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Market impacts of Farm to Fork: Reducing agricultural input usage

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  • Jayson Beckman
  • Maros Ivanic
  • Jeremy Jelliffe

Abstract

Legislation has been proposed that would change the European Union (EU) agricultural supply chain, including targeted reductions in the use of agricultural inputs. Our results indicate that reducing those inputs (fertilizer, pesticides, land, and antimicrobials) could lead to a reduction in the EU agricultural production by 12%, less competitiveness in export markets, and negative impacts to consumer budgets and societal welfare. If the EU were to implement technological improvements, the impacts would be lessened; however, the necessary improvement in technology will require additional investment in research and development. Based on historical trends, these improvements are projected to take up to 27 years.

Suggested Citation

  • Jayson Beckman & Maros Ivanic & Jeremy Jelliffe, 2022. "Market impacts of Farm to Fork: Reducing agricultural input usage," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 44(4), pages 1995-2013, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:apecpp:v:44:y:2022:i:4:p:1995-2013
    DOI: 10.1002/aepp.13176
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Heidrun Moschitz & Adrian Muller & Ursula Kretzschmar & Lisa Haller & Miguel de Porras & Catherine Pfeifer & Bernadette Oehen & Helga Willer & Hanna Stolz, 2021. "How can the EU Farm to Fork strategy deliver on its organic promises? Some critical reflections," EuroChoices, The Agricultural Economics Society, vol. 20(1), pages 30-36, April.
    2. Matin Qaim, 2020. "Role of New Plant Breeding Technologies for Food Security and Sustainable Agricultural Development," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 42(2), pages 129-150, June.
    3. Ozana Nadoveza Jelić & Jurica Šimurina, 2020. "Evaluating sectoral effects of agricultural nitrogen pollution reduction policy in Croatia within a CGE framework," Agricultural and Food Economics, Springer;Italian Society of Agricultural Economics (SIDEA), vol. 8(1), pages 1-35, December.
    4. Jayson Beckman & Shawn Arita, 2017. "Modeling the Interplay between Sanitary and Phytosanitary Measures and Tariff-rate Quotas under Partial Trade Liberalization," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 99(4), pages 1078-1095.
    5. Ioannis Skevas & Alfons Oude Lansink, 2020. "Dynamic Inefficiency and Spatial Spillovers in Dutch Dairy Farming," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 71(3), pages 742-759, September.
    6. Beckman, Jayson & Ivanic, Maros & Jelliffe, Jeremy L. & Baquedano, Felix G. & Scott, Sara G., 2020. "Economic and Food Security Impacts of Agricultural Input Reduction Under the European Union Green Deal’s Farm to Fork and Biodiversity Strategies," Agricultural Economic Reports 307277, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    7. Francois Bareille & Alexandre Gohin, 2020. "Simulating the Market and Environmental Impacts of French Pesticide Policies: A Macroeconomic Assessment," Annals of Economics and Statistics, GENES, issue 139, pages 1-28.
    8. Bullock, David S. & Salhofer, Klaus, 2003. "Judging agricultural policies: a survey," Agricultural Economics, Blackwell, vol. 28(3), pages 225-243, May.
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