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Structural breaks in the US inflation process

  • Mohamed Safouane Ben Aissa
  • Jamel Jouini

The empirical evidence of the instability based on some selection procedures is explored. The focus is on the problem of choosing the number of structural breaks and their locations for the US inflation series. The obtained results give reason for thinking that they are very significant since they coincide with important facts and economic events. They show in particular that the evolution curve of inflation in the USA was flattened during the last 20 years since it is noted that this reduction in extent of inflation is stable and durable.

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Article provided by Taylor & Francis Journals in its journal Applied Economics Letters.

Volume (Year): 10 (2003)
Issue (Month): 10 ()
Pages: 633-636

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Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:10:p:633-636
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  1. Zivot, Eric & Andrews, Donald W K, 1992. "Further Evidence on the Great Crash, the Oil-Price Shock, and the Unit-Root Hypothesis," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 10(3), pages 251-70, July.
  2. Jushan Bai & Pierre Perron, 1998. "Estimating and Testing Linear Models with Multiple Structural Changes," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 66(1), pages 47-78, January.
  3. Perron, P, 1988. "The Great Crash, The Oil Price Shock And The Unit Root Hypothesis," Papers 338, Princeton, Department of Economics - Econometric Research Program.
  4. Robert J. Gordon, 1973. "The Responses of Wages and Prices to the First Two Years of Controls," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 4(3), pages 765-780.
  5. Yao, Yi-Ching, 1988. "Estimating the number of change-points via Schwarz' criterion," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 6(3), pages 181-189, February.
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