nakata, Taisuke & Schmidt, Sebastian, 2019. "Effective lower bound risk," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).

  4. Tarek A. Hassan & Thomas M. Mertens & Tony Zhang, 2015. "Not so disconnected: exchange rates and the capital stock," Working Paper Series 2015-21, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, revised 01 Dec 2015.

    Cited by:

    1. Weithing Zhang & Thomas Mertens & Tarek Hassan, 2014. "Currency Manipulation," 2014 Meeting Papers 401, Society for Economic Dynamics.

  5. Tarek A. Hassan & Thomas M. Mertens, 2011. "The Social Cost of Near-Rational Investment," NBER Working Papers 17027, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Tarek A Hassan & Stephan Hollander & Laurence van Lent & Ahmed Tahoun, 2019. "Firm-Level Political Risk: Measurement and Effects," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. 134(4), pages 2135-2202.
    2. Tarek A. Hassan & Thomas M. Mertens, 2014. "Information Aggregation in a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2014, Volume 29, pages 159-207, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Kyle Jurado, 2016. "Advance Information and Distorted Beliefs in Macroeconomic and Financial Fluctuations," 2016 Meeting Papers 154, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    4. Straub, Ludwig & Ulbricht, Robert, 2015. "Endogenous Uncertainty and Credit Crunches," TSE Working Papers 15-604, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE), revised Dec 2017.
    5. Ruediger Bachmann & Steffen Elstner, 2013. "Firms' Optimism and Pessimism," CESifo Working Paper Series 4176, CESifo.
    6. Joel M. David & Ina Simonovska, 2015. "Correlated Beliefs, Returns, and Stock Market Volatility," NBER Working Papers 21480, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    7. Tarek Alexander Hassan & Stephan Hollander & Laurence van Lent & Ahmed Tahoun, 2020. "The Global Impact of Brexit Uncertainty," Boston University - Department of Economics - The Institute for Economic Development Working Papers Series dp-332, Boston University - Department of Economics.
    8. Tarek Alexander Hassan & Stephan Hollander & Laurence van Lent & Ahmed Tahoun, 2020. "The Global Impact of Brexit Uncertainty," NBER Working Papers 26609, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    9. Mendel, Brock & Shleifer, Andrei, 2012. "Chasing Noise," Scholarly Articles 10859950, Harvard University Department of Economics.
    10. Mertens, Thomas M. & Judd, Kenneth L., 2018. "Solving an incomplete markets model with a large cross-section of agents," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 349-368.
    11. Giacomo Rondina & Todd Walker, 2016. "Learning and Informational Stability of Dynamic REE with Incomplete Information," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 21, pages 147-159, July.
    12. Andreas Fuster & Benjamin Hebert & David Laibson, 2012. "Natural Expectations, Macroeconomic Dynamics, and Asset Pricing," NBER Macroeconomics Annual, University of Chicago Press, vol. 26(1), pages 1-48.
    13. Elena Asparouhova & Peter Bossaerts & Nilanjan Roy & William Zame, 2013. "'Lucas' In The Laboratory," NBER Working Papers 19068, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    14. Klaus Adam & Johannes Beutel & Albert Marcet, 2014. "Stock Price Booms and Expected Capital Gains," UFAE and IAE Working Papers 948.14, Unitat de Fonaments de l'Anàlisi Econòmica (UAB) and Institut d'Anàlisi Econòmica (CSIC).
    15. Stephen J. Terry, 2015. "The Macro Impact of Short-Termism," Discussion Papers 15-022, Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research.
    16. Goldstein, Itay & Ozdenoren, Emre & Yuan, Kathy, 2013. "Trading frenzies and their impact on real investment," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(2), pages 566-582.
    17. Gaetano Gaballo & Ryan Chahrour, 2015. "On the Nature and Stability of Sentiments," 2015 Meeting Papers 469, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    18. Wei Xiong & Alp Simsek & Markus Brunnermeier, 2014. "A Welfare Criterion for Models with Distorted Beliefs," 2014 Meeting Papers 1418, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    19. Tarek A. Hassan & Thomas M. Mertens, 2014. "Information Aggregation in a DSGE Model," NBER Working Papers 20193, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    20. Nicola Fuchs-Schuendeln & Tarek Alexander Hassan, 2015. "Natural Experiments in Macroeconomics," NBER Working Papers 21228, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    21. Angeletos, G.-M. & Lian, C., 2016. "Incomplete Information in Macroeconomics," Handbook of Macroeconomics, in: J. B. Taylor & Harald Uhlig (ed.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 1065-1240, Elsevier.
    22. Chahrour, Ryan & Gaballo, Gaetano, 2017. "Learning from prices: amplication and business fluctuations," Working Paper Series 2053, European Central Bank.
    23. Lansing, Kevin J., 2012. "Speculative growth, overreaction, and the welfare cost of technology-driven bubbles," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 83(3), pages 461-483.
    24. Avanidhar Subrahmanyam & Sheridan Titman, 2013. "Financial Market Shocks and the Macroeconomy," NBER Working Papers 19383, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    25. Ambrocio, Gene, 2015. "Rational exuberance booms and asymmetric business cycles," Research Discussion Papers 24/2015, Bank of Finland.
    26. Darmouni, Olivier & Sutherland, Andrew, 2018. "Learning about Competitors: Evidence from SME Lending," MPRA Paper 93668, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    27. Thomas Mertens, 2012. "Solving General Incomplete Market Models with Substantial Heterogeneity," 2012 Meeting Papers 1173, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    28. Hassan, Tarek Alexander & Hollander, Stephan & Tahoun, Ahmed & van Lent, Laurence, 2019. "The Global Impact of Brexit Uncertainty," CEPR Discussion Papers 14253, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    29. Tarek A. Hassan & Thomas M. Mertens, 2011. "Market Sentiment: A Tragedy of the Commons," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 101(3), pages 402-405, May.
    30. Indrajit Mitra & Leonid Kogan, 2014. "Accuracy Verification for Numerical Solutions of Equilibrium Models," 2014 Meeting Papers 423, Society for Economic Dynamics.

  6. Roc Armenter & Thomas M. Mertens, 2010. "Fraud deterrence in dynamic Mirrleesian economies," Working Papers 10-7, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, revised 2010.

    Cited by:

    1. Kotsogiannis, Christos & Mateos-Planas, Xavier, 2019. "Tax evasion as contingent debt," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 100941, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    2. Yunmin Chen & YiLi Chien & Michael T. Owyang, 2015. "Individual and Aggregate Constrained Efficient Intertemporal Wedges in Dynamic Mirrleesian Economies," Working Papers 2015-43, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, revised 01 Apr 2016.
    3. B. Ravikumar & Yuzhe Zhang, 2011. "Optimal auditing and insurance in a dynamic model of tax compliance," Working Papers 2011-020, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    4. Christos Kotsogiannis & Xavier Mateos-Planas, 2019. "Tax Evasion as Contingent Debt," Discussion Papers 1903, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).

  7. Thomas Mertens, 2005. "Option pricing with sparse grids," Computing in Economics and Finance 2005 449, Society for Computational Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Daniel Gull, 2011. "Valuation of Discount Options in Software License Agreements," Business & Information Systems Engineering: The International Journal of WIRTSCHAFTSINFORMATIK, Springer;Gesellschaft für Informatik e.V. (GI), vol. 3(4), pages 221-230, August.

Articles

  1. Michael D. Bauer & Thomas M. Mertens, 2018. "Economic Forecasts with the Yield Curve," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.

    Cited by:

    1. Luca Benzoni & Olena Chyruk & David Kelley, 2018. "Why Does the Yield-Curve Slope Predict Recessions?," Working Paper Series WP-2018-15, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, revised 28 Sep 2018.
    2. Lael Brainard, 2018. "Sustaining Full Employment and Inflation around Target : a speech at the Forecasters Club of New York, New York, New York, May 31, 2018," Speech 1005, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    3. B. De Backer & M. Deroose & Ch. Van Nieuwenhuyze, 2019. "Is a recession imminent? The signal of the yield curve," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue i, pages 69-93, June.
    4. Eric Engstrom & Steven A. Sharpe, 2018. "The Near-Term Forward Yield Spread as a Leading Indicator : A Less Distorted Mirror," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2018-055, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    5. Gerlach, Stefan & Stuart, Rebecca, 2018. "The Slope of the Term Structure and Recessions: The Pre-Fed Evidence, 1857-1913," CEPR Discussion Papers 13013, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    6. Michael D. Bauer & Thomas M. Mertens, 2018. "Information in the Yield Curve about Future Recessions," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    7. Erhard RESCHENHOFER & Thomas STARK, 2019. "Forecasting the Yield Curve with Dynamic Factors," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(1), pages 101-113, March.

  2. Michael D. Bauer & Thomas M. Mertens, 2018. "Information in the Yield Curve about Future Recessions," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.

    Cited by:

    1. Bofinger, Peter & Feld, Lars P. & Schmidt, Christoph M. & Schnabel, Isabel & Wieland, Volker, 2018. "Vor wichtigen wirtschaftspolitischen Weichenstellungen. Jahresgutachten 2018/19," Annual Economic Reports / Jahresgutachten, German Council of Economic Experts / Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung, volume 127, number 201819.
    2. B. De Backer & M. Deroose & Ch. Van Nieuwenhuyze, 2019. "Is a recession imminent? The signal of the yield curve," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue i, pages 69-93, June.
    3. Harold M. Hastings & Tai Young-Taft & Thomas Wang, 2019. "When to Ease Off the Brakes--and Hopefully Prevent Recessions," Economics Working Paper Archive wp_929, Levy Economics Institute.
    4. Hauber, Philipp, 2019. "Zur Wahrscheinlichkeit einer Rezession in den Vereinigten Staaten," IfW-Box 2019.14, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW).
    5. Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Hauber, Philipp & Kooths, Stefan & Stolzenburg, Ulrich, 2019. "Weltkonjunktur im Winter 2019 - Weltkonjunktur bleibt vorerst ohne Schwung," Kieler Konjunkturberichte 61, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW).

  3. John G. Fernald & Thomas M. Mertens & Patrick Shultz, 2017. "Has the Dollar Become More Sensitive to Interest Rates?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.

    Cited by:

    1. Matthieu Bussiere & Menzie D. Chinn & Laurent Ferrara & Jonas Heipertz, 2018. "The New Fama Puzzle," NBER Working Papers 24342, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

  4. Tarek A. Hassan & Thomas M. Mertens, 2011. "Market Sentiment: A Tragedy of the Commons," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 101(3), pages 402-405, May.

    Cited by:

    1. Hassan, Tarek & Mertens, Thomas M., 2014. "The Social Cost of Near-Rational Investment," CEPR Discussion Papers 10007, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    2. Vladimir Asriyan & William Fuchs & Brett Green, 2017. "Liquidity Sentiments," Working Papers 993, Barcelona Graduate School of Economics.
    3. Angeletos, G.-M. & Lian, C., 2016. "Incomplete Information in Macroeconomics," Handbook of Macroeconomics, in: J. B. Taylor & Harald Uhlig (ed.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 1065-1240, Elsevier.
    4. George-Marios Angeletos & Chen Lian, 2016. "Incomplete Information in Macroeconomics: Accommodating Frictions in Coordination," NBER Working Papers 22297, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    5. Vives, Xavier & Yang, Liyan, 2017. "Costly Interpretation of Asset Prices," CEPR Discussion Papers 12360, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

More information

Research fields, statistics, top rankings, if available.

Statistics

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Co-authorship network on CollEc

NEP Fields

NEP is an announcement service for new working papers, with a weekly report in each of many fields. This author has had 9 papers announced in NEP. These are the fields, ordered by number of announcements, along with their dates. If the author is listed in the directory of specialists for this field, a link is also provided.
  1. NEP-MAC: Macroeconomics (7) 2016-08-28 2018-02-19 2018-09-10 2019-01-14 2019-01-28 2019-05-13 2019-05-20. Author is listed
  2. NEP-MON: Monetary Economics (6) 2018-02-19 2018-09-10 2019-01-14 2019-01-28 2019-05-13 2019-05-20. Author is listed
  3. NEP-CBA: Central Banking (4) 2018-09-10 2019-01-14 2019-05-13 2019-05-20
  4. NEP-CTA: Contract Theory & Applications (2) 2010-04-11 2011-05-14
  5. NEP-BEC: Business Economics (1) 2019-05-20
  6. NEP-IAS: Insurance Economics (1) 2010-04-11

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