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Langfristige Prognose der Einnahmeentwicklung für den Landeshaushalt des Freistaates Sachsen bis zum Jahr 2025 : Gutachten im Auftrag des Sächsischen Staatsministeriums der Finanzen

Author Info

Listed author(s):
  • Johannes Steinbrecher
  • Christian Thater
  • Marcel Thum
  • Oskar Krohmer

Abstract

This project presents a continuation of the revenue forecast of the Free State of Saxony until 2025. For sustainable regional politics, more transparency in political decision-making, and especially in the current financial and economic crisis, a continuously updated revenue forecast is of great importance. The population in the East German states is declining and consequently also the transfers from the federal fiscal equalization scheme. Moreover, the transfer payments for East Germany since the German reunification will end 2019. All of these three facts lead to decreasing state revenues. The aim of the project is thus to estimate the extent of the decline and to formulate recommendations for the fiscal policy in the Free State of Saxony This project presents a continuation of the revenue forecast of the Free State of Saxony until 2025. For sustainable regional politics, more transparency in political decision-making, and especially in the current financial and economic crisis, a continuously updated revenue forecast is of great importance. The population in the East German states is declining and consequently also the transfers from the federal fiscal equalization scheme. Moreover, the transfer payments for East Germany since the German reunification will end 2019. All of these three facts lead to decreasing state revenues. The aim of the project is thus to estimate the extent of the decline and to formulate recommendations for the fiscal policy in the Free State of Saxony.

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File URL: http://www.cesifo-group.de/portal/page/portal/DocBase_Content/BR/br-ifo-drstud/ifo_Dresden_Studien_57.pdf
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This book is provided by ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich in its series ifo Dresden Studien with number 57 and published in 2010.
Handle: RePEc:ces:ifodrs:57
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More information through EDIRC

Keywords: Steueraufkommen; Länderhaushalt; Öffentlicher Haushalt; Prognose; Sachsen;

Find related papers by JEL classification:

  • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy
  • H60 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - General

References listed on IDEAS
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  7. N. Gregory Mankiw & David Romer & David N. Weil, 1992. "A Contribution to the Empirics of Economic Growth," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. 107(2), pages 407-437.
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  10. Barro, Robert J, 2000. "Inequality and Growth in a Panel of Countries," Journal of Economic Growth, Springer, vol. 5(1), pages 5-32, March.
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  12. Easterly, William & Rebelo, Sergio, 1993. "Fiscal policy and economic growth: An empirical investigation," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 32(3), pages 417-458, December.
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  14. Steven P. Cassou & Kevin J. Lansing, 1999. "Fiscal Policy and Productivity Growth in the OECD," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 32(5), pages 1215-1226, November.
  15. Bruno Van Pottelsberghe & Dominique Guellec, 1999. "Does government support stimulates private R&D," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/6231, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
  16. Abigail Barr, 1995. "The missing factor: entrepreneurial networks, enterprises and economic growth in Ghana," CSAE Working Paper Series 1995-11, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford.
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