The resistance to scientific theory in futures and foresight, and what to do about it
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DOI: 10.1002/ffo2.61
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References listed on IDEAS
- Donald C. Hambrick, 1982. "Environmental scanning and organizational strategy," Strategic Management Journal, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 3(2), pages 159-174, April.
- Thomas J. Chermack, 2019. "Response to Spaniol and Rowland: “Defining Scenario”," Futures & Foresight Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 1(2), June.
- Donald C. Hambrick, 1981. "Specialization Of Environmental Scanning Activities Among Upper Level Executives," Journal of Management Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 18(3), pages 299-320, July.
- Alessandro Fergnani & Mike Jackson, 2019. "Extracting scenario archetypes: A quantitative text analysis of documents about the future," Futures & Foresight Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 1(2), June.
- Zur Shapira, 2011. "“I've Got a Theory Paper---Do You?”: Conceptual, Empirical, and Theoretical Contributions to Knowledge in the Organizational Sciences," Organization Science, INFORMS, vol. 22(5), pages 1312-1321, October.
- Rohrbeck, René & Kum, Menes Etingue, 2018. "Corporate foresight and its impact on firm performance: A longitudinal analysis," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 129(C), pages 105-116.
Citations
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Cited by:
- Alex Fergnani, 2023. "Explaining and critiquing the postnormal: A warning against ideologies in the field of futures and foresight," Futures & Foresight Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 5(3-4), September.
- Gerard P. Hodgkinson, 2021. "Why appealing to the virtues of scientific theory (and method) is necessary but insufficient for effecting systemic change: Commentary on Fergnani & Chermack, 2021," Futures & Foresight Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 3(3-4), September.
- Brent Mills & Alex Wilner, 2023. "The science behind “values”: Applying moral foundations theory to strategic foresight," Futures & Foresight Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 5(1), March.
- Shardul Sharad Phadnis, 2021. "Advancing scenario planning theory: A commentary on Fergnani and Chermack, 2021," Futures & Foresight Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 3(3-4), September.
- Gerard P. Hodgkinson, 2022. "The conversation is great, but we need to talk more about theory, emotions, and ‘gut’ feelings: Commentary on Rowland and Spaniol (2021)," Futures & Foresight Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 4(1), March.
- Alessandro Fergnani & John A. Sweeney, 2021. "Identity Wind Tunneling: A method for discovering an organization’s strategic identity using scenarios," Futures & Foresight Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 3(3-4), September.
- Aalto, Eljas & Kuosa, Tuomo & Stucki, Max, 2025. "Generating sets of diverse and plausible scenarios through approximated multivariate normal distributions," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 320(1), pages 160-174.
- Fraser Reilly‐King & Colleen Duggan & Alex Wilner, 2024. "Foresight and futures thinking for international development co‐operation: Promises and pitfalls," Development Policy Review, Overseas Development Institute, vol. 42(S1), June.
- Rick Szostak, 2024. "Restoring democratic stability: A backcasting wheel approach," Futures & Foresight Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 6(3), September.
- Yusuke Kishita & Toshiki Kusaka & Yuji Mizuno & Yasushi Umeda, 2021. "Toward theory development in futures and foresight by drawing on design theory: A commentary on Fergnani and Chermack 2021," Futures & Foresight Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 3(3-4), September.
- James Derbyshire & Mandeep Dhami & Ian Belton & Dilek Önkal, 2023. "The value of experiments in futures and foresight science as illustrated by the case of scenario planning," Futures & Foresight Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 5(2), June.
- Ahti Salo, 2021. "Developing the needed scientific theory will not be easy: A commentary on Fergnani and Chermack 2021," Futures & Foresight Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 3(3-4), September.
- Paul J. H. Schoemaker, 2021. "Theory development in foresight research: Commentary on Fergnani and Chermack 2021," Futures & Foresight Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 3(3-4), September.
- Alessandro Fergnani & Thomas J. Chermack, 2021. "Toward a science of futures and foresight: Response to 10 experts' commentaries," Futures & Foresight Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 3(3-4), September.
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