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Berufliche und sektorale Beschäftigungsprognose für Oberösterreich. Methoden und Ergebnisse des regionalen Berufs- und Sektormodells für Oberösterreich

Author

Listed:
  • Ulrike Huemer

    (WIFO)

  • Helmut Mahringer

    (WIFO)

  • Gerhard Streicher

Abstract

Der Strukturwandel einer Wirtschaft bleibt nicht ohne Konsequenzen für den Arbeitsmarkt. Änderungen der Tätigkeitsprofile und Qualifikationsanforderungen verändern auch die Struktur und das Ausmaß der Nachfrage nach Arbeitskräften. Die Anpassung der Qualifikationen an geänderte Anforderungen beansprucht jedoch Zeit und ist zudem wesentlich von der Vorbildung abhängig. Vor diesem Hintergrund liefern mittel- bis langfristige Prognosen der Nachfrage nach Arbeitskräften einen wichtigen Beitrag zur Abschätzung von künftigem Qualifizierungsbedarf und unterstützen so individuelle und politische Planungsprozesse. Der vorliegende Beitrag präsentiert ein solches Prognoseinstrument für Oberösterreich skizziert und Ergebnisse der beruflichen und sektoralen Entwicklung bis 2008.

Suggested Citation

  • Ulrike Huemer & Helmut Mahringer & Gerhard Streicher, 2002. "Berufliche und sektorale Beschäftigungsprognose für Oberösterreich. Methoden und Ergebnisse des regionalen Berufs- und Sektormodells für Oberösterreich," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 75(11), pages 687-700, November.
  • Handle: RePEc:wfo:monber:y:2002:i:11:p:687-700
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    4. Richard S. Conway Jr., 1990. "The Washington Projection and Simulation Model: A Regional Interindustry Econometric Model," International Regional Science Review, , vol. 13(1-2), pages 141-165, April.
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    Cited by:

    1. Lassnigg, Lorenz, 2006. "Approaches for the anticipation of skill needs in the Transitional Labour Market perspecitve: The Austrian experience," Discussion Papers, Research Unit: Labor Market Policy and Employment SP I 2006-105, WZB Berlin Social Science Center.
    2. Ulrike Huemer, 2005. "Altersspezifische Beschäftigungsprognose für Oberösterreich nach Branchen," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 78(11), pages 783-792, November.
    3. Gács, János & Bíró, Anikó, 2013. "A munkaerő-piaci előrejelzések nemzetközi gyakorlata. Áttekintés a kvantitatív módszerekről és felhasználásukról [International experience in forecasting labour markets. Overview of quantitative me," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(2), pages 134-163.

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