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Speculative bubbles in mass and luxury properties: an investigation of the Hong Kong residential market


  • Eddie Chi-Man Hui
  • Ivan Ng
  • Otto Muk-Fai Lau


Fluctuations in housing prices not only affect the financial well-being of corporations and households, but also influence the stability of economies. One of the results derived from such fluctuations is known as price bubbles. We aim to investigate whether such housing price bubbles did exist in two different residential markets of Hong Kong. The results indicate that there are bubbles in the Hong Kong housing markets before 2003, and later within the luxury market by 2008. As to what the government could do to curb speculative activities with regard to housing, the introduction of a capital gains tax on short-term transactions of flats as well as a higher housing supply are regarded as effective means.

Suggested Citation

  • Eddie Chi-Man Hui & Ivan Ng & Otto Muk-Fai Lau, 2011. "Speculative bubbles in mass and luxury properties: an investigation of the Hong Kong residential market," Construction Management and Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(8), pages 781-793, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:conmgt:v:29:y:2011:i:8:p:781-793
    DOI: 10.1080/01446193.2011.610329

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Olivier J. Blanchard & Mark W. Watson, 1982. "Bubbles, Rational Expectations and Financial Markets," NBER Working Papers 0945, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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    Cited by:

    1. Hui, Eddie C.M. & Chen, Jia, 2012. "Investigating the change of causality in emerging property markets during the financial tsunami," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 391(15), pages 3951-3962.

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