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Estimating the structural budget balance of the Australian Government

  • Tony McDonald

    (Treasury, Government of Australia)

  • Yong Hong Yan

    (Treasury, Government of Australia)

  • Blake Ford

    (Treasury, Government of Australia)

  • David Stephan

    (Treasury, Government of Australia)

This paper develops estimates of the structural budget balance of the Australian Government. It describes the methodology and assumptions used in developing these estimates, includes sensitivity analysis, and explains why these estimates differ from those produced by the IMF and OECD.

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File URL: http://archive.treasury.gov.au/documents/1881/PDF/04_Structural_Budget_Balance.pdf
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Article provided by The Treasury, Australian Government in its journal Economic Roundup.

Volume (Year): (2010)
Issue (Month): 3 (October)
Pages: 51-79

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Handle: RePEc:tsy:journl:journl_tsy_er_2010_3_1
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  1. Perron, P. & Bai, J., 1995. "Estimating and Testing Linear Models with Multiple Structural Changes," Cahiers de recherche 9552, Universite de Montreal, Departement de sciences economiques.
  2. Nathalie Girouard & Christophe André, 2005. "Measuring Cyclically-adjusted Budget Balances for OECD Countries," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 434, OECD Publishing.
  3. Robert W. R. Price & Isabelle Joumard & Christophe André & Makoto Minegishi, 2008. "Strategies for Countries with Favourable Fiscal Positions," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 655, OECD Publishing.
  4. Junsoo Lee & Mark C. Strazicich, 2003. "Minimum Lagrange Multiplier Unit Root Test with Two Structural Breaks," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 85(4), pages 1082-1089, November.
  5. BAI, Jushan & PERRON, Pierre, 1998. "Computation and Analysis of Multiple Structural-Change Models," Cahiers de recherche 9807, Universite de Montreal, Departement de sciences economiques.
  6. Isabell Koske & Nigel Pain, 2008. "The Usefulness of Output Gaps for Policy Analysis," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 621, OECD Publishing.
  7. David Gruen & Amanda Sayegh, 2005. "The Evolution of Fiscal Policy in Australia," Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press, vol. 21(4), pages 618-635, Winter.
  8. Jin Liu & Tony McDonald, 2010. "China: growth, urbanisation and mineral resource demand," Economic Roundup, The Treasury, Australian Government, issue 2, pages 57-71, July.
  9. David Gruen & Tim Robinson & Andrew Stone, 2005. "Output Gaps In Real Time: How Reliable Are They?," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 81(252), pages 6-18, 03.
  10. Paul van den Noord, 2000. "The Size and Role of Automatic Fiscal Stabilizers in the 1990s and Beyond," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 230, OECD Publishing.
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