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Potential impacts of a green revolution in Africa—the case of Ghana

Author

Listed:
  • Clemens Breisinger
  • Xinshen Diao
  • James Thurlow
  • Ramatu M. Al Hassan

Abstract

Agricultural growth in Africa has accelerated, yet most of this growth has been driven by land expansion. Land expansion potential is reaching its limits, urging governments to shift towards a green revolution type of productivity-led growth. Given the huge public investments required, this paper aims to assess the potential impacts of a green revolution. Results from a CGE model for Ghana show that green revolution type growth is strongly pro‐poor and provides substantial transfers to the rest of the economy, thus providing a powerful argument to raise public expenditure on agriculture to make a green revolution happen in Africa. Copyright (C) 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

Suggested Citation

  • Clemens Breisinger & Xinshen Diao & James Thurlow & Ramatu M. Al Hassan, 2011. "Potential impacts of a green revolution in Africa—the case of Ghana," Journal of International Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 23(1), pages 82-102, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:jintdv:v:23:y:2011:i:1:p:82-102
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    Cited by:

    1. Paul Mosley, 2013. "Two Africas? Why Africa’s ‘Growth Miracle’ is barely reducing poverty," Global Development Institute Working Paper Series 19113, GDI, The University of Manchester.
    2. Quiñones, Esteban J. & Diao, Xinshen, 2011. "Assessing crop production and input use patterns in Ghana: What can we learn from the Ghana living standards survey," GSSP working papers 24, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    3. Al-Haboby, Azhr & Breisinger, Clemens & Debowicz, Darío & El-Hakim, Abdul Hussein & Ferguson, Jenna & van Rheenen, Teunis & Telleria, Roberto, 2014. "Agriculture for development in Iraq? Estimating the impacts of achieving the agricultural targets of the national development plan 2013–2017 on economic growth, incomes, and gender equality," IFPRI discussion papers 1349, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    4. Grethe, Harald & Luckmann, Jonas & Siddig, Khalid & Kinkpe, Thierry, 2020. "How pro-poor are productivity gains in agriculture? The case of the national agricultural investment plan of Benin," Conference papers 333165, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    5. Channing Arndt & Felix Asante & James Thurlow, 2015. "Implications of Climate Change for Ghana’s Economy," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 7(6), pages 1-18, June.
    6. Takahashi, Ryo & Todo, Yasuyuki & Degefa, Terefe, 2015. "The effects of a participatory approach on the adoption of agricultural technology: Focusing on the social network structure in rural Ethiopia," Studies in Agricultural Economics, Research Institute for Agricultural Economics, vol. 117(01), pages 1-7, April.
    7. Montaud, Jean-Marc & Pecastaing, Nicolas & Tankari, Mahamadou, 2017. "Potential socio-economic implications of future climate change and variability for Nigerien agriculture: A countrywide dynamic CGE-Microsimulation analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 128-142.
    8. Peter Ansu-Mensah, 2021. "Green product awareness effect on green purchase intentions of university students’: an emerging market’s perspective," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 7(1), pages 1-13, December.
    9. Mahadevan, Renuka & Asafu-Adjaye, John, 2015. "Exploring the potential for green revolution: a choice experiment on maize farmers in Northern Ghana," African Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, African Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 10(3), pages 1-15.
    10. Abebayehu Girma Geffersa, 2023. "Agricultural productivity, land use intensification and rural household welfare: evidence from Ethiopia," Agrekon, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 62(3-4), pages 309-327, October.
    11. Shashidhara Kolavalli & Elizabeth Robinson & Guyslain Ngeleza & Felix Asante, 2012. "Economic Transformation in Ghana: Where Will the Path Lead?," Journal of African Development, African Finance and Economic Association (AFEA), vol. 14(2), pages 41-78.
    12. Jonathan Harwood, 2018. "Another Green Revolution? On the Perils of ‘Extracting Lessons’ from History," Development, Palgrave Macmillan;Society for International Deveopment, vol. 61(1), pages 43-53, December.
    13. Channing Arndt & Felix Asante & James Thurlow, 2015. "Implications of Climate Change for Ghana’s Economy," Sustainability, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 7(6), pages 1-18, June.
    14. Dawson, Neil & Martin, Adrian & Sikor, Thomas, 2016. "Green Revolution in Sub-Saharan Africa: Implications of Imposed Innovation for the Wellbeing of Rural Smallholders," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 204-218.
    15. John W McArthur & Jeffrey D Sachs, 2019. "Agriculture, Aid, and Economic Growth in Africa," The World Bank Economic Review, World Bank, vol. 33(1), pages 1-20.
    16. Conceição, Pedro & Levine, Sebastian & Lipton, Michael & Warren-Rodríguez, Alex, 2016. "Toward a food secure future: Ensuring food security for sustainable human development in Sub-Saharan Africa," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 1-9.
    17. Emelie Rohne Till, 2021. "A green revolution in sub‐Saharan Africa? The transformation of Ethiopia's agricultural sector," Journal of International Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(2), pages 277-315, March.

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    JEL classification:

    • D58 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Computable and Other Applied General Equilibrium Models
    • O13 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Agriculture; Natural Resources; Environment; Other Primary Products
    • O55 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Africa

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