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The Asymmetric Effects of Financial Frictions

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  • Guillermo Ordoñez

Abstract

Economic variables move asymmetrically over the business cycle: quickly during crises but slowly during recoveries. I show that this asymmetry is stronger in countries with less developed financial systems and greater financial frictions. Then I explain this fact using a learning model with endogenous information about economic conditions. Financial frictions, which I capture by higher bankruptcy costs, magnify the reaction of lending rates and economic activity to negative shocks and then delay their recovery by restricting information after the crisis. Empirical evidence and a quantitative exploration of the model show that this explanation is consistent with the data.

Suggested Citation

  • Guillermo Ordoñez, 2013. "The Asymmetric Effects of Financial Frictions," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 121(5), pages 844-895.
    • Handle: RePEc:ucp:jpolec:doi:10.1086/673886
    DOI: 10.1086/673886
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    Cited by:

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    3. Jianxing Wei & Tong Xu, 2018. "A Model of Bank Credit Cycles," 2018 Meeting Papers 610, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    4. Ambrocio, Gene, 2017. "The real effects of overconfidence and fundamental uncertainty shocks," Research Discussion Papers 37/2017, Bank of Finland.
    5. Kaiwen Hou, 2023. "Adaptive Bayesian Learning with Action and State-Dependent Signal Variance," Papers 2311.12878, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2023.
    6. Nicholas Bloom & Fatih Guvenen & Sergio Salgado, 2016. "Skewed Business Cycles," 2016 Meeting Papers 1621, Society for Economic Dynamics.
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    8. Geert Bekaert & Alexander Popov, 2019. "On the Link Between the Volatility and Skewness of Growth," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 67(4), pages 746-790, December.
    9. Dong, Feng & Xu, Zhiwei, 2020. "Cycles of credit expansion and misallocation: The Good, the Bad and the Ugly," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 186(C).
    10. Bo Becker & Marieke Bos & Kasper Roszbach, 2020. "Bad Times, Good Credit," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 52(S1), pages 107-142, October.
    11. Iseringhausen, Martin & Petrella, Ivan & Theodoridis, Konstantinos, 2021. "Aggregate Skewness and the Business Cycle," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2021/30, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    12. Domenico Ferraro & Giuseppe Fiori, 2023. "Search Frictions, Labor Supply, and the Asymmetric Business Cycle," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 55(1), pages 5-42, February.
    13. Miranda-Pinto, Jorge & Silva, Alvaro & Young, Eric R., 2023. "Business cycle asymmetry and input-output structure: The role of firm-to-firm networks," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 137(C), pages 1-20.
    14. Evelyn Wamboye & Rajen Mookerjee, 2014. "Financial development and manufactured exports: the African experience," International Journal of Economic Policy in Emerging Economies, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 7(1), pages 22-34.
    15. Fève, Patrick & Sanchez, Pablo Garcia & Moura, Alban & Pierrard, Olivier, 2021. "Costly default and skewed business cycles," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    16. Vladimir Asriyan & Luc Laeven & Alberto Martín, 2022. "Collateral Booms and Information Depletion [Rational Exuberance Booms]," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 89(2), pages 517-555.
    17. Stefano Giglio & Ian Dew-Becker & David Berger, 2016. "Contractionary Volatility or Volatile Contractions?," 2016 Meeting Papers 673, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    18. Gigout, Timothee, 2019. "Firm dynamics in an global and uncertain economy," MPRA Paper 96569, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 16 Oct 2019.
    19. Ranjan Kumar Mohanty & N R Bhanumurthy, 2020. "Asymmetric Monetary Policy Transmission in India:Does Financial Friction Matter?," BASE University Working Papers 03/2020, BASE University, Bengaluru, India.
    20. Gene Ambrocio, 2020. "Rational exuberance booms," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 35, pages 263-282, January.
    21. Ferrari, Massimo, 2014. "The financial meltdown: a model with endogenous default probability," MPRA Paper 59419, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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    23. repec:zbw:bofrdp:037 is not listed on IDEAS
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • D53 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Financial Markets
    • D82 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Asymmetric and Private Information; Mechanism Design
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • G33 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Bankruptcy; Liquidation

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