IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/sum/sjefsm/2019p51-61.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Dynamic Interaction Between Private Savings, Public Savings and Economic Growth in Nigeria

Author

Listed:
  • Ibrahim Taiwo Razaq

    (Department of Economics, Faculty of Social Sciences, Osun State University Osogbo, Nigeria)

Abstract

The paper set out to examine the relationship between private savings, public savings and economic growth in Nigeria from 1970 to 2015. To carry out this investigation, the researcher employed Johanson cointegration test combined with the vector error correction model Wald Granger causality. The results of the analysis revealed the existence of cointegration among economic growth, private savings, public savings, and efficiency in the economy. Precisely, private savings rate have positive effect but insignificant effect on economic growth rate in the longrun, while public savings rate have negative but also insignificant effect on economic growth. Granger causality test reveals that there was bidirectional causality between private savings and economic growth and also between public savings and economic growth. Policy makers should be conscious of this fact, especially when projecting short, medium and long term expenditure of government. A budget proposal whereby the recurrent expenditure is significantly high will increase private income, while a reduction in all form of private and corporal taxes will enhance investment and thus promote economic growth. The government should therefore focus on development of infrastructural facilities to reduce the costs of doing business as well as increase the profitability of firms, thereby raising the economy’s production of goods and services.

Suggested Citation

  • Ibrahim Taiwo Razaq, 2019. "Dynamic Interaction Between Private Savings, Public Savings and Economic Growth in Nigeria," Sumerianz Journal of Economics and Finance, Sumerianz Publication, vol. 2(6), pages 51-61, 06-2019.
    • Handle: RePEc:sum:sjefsm:2019:p:51-61
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sumerianz.com/pdf-files/sjef2(6)51-61.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: http://www.sumerianz.com/?ic=journal-home&info=archive-detail&journal=26&month=06-2019&issue=6&volume=2
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Deaton, Angus, 1991. "Saving and Liquidity Constraints," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 59(5), pages 1221-1248, September.
    2. Ramesh Mohan, 2006. "Causal Relationship Between Savings And Economic Growth In Countries With Different Income Levels," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 5(3), pages 1-12.
    3. Robert M. Solow, 1956. "A Contribution to the Theory of Economic Growth," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 70(1), pages 65-94.
    4. Carroll, Christopher D. & Weil, David N., 1994. "Saving and growth: a reinterpretation," Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, Elsevier, vol. 40(1), pages 133-192, June.
    5. Emmanuel Anoruo & Yusuf Ahmad, 2001. "Causal Relationship between Domestic Savings and Economic Growth: Evidence from Seven African Countries," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 13(2), pages 238-249.
    6. Otani, Ichiro & Villanueva, Delano, 1990. "Long-term growth in developing countries and its determinants: An empirical analysis," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 18(6), pages 769-783, June.
    7. N. Gregory Mankiw & David Romer & David N. Weil, 1992. "A Contribution to the Empirics of Economic Growth," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 107(2), pages 407-437.
    8. Dipendra Sinha & Tapen Sinha, 2008. "Relationships among household saving, public saving, corporate saving and economic growth in India," Journal of International Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 20(2), pages 181-186.
    9. Ariyo, A., 1996. "Quality of Macroeconomic Data on Africa: Nigeria as a Case Study," Papers 22s, African Economic Research Consortium.
    10. Sims, Christopher A, 1980. "Macroeconomics and Reality," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 48(1), pages 1-48, January.
    11. David Cass, 1965. "Optimum Growth in an Aggregative Model of Capital Accumulation," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 32(3), pages 233-240.
    12. Granger, C. W. J., 1988. "Some recent development in a concept of causality," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 39(1-2), pages 199-211.
    13. Krieckhaus, Jonathan, 2002. "Reconceptualizing the Developmental State: Public Savings and Economic Growth," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 30(10), pages 1697-1712, October.
    14. Sinha, Dipendra & Sinha, Tapen, 1998. "Cart before the horse? The saving-growth nexus in Mexico," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 61(1), pages 43-47, October.
    15. Baharumshah, Ahmad Zubaidi & Thanoon, Marwan A. & Rashid, Salim, 2003. "Saving dynamics in the Asian countries," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 13(6), pages 827-845, January.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Piotr Misztal, 2011. "The Relationship Between Savings And Economic Growth In Countries With Different Level Of Economic Development," "e-Finanse", University of Information Technology and Management, Institute of Financial Research and Analysis, vol. 7(2), pages 17-29, August.
    2. Singh, Tarlok, 2010. "Does domestic saving cause economic growth? A time-series evidence from India," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 32(2), pages 231-253, March.
    3. Abdelhafidh, Samir, 2013. "Potential financing sources of investment and economic growth in North African countries: A causality analysis," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 35(1), pages 150-169.
    4. Ramesh Mohan, 2006. "Causal Relationship Between Savings And Economic Growth In Countries With Different Income Levels," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 5(3), pages 1-12.
    5. Tang, Chor Foon & Tan, Bee Wah, 2014. "A revalidation of the savings–growth nexus in Pakistan," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 370-377.
    6. Segun Thompson Bolarinwa & Olufemi B. Obembe, 2017. "Empirical Analysis of the Nexus between Saving and Economic Growth in Selected African Countries (1981–2014)," Journal of Development Policy and Practice, , vol. 2(1), pages 110-129, January.
    7. Yaya KEHO, 2018. "Which comes first – savings or growth? Time series evidence from ECOWAS countries," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania / Editura Economica, vol. 0(2(615), S), pages 247-254, Summer.
    8. Kafayat Amusa, 2013. "Savings and Economic Growth in Botswana: An Analysis Using Bounds Testing Approach to Cointegration," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 5(4), pages 200-209.
    9. Odhiambo, Nicholas M., 2009. "Savings and economic growth in South Africa: A multivariate causality test," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 31(5), pages 708-718, September.
    10. Yilmaz BAYAR, 2014. "Savings, Foreign Direct Investment Inflows and Economic Growth in Emerging Asian Economies," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 4(8), pages 1106-1122, August.
    11. repec:ebl:ecbull:v:5:y:2006:i:3:p:1-12 is not listed on IDEAS
    12. Olayiwola, Abiodun S. & Okunade, Solomon O. & Fatai, Musbau O., 2021. "Savings-Growth Nexus Revisited: An Empirical Analysis from Nigeria," African Journal of Economic Review, African Journal of Economic Review, vol. 9(4), September.
    13. Jamel Jouini, 2016. "Economic growth and savings in Saudi Arabia: empirical evidence from cointegration and causality analysis," Asia-Pacific Journal of Accounting & Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(4), pages 478-495, October.
    14. Temitope L A, 2014. "The Effects of Foreign Resource Inflow and Savings on the Economic Growth of South Africa: A VAR Analysis," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 6(3), pages 232-241.
    15. Chor Foon Tang & Kean Siang Ch’ng, 2012. "A Multivariate Analysis of the Nexus between Savings and Economic Growth in the ASEAN-5 Economies," Margin: The Journal of Applied Economic Research, National Council of Applied Economic Research, vol. 6(3), pages 385-406, August.
    16. Emmanuel Apergis & Nicholas Apergis, 2021. "The impact of COVID-19 on economic growth: evidence from a Bayesian Panel Vector Autoregressive (BPVAR) model," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(58), pages 6739-6751, December.
    17. Alexander Cotte Poveda, 2013. "The relationship between development, investments, insecurity and social conditions in Colombia: a dynamic approach," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 47(5), pages 2769-2783, August.
    18. Schmidt-Hebbel, Klaus & Serven, Luis, 2000. "Does income inequality raise aggregate saving?," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 61(2), pages 417-446, April.
    19. Maite Alguacil & Ana Cuadros & Vicente Orts, 2004. "Does saving really matter for growth? Mexico (1970-2000)," Journal of International Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 16(2), pages 281-290.
    20. Chor Foon Tang & Soo Y. Chua, 2012. "The savings-growth nexus for the Malaysian economy: a view through rolling sub-samples," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(32), pages 4173-4185, November.
    21. Agrawal, Pradeep & Sahoo, Pravakar & Dash, Ranjan Kumar, 2009. "Savings behaviour in South Asia," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 208-224.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:sum:sjefsm:2019:p:51-61. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Managing Editor (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.sumerianz.com/?ic=journal-home&journal=26#h .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.