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Impact of Water Level Rise on Urban Infrastructures: Washington, DC, and Shanghai as Case Studies

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Listed:
  • Yanjie Zhang
  • Bilal M. Ayyub
  • Dongming Zhang
  • Hongwei Huang
  • Yalda Saadat

Abstract

The observed global sea level rise owing to climate change, coupled with the potential increase in extreme storms, requires a reexamination of existing infrastructural planning, construction, and management practices. Storm surge shows the effects of rising sea levels. The recent super storms that hit the United States (e.g., Hurricane Katrina in 2005, Sandy in 2012, Harvey and Maria in 2017) and China (e.g., Typhoon Haiyan in 2010) inflicted serious loss of life and property. Water level rise (WLR) of local coastal areas is a combination of sea level rise, storm surge, precipitation, and local land subsidence. Quantitative assessments of the impact of WLR include scenario identification, consequence assessment, vulnerability and flooding assessment, and risk management using inventory of assets from coastal areas, particularly population centers, to manage flooding risk and to enhance infrastructure resilience of coastal cities. This article discusses the impact of WLR on urban infrastructures with case studies of Washington, DC, and Shanghai. Based on the flooding risk analysis under possible scenarios, the property loss for Washington, DC, was evaluated, and the impact on the metro system of Shanghai was examined.

Suggested Citation

  • Yanjie Zhang & Bilal M. Ayyub & Dongming Zhang & Hongwei Huang & Yalda Saadat, 2019. "Impact of Water Level Rise on Urban Infrastructures: Washington, DC, and Shanghai as Case Studies," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 39(12), pages 2718-2731, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:wly:riskan:v:39:y:2019:i:12:p:2718-2731
    DOI: 10.1111/risa.13390
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. C. von Ferber & T. Holovatch & Yu. Holovatch & V. Palchykov, 2009. "Public transport networks: empirical analysis and modeling," The European Physical Journal B: Condensed Matter and Complex Systems, Springer;EDP Sciences, vol. 68(2), pages 261-275, March.
    2. Jun Wang & Wei Gao & Shiyuan Xu & Lizhong Yu, 2012. "Evaluation of the combined risk of sea level rise, land subsidence, and storm surges on the coastal areas of Shanghai, China," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 115(3), pages 537-558, December.
    3. Bilal M. Ayyub & Haralamb G. Braileanu & Naeem Qureshi, 2012. "Prediction and Impact of Sea Level Rise on Properties and Infrastructure of Washington, DC," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 32(11), pages 1901-1918, November.
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    Cited by:

    1. Li, Chunhong & Jia, Bin & Wang, Weiping & Gao, Jianxi & Solé-Ribalta, Albert & Borge-Holthoefer, Javier, 2026. "From flood-prone to flood-ready: The restoration-adaptation interplay in building resilient multimodal transport networks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 266(PB).
    2. Zhang, Yanjie & Ayyub, Bilal M. & Saadat, Yalda & Zhang, Dongming & Huang, Hongwei, 2020. "A double-weighted vulnerability assessment model for metrorail transit networks and its application in Shanghai metro," International Journal of Critical Infrastructure Protection, Elsevier, vol. 29(C).
    3. İsa Çal & Ayşen Ciravoğlu, 2024. "Determining Vulnerability Indicators of Buildings for Sea-Level Rise and Floods in Urban Coastal Areas," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 17(1), pages 1-30, December.
    4. Zhang, Dong-Ming & Bai, Hao & Zheng, Can-Zheng & Huang, Hong-Wei & Ayyub, Bilal M. & Cao, Wen-Jun, 2025. "Extreme rainfall induced risk mapping for metro transit systems: Shanghai metro network as a case," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 262(C).

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