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Modeling the spatial distribution of grazing intensity in Kazakhstan

Author

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  • Hankerson, Brett R.
  • Schierhorn, Florian
  • Prishchepov, Alexander V.
  • Dong, Changxing
  • Eisfelder, Christina
  • Müller, Daniel

Abstract

With increasing affluence in many developing countries, the demand for livestock products is rising and the increasing feed requirement contributes to pressure on land resources for food and energy production. However, there is currently a knowledge gap in our ability to assess the extent and intensity of the utilization of land by livestock, which is the single largest land use in the world. We developed a spatial model that combines fine-scale livestock numbers with their associated energy requirements to distribute livestock grazing demand onto a map of energy supply, with the aim of estimating where and to what degree pasture is being utilized. We applied our model to Kazakhstan, which contains large grassland areas that historically have been used for extensive livestock production but for which the current extent, and thus the potential for increasing livestock production, is unknown. We measured the grazing demand of Kazakh livestock in 2015 at 286 Petajoules, which was 25% of the estimated maximum sustainable energy supply that is available to livestock for grazing. The model resulted in a grazed area of 1.22 million km², or 48% of the area theoretically available for grazing in Kazakhstan, with most utilized land grazed at low intensities (average off-take rate was 13% of total biomass energy production). Under a conservative scenario, our estimations showed a production potential of 0.13 million tons of beef additional to 2015 production (31% increase), and much more with utilization of distant pastures. This model is an important step forward in evaluating pasture use and available land resources, and can be adapted at any spatial scale for any region in the world.

Suggested Citation

  • Hankerson, Brett R. & Schierhorn, Florian & Prishchepov, Alexander V. & Dong, Changxing & Eisfelder, Christina & Müller, Daniel, 2019. "Modeling the spatial distribution of grazing intensity in Kazakhstan," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 14(1), pages 1-27.
  • Handle: RePEc:zbw:espost:195047
    DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0210051
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Robinson, Sarah & Petrick, Martin, 2024. "Land access and feeding strategies in post-Soviet livestock husbandry: Evidence from a rangeland system in Kazakhstan," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 219.
    2. Rolinski, Susanne & Prishchepov, Alexander V. & Guggenberger, Georg & Bischoff, Norbert & Kurganova, Irina & Schierhorn, Florian & Müller, Daniel & Müller, Christoph, 2021. "Dynamics of soil organic carbon in the steppes of Russia and Kazakhstan under past and future climate and land use," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 21(3).
    3. Robinson, Sarah & Bozayeva, Zhanyl & Mukhamedova, Nozilakhon & Djanibekov, Nodir & Petrick, Martin, 2021. "Ranchers or pastoralists? Farm size, specialisation and production strategy amongst cattle farmers in south-eastern Kazakhstan," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 11.
    4. Kolluru, Venkatesh & John, Ranjeet & Saraf, Sakshi & Chen, Jiquan & Hankerson, Brett & Robinson, Sarah & Kussainova, Maira & Jain, Khushboo, 2023. "Gridded livestock density database and spatial trends for Kazakhstan," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 10, pages 1-15.
    5. Elisabeth Baranowski & Niels Thevs & Altyn Khalil & Azim Baibagyssov & Margulan Iklassov & Ruslan Salmurzauli & Sabir Nurtazin & Volker Beckmann, 2020. "Pastoral Farming in the Ili Delta, Kazakhstan, under Decreasing Water Inflow: An Economic Assessment," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 10(7), pages 1-29, July.

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