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Past price ‘memory’ in the housing market: testing the performance of different spatio-temporal specifications

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  • Jean Dubé
  • Diègo Legros
  • Sotirios Thanos

Abstract

Recent methodological developments provide a way to incorporate the temporal dimension when accounting for spatial effects in hedonic pricing. Weight matrices should decompose the spatial effects into two distinct components: bidirectional contemporaneous spatial connections; and unidirectional spatio-temporal effects from past transactions. Our iterative estimation approach explicitly analyses the role of time in price determination. The results show that both spatio-temporal components should be included in model specification; past transaction information stops contributing to price determination after eight months; and limited temporal friction is exhibited within this period. These findings highlight the decidedly non-linear temporal patterns of such information effects.

Suggested Citation

  • Jean Dubé & Diègo Legros & Sotirios Thanos, 2018. "Past price ‘memory’ in the housing market: testing the performance of different spatio-temporal specifications," Spatial Economic Analysis, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(1), pages 118-138, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:specan:v:13:y:2018:i:1:p:118-138
    DOI: 10.1080/17421772.2018.1395063
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Sotirios Thanos & Michael White, 2014. "Expectation Adjustment in the Housing Market: Insights from the Scottish Auction System," Housing Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(3), pages 339-361, April.
    2. Ilir Nase & Jim Berry & Alastair Adair, 2016. "Impact of quality-led design on real estate value: a spatiotemporal analysis of city centre apartments," Journal of Property Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(4), pages 309-331, October.
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    6. Clapp, John M & Giaccotto, Carmelo, 1992. "Estimating Price Trends for Residential Property: A Comparison of Repeat Sales and Assessed Value Methods," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 5(4), pages 357-374, December.
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    12. Neil Dunse & Sotirios Thanos & Glen Bramley, 2013. "Planning policy, housing density and consumer preferences," Journal of Property Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(3), pages 221-238, September.
    13. Kuminoff, Nicolai V. & Jarrah, Abdul Salam, 2010. "A new approach to computing hedonic equilibria and investigating the properties of locational sorting models," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 67(3), pages 322-335, May.
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    Cited by:

    1. Sonia Yousfi & Jean Dubé & Diègo Legros & Sotirios Thanos, 2020. "Mass appraisal without statistical estimation: a simplified comparable sales approach based on a spatiotemporal matrix," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 64(2), pages 349-365, April.
    2. Duran, Nicolas & Elhorst, J. Paul, 2017. "A Spatio-temporal-similarity and Common Factor Approach of Individual Housing Prices," Research Report 2018007-EEF, University of Groningen, Research Institute SOM (Systems, Organisations and Management).

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