Andrew B. Martinez
Personal Details
First Name: | Andrew |
Middle Name: | B. |
Last Name: | Martinez |
Suffix: | |
RePEc Short-ID: | pma1768 |
[This author has chosen not to make the email address public] | |
https://sites.google.com/view/andrewbmartinez/ | |
Twitter: | @andrewbmartinez |
Mastodon: | |
Terminal Degree: | 2019 Department of Economics; Oxford University (from RePEc Genealogy) |
Affiliation
(2%) Economic Research
Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland
Cleveland, Ohio (United States)https://www.clevelandfed.org/our-research/
RePEc:edi:efrbcus (more details at EDIRC)
(8%) Department of Economics
Oxford University
Oxford, United Kingdomhttp://www.economics.ox.ac.uk/
RePEc:edi:sfeixuk (more details at EDIRC)
(75%) Department of the Treasury
Government of the United States
Washington, District of Columbia (United States)http://www.treasury.gov/
RePEc:edi:tregvus (more details at EDIRC)
(15%) H.O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting
Center for Economic Research
Department of Economics
George Washington University
Washington, District of Columbia (United States)https://cer.columbian.gwu.edu/ho-stekler-research-program-forecasting
RePEc:edi:pfgwuus (more details at EDIRC)
Research output
Jump to: Working papers Articles ChaptersWorking papers
- Jennifer L. Castle & David F. Hendry & Andrew B. Martinez, 2022.
"The Historical Role of Energy in UK Inflation and Productivity and Implications for Price Inflation in 2022,"
Working Papers
2022-001, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- Jennifer L. Castle & David F. Hendry & Andrew B. Martinez, 2022. "The historical role of energy in UK inflation and productivity and implications for price inflation in 2022," Economics Series Working Papers 983, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- David H. Bernstein & Andrew B. Martinez, 2021.
"Jointly Modeling Male and Female Labor Participation and Unemployment,"
Working Papers
2021-006, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- David H. Bernstein & Andrew B. Martinez, 2021. "Jointly Modeling Male and Female Labor Participation and Unemployment," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 9(4), pages 1-14, December.
- Martinez, Andrew & Schibuola, Alex, 2021. "The Expectations Gap: An Alternative Measure of Economic Slack," Working Papers 11284, George Mason University, Mercatus Center.
- Andrew B. Martinez, 2020.
"Forecast Accuracy Matters for Hurricane Damages,"
Working Papers
2020-003, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- Andrew B. Martinez, 2020. "Forecast Accuracy Matters for Hurricane Damage," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 8(2), pages 1-24, May.
- Andrew B. Martinez, 2020. "Extracting Information from Different Expectations," Working Papers 2020-008, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- Andrew B. Martinez & Jennifer L. Castle & David F. Hendry, 2020.
"Smooth Robust Multi-Horizon Forecasts,"
Working Papers
2020-009, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- Andrew B. Martinez & Jennifer L. Castle & David F. Hendry, 2022. "Smooth Robust Multi-Horizon Forecasts," Advances in Econometrics, in: Essays in Honor of M. Hashem Pesaran: Prediction and Macro Modeling, volume 43, pages 143-165, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
- Andrew B. Martinez & Jennifer L. Castle & David F. Hendry, 2021. "Smooth Robust Multi-Horizon Forecasts," Economics Papers 2021-W01, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
- Fotios Petropoulos & Daniele Apiletti & Vassilios Assimakopoulos & Mohamed Zied Babai & Devon K. Barrow & Souhaib Ben Taieb & Christoph Bergmeir & Ricardo J. Bessa & Jakub Bijak & John E. Boylan & Jet, 2020.
"Forecasting: theory and practice,"
Papers
2012.03854, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2022.
- Petropoulos, Fotios & Apiletti, Daniele & Assimakopoulos, Vassilios & Babai, Mohamed Zied & Barrow, Devon K. & Ben Taieb, Souhaib & Bergmeir, Christoph & Bessa, Ricardo J. & Bijak, Jakub & Boylan, Joh, 2022. "Forecasting: theory and practice," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 705-871.
- Andrew Martinez, 2017. "Testing for Differences in Path Forecast Accuracy: Forecast-Error Dynamics Matter," Working Papers (Old Series) 1717, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- David Hendry & Andrew B. Martinez, 2016.
"Evaluating Multi-Step System Forecasts with Relatively Few Forecast-Error Observations,"
Economics Series Working Papers
784, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- Hendry, David F. & Martinez, Andrew B., 2017. "Evaluating multi-step system forecasts with relatively few forecast-error observations," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 359-372.
- Jennifer Castle & David Hendry, 2016. "Policy Analysis, Forediction, and Forecast Failure," Economics Series Working Papers 809, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- Andrew Martinez, 2014.
"How Good Are U.S. Government Forecasts of the Federal Debt?,"
Economics Series Working Papers
727, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- Martinez, Andrew B., 2015. "How good are US government forecasts of the federal debt?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 312-324.
- Andrew B. Martinez, 2011. "Comparing Government Forecasts of the United States’ Gross Federal Debt," Working Papers 2011-002, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
Articles
- Petropoulos, Fotios & Apiletti, Daniele & Assimakopoulos, Vassilios & Babai, Mohamed Zied & Barrow, Devon K. & Ben Taieb, Souhaib & Bergmeir, Christoph & Bessa, Ricardo J. & Bijak, Jakub & Boylan, Joh, 2022.
"Forecasting: theory and practice,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 705-871.
- Fotios Petropoulos & Daniele Apiletti & Vassilios Assimakopoulos & Mohamed Zied Babai & Devon K. Barrow & Souhaib Ben Taieb & Christoph Bergmeir & Ricardo J. Bessa & Jakub Bijak & John E. Boylan & Jet, 2020. "Forecasting: theory and practice," Papers 2012.03854, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2022.
- David H. Bernstein & Andrew B. Martinez, 2021.
"Jointly Modeling Male and Female Labor Participation and Unemployment,"
Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 9(4), pages 1-14, December.
- David H. Bernstein & Andrew B. Martinez, 2021. "Jointly Modeling Male and Female Labor Participation and Unemployment," Working Papers 2021-006, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- Andrew B. Martinez, 2020.
"Forecast Accuracy Matters for Hurricane Damage,"
Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 8(2), pages 1-24, May.
- Andrew B. Martinez, 2020. "Forecast Accuracy Matters for Hurricane Damages," Working Papers 2020-003, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- Andrew B. Martinez, 2020. "Improving normalized hurricane damages," Nature Sustainability, Nature, vol. 3(7), pages 517-518, July.
- Jennifer L. Castle & David F. Hendry & Andrew B. Martinez, 2017. "Evaluating Forecasts, Narratives and Policy Using a Test of Invariance," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 5(3), pages 1-27, September.
- Hendry, David F. & Martinez, Andrew B., 2017.
"Evaluating multi-step system forecasts with relatively few forecast-error observations,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 359-372.
- David Hendry & Andrew B. Martinez, 2016. "Evaluating Multi-Step System Forecasts with Relatively Few Forecast-Error Observations," Economics Series Working Papers 784, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- Martinez, Andrew B., 2015.
"How good are US government forecasts of the federal debt?,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 312-324.
- Andrew Martinez, 2014. "How Good Are U.S. Government Forecasts of the Federal Debt?," Economics Series Working Papers 727, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
Chapters
- Andrew B. Martinez & Jennifer L. Castle & David F. Hendry, 2022.
"Smooth Robust Multi-Horizon Forecasts,"
Advances in Econometrics, in: Essays in Honor of M. Hashem Pesaran: Prediction and Macro Modeling, volume 43, pages 143-165,
Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
- Andrew B. Martinez & Jennifer L. Castle & David F. Hendry, 2021. "Smooth Robust Multi-Horizon Forecasts," Economics Papers 2021-W01, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
- Andrew B. Martinez & Jennifer L. Castle & David F. Hendry, 2020. "Smooth Robust Multi-Horizon Forecasts," Working Papers 2020-009, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
Citations
Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.Working papers
- David H. Bernstein & Andrew B. Martinez, 2021.
"Jointly Modeling Male and Female Labor Participation and Unemployment,"
Working Papers
2021-006, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- David H. Bernstein & Andrew B. Martinez, 2021. "Jointly Modeling Male and Female Labor Participation and Unemployment," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 9(4), pages 1-14, December.
Cited by:
- Jennifer L. Castle & David F. Hendry & Andrew B. Martinez, 2022.
"The Historical Role of Energy in UK Inflation and Productivity and Implications for Price Inflation in 2022,"
Working Papers
2022-001, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- Jennifer L. Castle & David F. Hendry & Andrew B. Martinez, 2022. "The historical role of energy in UK inflation and productivity and implications for price inflation in 2022," Economics Series Working Papers 983, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- Andrew B. Martinez, 2020.
"Forecast Accuracy Matters for Hurricane Damages,"
Working Papers
2020-003, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- Andrew B. Martinez, 2020. "Forecast Accuracy Matters for Hurricane Damage," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 8(2), pages 1-24, May.
Cited by:
- Neil R. Ericsson, 2021. "Dynamic Econometrics in Action: A Biography of David F. Hendry," International Finance Discussion Papers 1311, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Pollack, Adam B. & Kaufmann, Robert K., 2022. "Increasing storm risk, structural defense, and house prices in the Florida Keys," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 194(C).
- Neil R. Ericsson & Mohammed H. I. Dore & Hassan Butt, 2022. "Detecting and Quantifying Structural Breaks in Climate," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 10(4), pages 1-27, November.
- Anand, Vaibhav, 2022. "The Value of Forecast Improvements: Evidence from Advisory Lead Times and Vehicle Crashes," MPRA Paper 114491, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- J. James Reade & Carl Singleton & Alasdair Brown, 2019.
"Evaluating Strange Forecasts: The Curious Case of Football Match Scorelines,"
Economics Discussion Papers
em-dp2019-18, Department of Economics, University of Reading, revised 01 Aug 2020.
- J. James Reade & Carl Singleton & Alasdair Brown, 2021. "Evaluating strange forecasts: The curious case of football match scorelines," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 68(2), pages 261-285, May.
- Renato Molina & Ivan Rudik, 2022. "The Social Value of Predicting Hurricanes," CESifo Working Paper Series 10049, CESifo.
- Andrew B. Martinez & Jennifer L. Castle & David F. Hendry, 2020.
"Smooth Robust Multi-Horizon Forecasts,"
Working Papers
2020-009, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- Andrew B. Martinez & Jennifer L. Castle & David F. Hendry, 2022. "Smooth Robust Multi-Horizon Forecasts," Advances in Econometrics, in: Essays in Honor of M. Hashem Pesaran: Prediction and Macro Modeling, volume 43, pages 143-165, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
- Andrew B. Martinez & Jennifer L. Castle & David F. Hendry, 2021. "Smooth Robust Multi-Horizon Forecasts," Economics Papers 2021-W01, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
Cited by:
- Neil R. Ericsson, 2021. "Dynamic Econometrics in Action: A Biography of David F. Hendry," International Finance Discussion Papers 1311, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Fotios Petropoulos & Daniele Apiletti & Vassilios Assimakopoulos & Mohamed Zied Babai & Devon K. Barrow & Souhaib Ben Taieb & Christoph Bergmeir & Ricardo J. Bessa & Jakub Bijak & John E. Boylan & Jet, 2020.
"Forecasting: theory and practice,"
Papers
2012.03854, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2022.
- Petropoulos, Fotios & Apiletti, Daniele & Assimakopoulos, Vassilios & Babai, Mohamed Zied & Barrow, Devon K. & Ben Taieb, Souhaib & Bergmeir, Christoph & Bessa, Ricardo J. & Bijak, Jakub & Boylan, Joh, 2022. "Forecasting: theory and practice," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 705-871.
- Andrew B. Martinez, 2020. "Extracting Information from Different Expectations," Working Papers 2020-008, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- Fotios Petropoulos & Daniele Apiletti & Vassilios Assimakopoulos & Mohamed Zied Babai & Devon K. Barrow & Souhaib Ben Taieb & Christoph Bergmeir & Ricardo J. Bessa & Jakub Bijak & John E. Boylan & Jet, 2020.
"Forecasting: theory and practice,"
Papers
2012.03854, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2022.
- Petropoulos, Fotios & Apiletti, Daniele & Assimakopoulos, Vassilios & Babai, Mohamed Zied & Barrow, Devon K. & Ben Taieb, Souhaib & Bergmeir, Christoph & Bessa, Ricardo J. & Bijak, Jakub & Boylan, Joh, 2022. "Forecasting: theory and practice," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 705-871.
Cited by:
- Janczura, Joanna & Wójcik, Edyta, 2022. "Dynamic short-term risk management strategies for the choice of electricity market based on probabilistic forecasts of profit and risk measures. The German and the Polish market case study," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
- Heymann, Fabian & Milojevic, Tatjana & Covatariu, Andrei & Verma, Piyush, 2023. "Digitalization in decarbonizing electricity systems – Phenomena, regional aspects, stakeholders, use cases, challenges and policy options," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 262(PB).
- Amjad Almusaed & Ibrahim Yitmen & Asaad Almssad, 2023. "Enhancing Smart Home Design with AI Models: A Case Study of Living Spaces Implementation Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(6), pages 1-23, March.
- Jozef Barunik & Lubos Hanus, 2023. "Learning Probability Distributions of Day-Ahead Electricity Prices," Papers 2310.02867, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2023.
- Nghia Chu & Binh Dao & Nga Pham & Huy Nguyen & Hien Tran, 2022. "Predicting Mutual Funds' Performance using Deep Learning and Ensemble Techniques," Papers 2209.09649, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2023.
- Li, Xishu & Zuidwijk, Rob & de Koster, M.B.M, 2023. "Optimal competitive capacity strategies: Evidence from the container shipping market," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
- Richard Bean, 2023. "Forecasting the Monash Microgrid for the IEEE-CIS Technical Challenge," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(3), pages 1-23, January.
- Emmanuel Senyo Fianu, 2022. "Analyzing and Forecasting Multi-Commodity Prices Using Variants of Mode Decomposition-Based Extreme Learning Machine Hybridization Approach," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 4(2), pages 1-27, June.
- Ca’ Zorzi, Michele & Rubaszek, Michał, 2023. "How many fundamentals should we include in the behavioral equilibrium exchange rate model?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 118(C).
- Joanna Janczura & Andrzej Puć, 2023. "ARX-GARCH Probabilistic Price Forecasts for Diversification of Trade in Electricity Markets—Variance Stabilizing Transformation and Financial Risk-Minimizing Portfolio Allocation," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(2), pages 1-28, January.
- Wesley Marcos Almeida & Claudimar Pereira Veiga, 2023. "Does demand forecasting matter to retailing?," Journal of Marketing Analytics, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 11(2), pages 219-232, June.
- Anna Sznajderska & Alfred A. Haug, 2023. "Bayesian VARs of the U.S. economy before and during the pandemic," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 13(2), pages 211-236, June.
- Jun Meng & Jingfang Fan & Uma S. Bhatt & Jürgen Kurths, 2023. "Arctic weather variability and connectivity," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-11, December.
- Marek Kwas & Alessia Paccagnini & Michal Rubaszek, 2020.
"Common factors and the dynamics of cereal prices. A forecasting perspective,"
CAMA Working Papers
2020-47, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Kwas, Marek & Paccagnini, Alessia & Rubaszek, Michał, 2022. "Common factors and the dynamics of cereal prices. A forecasting perspective," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 28(C).
- Aitazaz Ali Raja & Pierre Pinson & Jalal Kazempour & Sergio Grammatico, 2022. "A Market for Trading Forecasts: A Wagering Mechanism," Papers 2205.02668, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2022.
- Grzegorz Marcjasz & Micha{l} Narajewski & Rafa{l} Weron & Florian Ziel, 2022.
"Distributional neural networks for electricity price forecasting,"
Papers
2207.02832, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2022.
- Marcjasz, Grzegorz & Narajewski, Michał & Weron, Rafał & Ziel, Florian, 2023. "Distributional neural networks for electricity price forecasting," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
- Tetiana Zatonatska & Olena Liashenko & Yana Fareniuk & Oleksandr Dluhopolskyi & Artur Dmowski & Marzena Cichorzewska, 2022. "The Migration Influence on the Forecasting of Health Care Budget Expenditures in the Direction of Sustainability: Case of Ukraine," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(21), pages 1-17, November.
- Jonathan Berrisch & Florian Ziel, 2022. "Distributional modeling and forecasting of natural gas prices," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(6), pages 1065-1086, September.
- Oscar Espinosa & Valeria Bejarano & Jeferson Ramos & Boris Martínez, 2023. "Statistical actuarial estimation of the Capitation Payment Unit from copula functions and deep learning: historical comparability analysis for the Colombian health system, 2015–2021," Health Economics Review, Springer, vol. 13(1), pages 1-20, December.
- Silvia Golia & Luigi Grossi & Matteo Pelagatti, 2022. "Machine Learning Models and Intra-Daily Market Information for the Prediction of Italian Electricity Prices," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 5(1), pages 1-21, December.
- Alroomi, Azzam & Karamatzanis, Georgios & Nikolopoulos, Konstantinos & Tilba, Anna & Xiao, Shujun, 2022. "Fathoming empirical forecasting competitions’ winners," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(4), pages 1519-1525.
- Guo, Su & Zheng, Kun & He, Yi & Kurban, Aynur, 2023. "The artificial intelligence-assisted short-term optimal scheduling of a cascade hydro-photovoltaic complementary system with hybrid time steps," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 202(C), pages 1169-1189.
- Rai, Amit & Shrivastava, Ashish & Jana, Kartick C., 2023. "Differential attention net: Multi-directed differential attention based hybrid deep learning model for solar power forecasting," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 263(PC).
- Anita M. Bunea & Mariangela Guidolin & Piero Manfredi & Pompeo Della Posta, 2022. "Diffusion of Solar PV Energy in the UK: A Comparison of Sectoral Patterns," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 4(2), pages 1-21, April.
- Andrea Savio & Luigi De Giovanni & Mariangela Guidolin, 2022. "Modelling Energy Transition in Germany: An Analysis through Ordinary Differential Equations and System Dynamics," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 4(2), pages 1-18, April.
- Fernández, Joaquín Delgado & Menci, Sergio Potenciano & Lee, Chul Min & Rieger, Alexander & Fridgen, Gilbert, 2022. "Privacy-preserving federated learning for residential short-term load forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 326(C).
- Radovan Šomplák & Veronika Smejkalová & Martin Rosecký & Lenka Szásziová & Vlastimír Nevrlý & Dušan Hrabec & Martin Pavlas, 2023. "Comprehensive Review on Waste Generation Modeling," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(4), pages 1-29, February.
- Fiszeder, Piotr & Fałdziński, Marcin & Molnár, Peter, 2023. "Modeling and forecasting dynamic conditional correlations with opening, high, low, and closing prices," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 308-321.
- Paul Ghelasi & Florian Ziel, 2023. "Hierarchical forecasting for aggregated curves with an application to day-ahead electricity price auctions," Papers 2305.16255, arXiv.org.
- Katarzyna Maciejowska & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafa{l} Weron, 2022. "Forecasting Electricity Prices," Papers 2204.11735, arXiv.org.
- Andrew Martinez, 2017.
"Testing for Differences in Path Forecast Accuracy: Forecast-Error Dynamics Matter,"
Working Papers (Old Series)
1717, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
Cited by:
- Håvard Hungnes, 2020. "Equal predictability test for multi-step-ahead system forecasts invariant to linear transformations," Discussion Papers 931, Statistics Norway, Research Department.
- Andrew B. Martinez, 2020. "Extracting Information from Different Expectations," Working Papers 2020-008, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- David Hendry & Andrew B. Martinez, 2016.
"Evaluating Multi-Step System Forecasts with Relatively Few Forecast-Error Observations,"
Economics Series Working Papers
784, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- Hendry, David F. & Martinez, Andrew B., 2017. "Evaluating multi-step system forecasts with relatively few forecast-error observations," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 359-372.
Cited by:
- Jennifer L. Castle & Michael P. Clements & David F. Hendry, 2016.
"An Overview of Forecasting Facing Breaks,"
Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 12(1), pages 3-23, September.
- Jennifer Castle & David Hendry & Michael P. Clements, 2016. "An Overview of Forecasting Facing Breaks," Economics Series Working Papers 779, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- Michael P. Clements, 2022. "Forecaster Efficiency, Accuracy, and Disagreement: Evidence Using Individual‐Level Survey Data," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 54(2-3), pages 537-568, March.
- Neil R. Ericsson, 2021. "Dynamic Econometrics in Action: A Biography of David F. Hendry," International Finance Discussion Papers 1311, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Jennifer Castle & Takamitsu Kurita, 2019. "Modelling and forecasting the dollar-pound exchange rate in the presence of structural breaks," Economics Series Working Papers 866, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- Andrew Martinez, 2017. "Testing for Differences in Path Forecast Accuracy: Forecast-Error Dynamics Matter," Working Papers (Old Series) 1717, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Neil R. Ericsson, 2016.
"Economic Forecasting in Theory and Practice : An Interview with David F. Hendry,"
International Finance Discussion Papers
1184, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Neil R. Ericsson, 2016. "Economic Forecasting in Theory and Practice: An Interview with David F. Hendry," Working Papers 2016-012, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- Ericsson, Neil R., 2017. "Economic forecasting in theory and practice: An interview with David F. Hendry," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 523-542.
- Castle, Jennifer L. & Kurita, Takamitsu, 2021. "A dynamic econometric analysis of the dollar-pound exchange rate in an era of structural breaks and policy regime shifts," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
- Håvard Hungnes, 2020. "Predicting the exchange rate path. The importance of using up-to-date observations in the forecasts," Discussion Papers 934, Statistics Norway, Research Department.
- Roberto Casarin & Fausto Corradin & Francesco Ravazzolo & Domenico Sartore, 2018.
"A scoring rule for factor and autoregressive models under misspecification,"
Working Papers
2018:18, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
- Roberto Casarin & Fausto Corradin & Francesco Ravazzolo & Nguyen Domenico Sartore, 2020. "A Scoring Rule for Factor and Autoregressive Models Under Misspecification," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 24(2), pages 66-103, June.
- Chevillon, Guillaume, 2017. "Robustness of Multistep Forecasts and Predictive Regressions at Intermediate and Long Horizons," ESSEC Working Papers WP1710, ESSEC Research Center, ESSEC Business School.
- Michael Clements, 2016. "Are Macro-Forecasters Essentially The Same? An Analysis of Disagreement, Accuracy and Efficiency," ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance icma-dp2016-08, Henley Business School, University of Reading.
- Håvard Hungnes, 2020. "Equal predictability test for multi-step-ahead system forecasts invariant to linear transformations," Discussion Papers 931, Statistics Norway, Research Department.
- Michael P. Clements, 2020. "Are Some Forecasters’ Probability Assessments of Macro Variables Better Than Those of Others?," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 8(2), pages 1-16, May.
- Håvard Hungnes, 2018. "Encompassing tests for evaluating multi-step system forecasts invariant to linear transformations," Discussion Papers 871, Statistics Norway, Research Department.
- Jennifer Castle & David Hendry, 2016.
"Policy Analysis, Forediction, and Forecast Failure,"
Economics Series Working Papers
809, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
Cited by:
- Marcela De Castro-Valderrama & Santiago Forero-Alvarado & Nicolás Moreno-Arias & Sara Naranjo-Saldarriaga, 2021. "Unraveling the Exogenous Forces Behind Analysts’ Macroeconomic Forecasts," Borradores de Economia 1184, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- Andrew Martinez, 2014.
"How Good Are U.S. Government Forecasts of the Federal Debt?,"
Economics Series Working Papers
727, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- Martinez, Andrew B., 2015. "How good are US government forecasts of the federal debt?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 312-324.
Cited by:
- David Hendry & Andrew B. Martinez, 2016.
"Evaluating Multi-Step System Forecasts with Relatively Few Forecast-Error Observations,"
Economics Series Working Papers
784, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- Hendry, David F. & Martinez, Andrew B., 2017. "Evaluating multi-step system forecasts with relatively few forecast-error observations," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 359-372.
- Neil R. Ericsson, 2017.
"How Biased Are U.S. Government Forecasts of the Federal Debt?,"
International Finance Discussion Papers
1189, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Ericsson, Neil R., 2017. "How biased are U.S. government forecasts of the federal debt?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 543-559.
- Neil R. Ericsson, 2017. "How Biased Are U.S. Government Forecasts of the Federal Debt?," Working Papers 2017-001, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- Arai, Natsuki & Iizuka, Nobuo & Yamamoto, Yohei, 2022. "The Efficiency of the Government’s Revenue Projections," Discussion paper series HIAS-E-122, Hitotsubashi Institute for Advanced Study, Hitotsubashi University.
- Andrew Martinez, 2017. "Testing for Differences in Path Forecast Accuracy: Forecast-Error Dynamics Matter," Working Papers (Old Series) 1717, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Tsuchiya, Yoichi, 2016. "Directional analysis of fiscal sustainability: Revisiting Domar's debt sustainability condition," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 189-201.
- Steinbuks, Jevgenijs, 2019. "Assessing the accuracy of electricity production forecasts in developing countries," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 1175-1185.
- Andrew B. Martinez, 2020. "Extracting Information from Different Expectations," Working Papers 2020-008, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- Arai, Natsuki, 2020. "Investigating the inefficiency of the CBO’s budgetary projections," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(4), pages 1290-1300.
- Andrew B. Martinez, 2011.
"Comparing Government Forecasts of the United States’ Gross Federal Debt,"
Working Papers
2011-002, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
Cited by:
- Neil R. Ericsson, 2017.
"How Biased Are U.S. Government Forecasts of the Federal Debt?,"
International Finance Discussion Papers
1189, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Ericsson, Neil R., 2017. "How biased are U.S. government forecasts of the federal debt?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 543-559.
- Neil R. Ericsson, 2017. "How Biased Are U.S. Government Forecasts of the Federal Debt?," Working Papers 2017-001, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- Gamber, Edward N. & Liebner, Jeffrey P., 2017. "Comment on “How Biased are US Government Forecasts of the Federal Debt?”," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 560-562.
- Martinez, Andrew B., 2015.
"How good are US government forecasts of the federal debt?,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 312-324.
- Andrew Martinez, 2014. "How Good Are U.S. Government Forecasts of the Federal Debt?," Economics Series Working Papers 727, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- Arai, Natsuki, 2020. "Investigating the inefficiency of the CBO’s budgetary projections," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(4), pages 1290-1300.
- Neil R. Ericsson, 2017.
"How Biased Are U.S. Government Forecasts of the Federal Debt?,"
International Finance Discussion Papers
1189, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
Articles
- Petropoulos, Fotios & Apiletti, Daniele & Assimakopoulos, Vassilios & Babai, Mohamed Zied & Barrow, Devon K. & Ben Taieb, Souhaib & Bergmeir, Christoph & Bessa, Ricardo J. & Bijak, Jakub & Boylan, Joh, 2022.
"Forecasting: theory and practice,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 705-871.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Fotios Petropoulos & Daniele Apiletti & Vassilios Assimakopoulos & Mohamed Zied Babai & Devon K. Barrow & Souhaib Ben Taieb & Christoph Bergmeir & Ricardo J. Bessa & Jakub Bijak & John E. Boylan & Jet, 2020. "Forecasting: theory and practice," Papers 2012.03854, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2022.
- David H. Bernstein & Andrew B. Martinez, 2021.
"Jointly Modeling Male and Female Labor Participation and Unemployment,"
Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 9(4), pages 1-14, December.
See citations under working paper version above.
- David H. Bernstein & Andrew B. Martinez, 2021. "Jointly Modeling Male and Female Labor Participation and Unemployment," Working Papers 2021-006, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- Andrew B. Martinez, 2020.
"Forecast Accuracy Matters for Hurricane Damage,"
Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 8(2), pages 1-24, May.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Andrew B. Martinez, 2020. "Forecast Accuracy Matters for Hurricane Damages," Working Papers 2020-003, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- Andrew B. Martinez, 2020.
"Improving normalized hurricane damages,"
Nature Sustainability, Nature, vol. 3(7), pages 517-518, July.
Cited by:
- Neil R. Ericsson, 2021. "Dynamic Econometrics in Action: A Biography of David F. Hendry," International Finance Discussion Papers 1311, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Jennifer L. Castle & David F. Hendry & Andrew B. Martinez, 2017.
"Evaluating Forecasts, Narratives and Policy Using a Test of Invariance,"
Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 5(3), pages 1-27, September.
Cited by:
- Jeyhun I. Mikayilov & Shahriyar Mukhtarov & Jeyhun Mammadov, 2020. "Gasoline Demand Elasticities at the Backdrop of Lower Oil Prices: Fuel-Subsidizing Country Case," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(24), pages 1-18, December.
- Hendry, David F. & Pretis, Felix, 2023.
"Analysing differences between scenarios,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 754-771.
- David F. Hendry & Felix Pretis, 2020. "Analyzing Differences between Scenarios," Economics Papers 2020-W05, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
- Andrew B. Martinez, 2020.
"Forecast Accuracy Matters for Hurricane Damages,"
Working Papers
2020-003, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- Andrew B. Martinez, 2020. "Forecast Accuracy Matters for Hurricane Damage," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 8(2), pages 1-24, May.
- Hendry, David F., 2018.
"Deciding between alternative approaches in macroeconomics,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 34(1), pages 119-135.
- David Hendry, 2016. "Deciding Between Alternative Approaches In Macroeconomics," Economics Series Working Papers 778, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- Rocco Mosconi & Paolo Paruolo, 2022. "Celebrated Econometricians: Katarina Juselius and Søren Johansen," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 10(2), pages 1-4, May.
- Simionescu, Mihaela, 2022. "Econometrics of sentiments- sentometrics and machine learning: The improvement of inflation predictions in Romania using sentiment analysis," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 182(C).
- Clements, Michael P. & Reade, J. James, 2020. "Forecasting and forecast narratives: The Bank of England Inflation Reports," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(4), pages 1488-1500.
- Guillaume Chevillon & Takamitsu Kurita, 2023. "What Does it Take to Control Global Temperatures? A toolbox for estimating the impact of economic policies on climate," Papers 2307.05818, arXiv.org.
- Jennifer L. Castle & Jurgen A. Doornik & David F. Hendry, 2020.
"Robust Discovery of Regression Models,"
Economics Papers
2020-W04, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
- Castle, Jennifer L. & Doornik, Jurgen A. & Hendry, David F., 2023. "Robust Discovery of Regression Models," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 31-51.
- S. Yanki Kalfa & Jaime Marquez, 2021.
"Forecasting FOMC Forecasts,"
Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 9(3), pages 1-21, September.
- S. Yanki Kalfa & Jaime Marquez, 2018. "Forecasting FOMC Forecasts," Working Papers 2018-007, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- David F. Hendry, 2020. "A Short History of Macro-econometric Modelling," Economics Papers 2020-W01, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
- Pretis, Felix, 2021. "Exogeneity in climate econometrics," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
- Hendry, David F. & Martinez, Andrew B., 2017.
"Evaluating multi-step system forecasts with relatively few forecast-error observations,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 359-372.
See citations under working paper version above.
- David Hendry & Andrew B. Martinez, 2016. "Evaluating Multi-Step System Forecasts with Relatively Few Forecast-Error Observations," Economics Series Working Papers 784, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- Martinez, Andrew B., 2015.
"How good are US government forecasts of the federal debt?,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 312-324.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Andrew Martinez, 2014. "How Good Are U.S. Government Forecasts of the Federal Debt?," Economics Series Working Papers 727, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
Chapters
- Andrew B. Martinez & Jennifer L. Castle & David F. Hendry, 2022.
"Smooth Robust Multi-Horizon Forecasts,"
Advances in Econometrics, in: Essays in Honor of M. Hashem Pesaran: Prediction and Macro Modeling, volume 43, pages 143-165,
Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
See citations under working paper version above.Sorry, no citations of chapters recorded.
- Andrew B. Martinez & Jennifer L. Castle & David F. Hendry, 2021. "Smooth Robust Multi-Horizon Forecasts," Economics Papers 2021-W01, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
- Andrew B. Martinez & Jennifer L. Castle & David F. Hendry, 2020. "Smooth Robust Multi-Horizon Forecasts," Working Papers 2020-009, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
More information
Research fields, statistics, top rankings, if available.Statistics
Access and download statistics for all items
Co-authorship network on CollEc
NEP Fields
NEP is an announcement service for new working papers, with a weekly report in each of many fields. This author has had 12 papers announced in NEP. These are the fields, ordered by number of announcements, along with their dates. If the author is listed in the directory of specialists for this field, a link is also provided.- NEP-FOR: Forecasting (6) 2015-08-19 2016-04-16 2017-11-12 2021-01-18 2021-03-08 2022-03-21. Author is listed
- NEP-ECM: Econometrics (4) 2016-04-16 2016-11-20 2017-11-12 2021-01-18
- NEP-MON: Monetary Economics (3) 2020-11-16 2022-09-19 2022-11-28
- NEP-BIG: Big Data (2) 2020-07-20 2020-11-16
- NEP-ENE: Energy Economics (2) 2022-09-19 2022-11-28
- NEP-HIS: Business, Economic & Financial History (2) 2022-09-19 2022-11-28
- NEP-MAC: Macroeconomics (2) 2020-11-16 2021-12-06
- NEP-ORE: Operations Research (2) 2016-04-16 2021-12-06
- NEP-BAN: Banking (1) 2022-03-21
- NEP-CWA: Central & Western Asia (1) 2022-03-21
- NEP-ENV: Environmental Economics (1) 2020-07-20
- NEP-ETS: Econometric Time Series (1) 2021-01-18
- NEP-GEN: Gender (1) 2021-12-06
- NEP-LAB: Labour Economics (1) 2021-12-06
- NEP-UPT: Utility Models & Prospect Theory (1) 2022-03-21
- NEP-URE: Urban & Real Estate Economics (1) 2020-07-20
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