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Publications

by members of

Laboratory for Analysis and Forecast of Economic Processes
National Research University Higher School of Economics (HSE)
Moscow, Russia

These are publications listed in RePEc written by members of the above institution who are registered with the RePEc Author Service. Thus this compiles the works all those currently affiliated with this institution, not those affilated at the time of publication. List of registered members. Register yourself. Citation analysis. This page is updated in the first days of each month.
| Working papers | Journal articles |

Working papers

2021

  1. Andrey A. Gnidchenko & Vladimir A. Salnikov, 2021. "Trade Intensity, Net Trade, and Revealed Comparative Advantage," HSE Working papers WP BRP 244/EC/2021, National Research University Higher School of Economics.

2019

  1. Andrey A. Gnidchenko, 2019. "Structural Transformation and Quality Ladders: Solving the “Theil's Cube”," HSE Working papers WP BRP 218/EC/2019, National Research University Higher School of Economics.

2015

  1. Andrey A. Gnidchenko & Vladimir A. Salnikov, 2015. "Net Comparative Advantage Index: Overcoming the Drawbacks of the Existing Indices," HSE Working papers WP BRP 119/EC/2015, National Research University Higher School of Economics.
  2. Anna Pestova, 2015. "Leading Indicators of the Business Cycle: Dynamic Logit Models for OECD Countries and Russia," HSE Working papers WP BRP 94/EC/2015, National Research University Higher School of Economics.

2013

  1. Gnidchenko, Andrey, 2013. "Зарубежные (1913-2013 Гг.) И Российские (1992-2013 Гг.) Кинофильмы: Основные Характеристики, Тенденции И Взаимосвязи [Foreign (1913-2013) and Russian (1992-2013) Motion Pictures: Basic Characterist," MPRA Paper 48391, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  2. Pestova Anna & Mamonov Mikhail, 2013. "Macroeconomic and bank?specific determinants of credit risk: evidence from Russia," EERC Working Paper Series 13/10e, EERC Research Network, Russia and CIS.
  3. Mikhail Mamonov, 2013. "Bad management, skimping, or both? The relationship between cost efficiency and loan quality in Russian banks," HSE Working papers WP BRP 19/FE/2013, National Research University Higher School of Economics.

2012

  1. Gnidchenko, Andrey A., 2012. "Новый Метод Оценки Структуры И Базы Экспортного Потенциала [The new method for estimating the structure and the basis of export potential]," MPRA Paper 43691, University Library of Munich, Germany.

2011

  1. Gnidchenko, Andrey, 2011. "Моделирование Технологических И Институциональных Эффектов В Макроэкономическом Прогнозировании [Technological and Institutional Effects Modeling in Macroeconomic Forecasting]," MPRA Paper 35484, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised May 2011.

2010

  1. Gnidchenko, Andrey, 2010. "Defragmentation of Economic Growth with a Focus on Diversification: Evidence from Russian Economy," MPRA Paper 27113, University Library of Munich, Germany.

Journal articles

2024

  1. D. I. Galimov & A. A. Gnidchenko & V. A. Salnikov, 2024. "Assessment of Prospects for Per Capita Consumption of Food and Industrial Goods in Russia," Studies on Russian Economic Development, Springer, vol. 35(3), pages 373-387, June.

2023

  1. Andrey Gnidchenko, 2023. "The Links of Russia with EU, USA, China and ASEAN in International Supply Chains," HSE Economic Journal, National Research University Higher School of Economics, vol. 27(4), pages 527-549.
  2. A. A. Gnidchenko & O. M. Mikheeva & V. A. Salnikov, 2023. "“Having leapt never look back”: Who stays with Russia and how are imports redistributed?," Voprosy Ekonomiki, NP Voprosy Ekonomiki, issue 12.

2021

  1. Gnidchenko, Andrey A., 2021. "Structural transformation and quality ladders: Evidence from the new Theil's decomposition," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 281-291.
  2. A. A. Gnidchenko, 2021. "Structural transformation trajectories: Evidence from successful exporting countries," Voprosy Ekonomiki, NP Voprosy Ekonomiki, issue 12.

2020

  1. A. A. Gnidchenko, 2020. "Measuring quality-based competitiveness: What’s wrong with high-tech exports?," Voprosy Ekonomiki, NP Voprosy Ekonomiki, issue 6.
  2. V. A. Sal’nikov & D. I. Galimov, 2020. "Statistics of Industrial Production in Russia: Some Observations of Attentive Users," Studies on Russian Economic Development, Springer, vol. 31(1), pages 7-16, January.

2019

  1. Roman Volkov & Ekaterina Sabelnikova & Vladimir Salnikov & Marat Idrisov & Saltanat Zhumabekova & Peter Piakucka, 2019. "Barriers of the EAEU Common Market for Foreign Activity of Enterprises," HSE Economic Journal, National Research University Higher School of Economics, vol. 23(1), pages 61-89.
  2. V. A. Salnikov & O. M. Mikheeva, 2019. "Analysis and Forecast of Russian Housing Stock Based on New Data Sources," Studies on Russian Economic Development, Springer, vol. 30(4), pages 442-450, July.

2018

  1. Andrey Gnidchenko, 2018. "Multipolar Global Trade Slowdown and Revival," HSE Economic Journal, National Research University Higher School of Economics, vol. 22(4), pages 583-608.
  2. Gnidchenko, A., 2018. "Structural Transformation in International Trade (2001-2015): Towards a New Classification," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, vol. 37(1), pages 62-86.
  3. V. A. Salnikov & D. I. Galimov & A. A. Gnidchenko, 2018. "Using Input−Output Tables for Analyzing and Forecasting the Sectoral Structure of Russian Economy," Studies on Russian Economic Development, Springer, vol. 29(6), pages 645-653, November.
  4. Roman G. Volkov & Ekaterina M. Sabelnikova, 2018. "Survey Method In Identifying Non–Tariff Barriers At External Market Annotation," International Trade and Trade Policy, ФГБОУ ВО "Ð Ð¾Ñ Ñ Ð¸Ð¹Ñ ÐºÐ¸Ð¹ Ñ ÐºÐ¾Ð½Ð¾Ð¼Ð¸Ñ‡ÐµÑ ÐºÐ¸Ð¹ ÑƒÐ½Ð¸Ð²ÐµÑ€Ñ Ð¸Ñ‚ÐµÑ‚ им. Г.Ð’. Плеханова", issue 1.
  5. V. A. Salnikov & O. M. Mikheeva, 2018. "Models for Predicting Prices in the Moscow Residential Real Estate Market," Studies on Russian Economic Development, Springer, vol. 29(1), pages 94-101, January.
  6. Mikhail Mamonov & Renat Akhmetov & Vera Pankova & Oleg Solntsev & Anna Pestova & Artem Deshko, 2018. "Identification of Financial Sector Optimal Depth and Structure from the Perspective of Economic Growth, Macroeconomic and Financial Stability," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 77(3), pages 89-123, September.

2017

  1. Salnikov, Vladimir & Galimov, Dmitry & Mikheeva, Olga & Gnidchenko, Andrey & Rybalka, Alexey, 2017. "Russian manufacturing production capacity: Primary trends and structural characteristics," Russian Journal of Economics, Elsevier, vol. 3(3), pages 240-262.
  2. D. Galimov & A. Gnidchenko & O. Mikheeva & A. Rybalka & V. Salnikov, 2017. "Production capacity in Russian manufacturing: Primary trends and structural characteristics," Voprosy Ekonomiki, NP Voprosy Ekonomiki, issue 5.
  3. D. Galimov & A. Gnidchenko & E. Sabelnikova & V. Salnikov, 2017. "Inter-industry effects from Russian trade integration into the EAEU," Voprosy Ekonomiki, NP Voprosy Ekonomiki, issue 10.
  4. Apokin, Alexander (Апокин, Александр) & Gnidchenko, Andrey (Гнидченко, Андрей) & Sabelnikova, Ekaterina (Сабельникова, Екатерина), 2017. "Import Substitution Potential and Gains from Economic Integration: Disaggregated Estimations [Потенциал Импортозамещения И Выгоды От Экономической Интеграции: Дезагрегированные Оценки]," Ekonomicheskaya Politika / Economic Policy, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, vol. 2, pages 44-71, April.
  5. Апокин Александр Юрьевич & Гнидченко Андрей Андреевич & Сабельникова Екатерина Михайловна, 2017. "Потенциал Импортозамещения И Выгоды От Экономической Интеграции: Дезагрегированные Оценки," Economic policy Экономическая политика, CyberLeninka;Автономная некоммерческая организация «Редакция журнала “Экономическая политика”», vol. 12(2), pages 44-71.
  6. A. A. Gnidchenko, 2017. "Import substitution as a complementary strategy," Studies on Russian Economic Development, Springer, vol. 28(6), pages 593-599, November.

2016

  1. Andrey Gnidchenko & Anastasia Mogilat & Olga Mikheeva & Vladimir Salnikov, 2016. "Foreign Technology Transfer: An Assessment of Russia’s Economic Dependence on High-Tech Imports," Foresight and STI Governance (Foresight-Russia till No. 3/2015), National Research University Higher School of Economics, vol. 10(1), pages 53-67.
  2. Gnidchenko, A., 2016. "Import Substitution in Russian Industry: Current Situation and Prospects," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, vol. 32(4), pages 154-161.
  3. A. Gnidchenko, 2016. "Intra-industry and inter-industry trade through the lens of comparative and absolute advantage," Voprosy Ekonomiki, NP Voprosy Ekonomiki, issue 10.
  4. Сальников В.А. & Гнидченко А.А. & Галимов Д.И., 2016. "Оценка Отраслевых Эффектов Интеграции России, Белоруссии И Казахстана За Счет Производственной Кооперации," Studies on Russian Economic Development Проблемы прогнозирования, CyberLeninka;Федеральное государственное бюджетное учреждение науки Институт народнохозяйственного прогнозирования Российской академии наук, issue 1 (154), pages 134-148.
  5. V. A. Salnikov & A. A. Gnidchenko & D. I. Galimov, 2016. "Industry-level effects from integration between Russia, Belarus and Kazakhstan through industrial cooperation," Studies on Russian Economic Development, Springer, vol. 27(1), pages 101-113, January.

2015

  1. Mamonov, M. & Pestova, A., 2015. "The Technical Efficiency of National Economies: Do the Institutions, Infrastructure and Resources Rents Matter?," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, vol. 27(3), pages 44-78.
  2. Mamonov, Mikhail, 2015. "Microeconomic modification of an industry-wide Boone indicator: Market power of Russian banks revisited," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 39(3), pages 18-44.
  3. Mogilat, A. & Salnikov, V., 2015. "Trade Effects Estimation for the Case of Eurasian Economic Space Countries: Application of Regional Gravity Model," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, vol. 27(3), pages 80-108.
  4. Alexander Apokin & Dmitry Belousov & Vladimir Salnikov & Igor Frolov, 2015. "Long-term Socioeconomic Challenges for Russia and Demand for New Technology," Foresight and STI Governance (Foresight-Russia till No. 3/2015), National Research University Higher School of Economics, vol. 9(4), pages 6-17.
  5. Апокин Александр & Белоусов Дмитрий & Сальников Владимир & Фролов Игорь, 2015. "Долгосрочные Социально-Экономические Вызовы Для России И Востребованность Новых Технологий," Foresight-Russia Форсайт, CyberLeninka;Федеральное государственное автономное образовательное учреждение высшего образования «Национальный исследовательский университет «Высшая школа экономики», vol. 9(4), pages 6-17.

2014

  1. Gnidchenko, A., 2014. "Improving the Methods for Estimating the Structure and the Basis of Export Potential through Export Diversification," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, vol. 21(1), pages 83-109.
  2. Gnidchenko, A., 2014. "Decomposing Export Growth into Extensive and Intensive Margins with the Emphasis on Comparative Advantages," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, vol. 24(4), pages 38-64.
  3. A. Gnidchenko & V. Salnikov, 2014. "Russian foreign trade price competitiveness," Voprosy Ekonomiki, NP Voprosy Ekonomiki, issue 1.

2013

  1. Гнидченко Андрей Андреевич & Сальников Владимир Алексеевич, 2013. "Динамика Конкурентных Позиций России На Внешних Рынках," Studies on Russian Economic Development Проблемы прогнозирования, CyberLeninka;Федеральное государственное бюджетное учреждение науки Институт народнохозяйственного прогнозирования Российской академии наук, issue 6, pages 81-101.
  2. Elena Abramova & Alexander Apokin & Dmitry Belousov & Alexander Frolov & Kirill Mikhailenko & Elena Penukhina, 2013. "Future of Russia: Macroeconomic Scenarios in the Global Context," Foresight and STI Governance (Foresight-Russia till No. 3/2015), National Research University Higher School of Economics, vol. 7(2), pages 6-25.
  3. Frolov, A., 2013. "Problems of Coordination of Science and Technology, Innovation and Industrial Policy in Russia," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, vol. 20(4), pages 133-147.

2012

  1. Dmitry Belousov & Alexander Frolov & Irina Sukhareva, 2012. "Applying Technology Roadmapping to Exploratory Forecasting," Foresight and STI Governance (Foresight-Russia till No. 3/2015), National Research University Higher School of Economics, vol. 6(2), pages 6-16.
  2. Mamonov, Mikhail, 2012. "The impact of market power of Russian banks on their credit risk tolerance: A panel study," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 28(4), pages 85-112.
  3. Salnikov, V. & Mogilat, A. & Maslov, I., 2012. "Stress Testing for Russian Real Sector: First Approach," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, vol. 16(4), pages 46-70.

2011

  1. Andrey GNIDCHENKO, 2011. "Defragmentation Of Economic Growth With A Focus On Diversification: Evidence From Russian Economy," Theoretical and Practical Research in the Economic Fields, ASERS Publishing, vol. 2(1), pages 44-80.
  2. Solntsev, O. & Mamonov, M. & Pestova, A. & Magomedova, Z., 2011. "Experience in Developing Early Warning System for Financial Crises and the Forecast of Russian Banking Sector Dynamic in 2012," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, issue 12, pages 41-76.

2010

  1. Alexander Apokin & Dmitry Belousov & Kirill Mikhailenko, 2010. "Key Parameters of Russia's Long-Term Economic Development: A Scenario Analysis," Foresight and STI Governance (Foresight-Russia till No. 3/2015), National Research University Higher School of Economics, vol. 4(1), pages 4-18.
  2. Mamonov, Mikhail, 2010. "Testing for Competition in the Russian Banking Sector within Panzar-Rosse approach: theoretical and empirical framework," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 20(4), pages 3-27.
  3. Belousov, D., 2010. "Strategies of Modernization," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, issue 7, pages 138-140.

2009

  1. Alexander Apokin & Dmitry Belousov, 2009. "Scenarios of the Global and Russian Economic Development as a Basis for S&T Forecasting," Foresight and STI Governance (Foresight-Russia till No. 3/2015), National Research University Higher School of Economics, vol. 3(3), pages 12-29.
  2. Mikhail Mamonov & Oleg Solntsev, 2009. "Foreign Banks Expansion to Russian Banking Sector: Interim Summation, Perspective Analysis Effort," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, issue 1-2, pages 175-189.
  3. Salnikov, V., 2009. "Russian Industry: Major Trends under the Crisis," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, issue 3-4, pages 166-184.
  4. Солнцев О. Г. & Хромов М. Ю. & Волков Р. Г., 2009. "Институты Развития: Анализ И Оценка Мирового Опыта," Studies on Russian Economic Development Проблемы прогнозирования, CyberLeninka;Федеральное государственное бюджетное учреждение науки Институт народнохозяйственного прогнозирования Российской академии наук, issue 2, pages 3-29.

2008

  1. Dmitry Belousov & Igor Frolov, 2008. "Long-Term Science and Technology Forecasting: Methodologies, Future Visions, Scenarios of Development," Foresight and STI Governance (Foresight-Russia till No. 3/2015), National Research University Higher School of Economics, vol. 2(3), pages 54-66.
  2. Белоусов Д. Р. & Сальников В. А. & Апокин А. Ю. & Фролов И. Э., 2008. "Направления Технологической Модернизации Ведущих Отраслей Российской Промышленности," Studies on Russian Economic Development Проблемы прогнозирования, CyberLeninka;Федеральное государственное бюджетное учреждение науки Институт народнохозяйственного прогнозирования Российской академии наук, issue 6, pages 3-18.
  3. Солнцев Олег, 2008. "Кризис По Программе Сои," Прямые инвестиции, CyberLeninka;Закрытое акционерное общество "Инвест Медиа", issue 2 (70), pages 82-87.

2006

  1. Сальников В. А. & Галимов Д. И., 2006. "Конкурентоспособность Отраслей Российской Промышленности Текущее Состояние И Перспективы," Studies on Russian Economic Development Проблемы прогнозирования, CyberLeninka;Федеральное государственное бюджетное учреждение науки Институт народнохозяйственного прогнозирования Российской академии наук, issue 2, pages 55-83.

2003

  1. Губанов В.А., 2003. "Выделение Нестационарной Циклической Составляющей Из Временных Рядов," Журнал Экономика и математические методы (ЭММ), Центральный Экономико-Математический Институт (ЦЭМИ), vol. 39(1), январь.
  2. Mikhailenko, Kirill, 2003. "Methodology Of Scenario Forecasting Of Russia’S Economic Development," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(5), pages 78-91, December.

2001

  1. Губанов В.А. & Ковальджи А.К., 2001. "Выделение Сезонных Колебаний На Основе Вариационных Принципов," Журнал Экономика и математические методы (ЭММ), Центральный Экономико-Математический Институт (ЦЭМИ), vol. 37(1), январь.
  2. Сальников В. А. & Галимов Д. И., 2001. "Посткризисный Промышленный Подъем: Факторы, Результаты И Перспективы," Studies on Russian Economic Development Проблемы прогнозирования, CyberLeninka;Федеральное государственное бюджетное учреждение науки Институт народнохозяйственного прогнозирования Российской академии наук, issue 3, pages 1-22.

2000

  1. Сальников В. А., 2000. "Финансовые Ресурсы Отраслей Промышленности: Формирование, Использование, Межотраслевое Перераспределение," Studies on Russian Economic Development Проблемы прогнозирования, CyberLeninka;Федеральное государственное бюджетное учреждение науки Институт народнохозяйственного прогнозирования Российской академии наук, issue 3, pages 12-35.

1999

  1. S. Moiseev & K. Mikhailenko, 1999. "Terra Incognita: Globalization of Financial Markets," Voprosy Ekonomiki, NP Voprosy Ekonomiki, vol. 6.

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