IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/wly/riskan/v37y2017i6p1041-1051.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Modeling and Managing the Risks of Measles and Rubella: A Global Perspective Part II

Author

Listed:
  • Kimberly M. Thompson

Abstract

Measles and rubella continue to circulate globally. Complementing Part I of the special issue, this introduction provides a contrast between other global eradication initiatives and the experience with measles and rubella eradication to date. This introduction builds on the syntheses of the literature provided in Part I and it describes the creation and application of a national risk assessment tool and the development of a dynamic disease transmission model to support global efforts to optimally manage measles and rubella globally using vaccines. Currently, efforts to eradicate measles and rubella suffer from the lack of a commitment to global eradication by key stakeholders, despite strong evidence that their eradication represents a better health and financial option than continued control.

Suggested Citation

  • Kimberly M. Thompson, 2017. "Modeling and Managing the Risks of Measles and Rubella: A Global Perspective Part II," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 37(6), pages 1041-1051, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:riskan:v:37:y:2017:i:6:p:1041-1051
    DOI: 10.1111/risa.12823
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.1111/risa.12823
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1111/risa.12823?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Anonymous, 1949. "World Health Organization," International Organization, Cambridge University Press, vol. 3(4), pages 722-724, November.
    2. Aylward, B. & Hennessey, K.A. & Zagaria, N. & Olive, J.-M. & Cochi, S., 2000. "When is a disease eradicable? 100 Years of lessons learned," American Journal of Public Health, American Public Health Association, vol. 90(10), pages 1515-1520.
    3. Kimberly M. Thompson, 2016. "Evolution and Use of Dynamic Transmission Models for Measles and Rubella Risk and Policy Analysis," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 36(7), pages 1383-1403, July.
    4. Elisa Sicuri & David B Evans & Fabrizio Tediosi, 2015. "Can Economic Analysis Contribute to Disease Elimination and Eradication? A Systematic Review," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 10(6), pages 1-21, June.
    5. Brown, E.R., 1976. "Public health in imperialism: early Rockefeller programs at home and abroad," American Journal of Public Health, American Public Health Association, vol. 66(9), pages 897-903.
    6. Brian K Chu & Pamela J Hooper & Mark H Bradley & Deborah A McFarland & Eric A Ottesen, 2010. "The Economic Benefits Resulting from the First 8 Years of the Global Programme to Eliminate Lymphatic Filariasis (2000–2007)," PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases, Public Library of Science, vol. 4(6), pages 1-18, June.
    7. Anonymous, 1949. "World Health Organization," International Organization, Cambridge University Press, vol. 3(3), pages 546-548, August.
    8. José A Nájera & Matiana González-Silva & Pedro L Alonso, 2011. "Some Lessons for the Future from the Global Malaria Eradication Programme (1955–1969)," PLOS Medicine, Public Library of Science, vol. 8(1), pages 1-7, January.
    9. Sara A. Lowther & Sigrun Roesel & Patrick O'Connor & Mauricio Landaverde & George Oblapenko & Sergei Deshevoi & Goel Ajay & Ann Buff & Hala Safwat & Mbaye Salla & Rudi Tangermann & Nino Khetsuriani & , 2013. "World Health Organization Regional Assessments of the Risks of Poliovirus Outbreaks," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 33(4), pages 664-679, April.
    10. Kimberly M. Thompson & Radboud J. Duintjer Tebbens & Mark A. Pallansch & Steven G.F. Wassilak & Stephen L. Cochi, 2015. "Polio Eradicators Use Integrated Analytical Models to Make Better Decisions," Interfaces, INFORMS, vol. 45(1), pages 5-25, February.
    11. Anonymous, 1949. "World Health Organization," International Organization, Cambridge University Press, vol. 3(1), pages 163-164, February.
    12. Kimberly M. Thompson & Stephen L. Cochi, 2016. "Modeling and Managing the Risks of Measles and Rubella: A Global Perspective, Part I," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 36(7), pages 1288-1296, July.
    13. Anonymous, 1949. "World Health Organization," International Organization, Cambridge University Press, vol. 3(2), pages 357-360, May.
    14. Radboud J. Duintjer Tebbens & Kimberly M. Thompson, 2009. "Priority Shifting and the Dynamics of Managing Eradicable Infectious Diseases," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 55(4), pages 650-663, April.
    15. Kimberly M. Thompson & Nima D. Badizadegan, 2017. "Modeling the Transmission of Measles and Rubella to Support Global Management Policy Analyses and Eradication Investment Cases," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 37(6), pages 1109-1131, June.
    16. Christopher Fitzpatrick & Kingsley Asiedu & Jean Jannin, 2014. "Where the Road Ends, Yaws Begins? The Cost-effectiveness of Eradication versus More Roads," PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases, Public Library of Science, vol. 8(9), pages 1-9, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. van Ackere, Ann & Schulz, Peter J., 2020. "Explaining vaccination decisions: A system dynamics model of the interaction between epidemiological and behavioural factors," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Mario Sanchez, 2003. "Internal Migration, Return Migration, and Mortality. Evidence from Panel Data on Union Army Veterans," NBER Chapters, in: Health and Labor Force Participation over the Life Cycle: Evidence from the Past, pages 203-230, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Aline Désesquelles & France Meslé & Viviana Egidi & Monica Pace & Michele Antonio Salvatore & Luisa Frova & Marilena Pappagallo, 2010. "Revisiting the mortality of France and Italy with the multiple-cause-of-death approach," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 23(28), pages 771-806.
    3. Hanrieder, Tine, 2015. "The path-dependent design of international organizations: Federalism in the World Health Organization," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 21(1), pages 215-239.
    4. Cook, Ian G. & Dummer, Trevor J. B., 2004. "Changing health in China: re-evaluating the epidemiological transition model," Health Policy, Elsevier, vol. 67(3), pages 329-343, March.
    5. Henckes, Nicolas, 2009. "Narratives of change and reform processes: Global and local transactions in French psychiatric hospital reform after the Second World War," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 68(3), pages 511-518, February.
    6. Aue, Luis, 2021. "How Do Metrics Shape Polities? From Analogue to Digital Measurement Regimes in International Health Politics," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 15(1), pages 83-101.
    7. van Ackere, Ann & Schulz, Peter J., 2020. "Explaining vaccination decisions: A system dynamics model of the interaction between epidemiological and behavioural factors," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    8. Ryan P. Scott & Alison C. Cullen & Guillaume Chabot‐Couture, 2021. "Disease Surveillance Investments and Administration: Limits to Information Value in Pakistan Polio Eradication," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 41(2), pages 273-288, February.
    9. Kimberly M. Thompson & Dominika A. Kalkowska, 2021. "Reflections on Modeling Poliovirus Transmission and the Polio Eradication Endgame," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 41(2), pages 229-247, February.
    10. Duijzer, Lotty Evertje & van Jaarsveld, Willem & Dekker, Rommert, 2018. "Literature review: The vaccine supply chain," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 268(1), pages 174-192.
    11. Kimberly M. Thompson, 2016. "Evolution and Use of Dynamic Transmission Models for Measles and Rubella Risk and Policy Analysis," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 36(7), pages 1383-1403, July.
    12. Linus Nyiwul, 2021. "Epidemic Control and Resource Allocation: Approaches and Implications for the Management of COVID-19," Studies in Microeconomics, , vol. 9(2), pages 283-305, December.
    13. Lu, Xuefei & Borgonovo, Emanuele, 2023. "Global sensitivity analysis in epidemiological modeling," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 304(1), pages 9-24.
    14. Fahad Al Basir & Teklebirhan Abraha, 2023. "Mathematical Modelling and Optimal Control of Malaria Using Awareness-Based Interventions," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(7), pages 1-25, March.
    15. Eugene Lam & W. William Schluter & Balcha G. Masresha & Nadia Teleb & Pamela Bravo‐Alcántara & Abigail Shefer & Dragan Jankovic & Jeffrey McFarland & Eltayeb Elfakki & Yoshihiro Takashima & Robert T. , 2017. "Development of a District‐Level Programmatic Assessment Tool for Risk of Measles Virus Transmission," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 37(6), pages 1052-1062, June.
    16. Fatima‐Zohra Younsi & Salem Chakhar & Alessio Ishizaka & Djamila Hamdadou & Omar Boussaid, 2020. "A Dominance‐Based Rough Set Approach for an Enhanced Assessment of Seasonal Influenza Risk," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 40(7), pages 1323-1341, July.
    17. Elisa Sicuri & David B Evans & Fabrizio Tediosi, 2015. "Can Economic Analysis Contribute to Disease Elimination and Eradication? A Systematic Review," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 10(6), pages 1-21, June.
    18. Navid Ghaffarzadegan & Richard C. Larson, 2018. "SD meets OR: a new synergy to address policy problems," System Dynamics Review, System Dynamics Society, vol. 34(1-2), pages 327-353, January.
    19. Kimberly M. Thompson & Stephen L. Cochi, 2016. "Modeling and Managing the Risks of Measles and Rubella: A Global Perspective, Part I," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 36(7), pages 1288-1296, July.
    20. Radboud J. Duintjer Tebbens & Kimberly M. Thompson, 2019. "Evaluation of Proactive and Reactive Strategies for Polio Eradication Activities in Pakistan and Afghanistan," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 39(2), pages 389-401, February.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:wly:riskan:v:37:y:2017:i:6:p:1041-1051. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Wiley Content Delivery (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://doi.org/10.1111/(ISSN)1539-6924 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.