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Österreich 2025 – Herausforderungen und volkswirtschaftliche Effekte der Pflegevorsorge

Author

Listed:
  • Ulrike Famira-Mühlberger

    (WIFO)

  • Matthias Firgo
  • Oliver Fritz
  • Klaus Nowotny
  • Gerhard Streicher
  • Alexander Braun

    (WIFO)

Abstract

Die erste österreichweite mikroökonometrische Analyse der häuslichen Pflege zeigt den Gesundheitszustand als primären Faktor für die Wahl der Pflegeform sowie eine komplementäre Beziehung zwischen informeller und formeller Pflege. Projektionen der öffentlichen Ausgaben für Langzeitpflege unterstreichen die Bedeutung der demographischen Entwicklung für die zu erwartenden Kostensteigerungen. Die öffentlichen Ausgaben für Pflege- und Betreuungsdienste werden bereits 2025 real um etwa 50% höher sein als 2015, jene für das Pflegegeld um rund 12%. Der markante Kostenanstieg setzt jedoch erst nach 2025 mit zunehmender Alterung der Babyboom-Generationen ein. Zwischen 2025 und 2050 verdreifachen sich dadurch die Ausgaben für Pflege- und Betreuungsdienste. Über direkte und indirekte wirtschaftliche Verflechtungen generieren die Ausgaben für Pflege- und Betreuungsdienste ein Steuer- und Sozialversicherungsaufkommen von etwa 70% der Ausgaben und lasteten 2015 etwa 115.000 Beschäftigte aus, wie die erstmalige Analyse der volkswirtschaftlichen Effekte des österreichischen Pflegesektors belegt.

Suggested Citation

  • Ulrike Famira-Mühlberger & Matthias Firgo & Oliver Fritz & Klaus Nowotny & Gerhard Streicher & Alexander Braun, 2017. "Österreich 2025 – Herausforderungen und volkswirtschaftliche Effekte der Pflegevorsorge," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 90(8), pages 639-648, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:wfo:monber:y:2017:i:8:p:639-648
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    References listed on IDEAS

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