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Concentration And Competitiveness O The Banking Market In Serbia: Current Situation And Possible Future Changes Under The Influence Of Market Consolidation

  • Dragan Lončar

    (Faculty of Economics University of Belgrade)

  • Vesna Rajić

    (Faculty of Economics University of Belgrade)

Registered author(s):

    Serbia is a bank-centered financial market, which means that the analysis of concentration and competition is important. Currently, the banking market is weakly to moderately concentrated or mildly oligopolistic. In the future, we can expect a consolidation of the banking market in terms of reducing the number of banks and strengthening the market power of the largest banks. Possible channels of consolidation are the sales of the remaining state owned banking package, takeovers between banks and the disappearance of some banks as a result of competitive selection. The paper analyzes the possible scenarios for the future consolidation and their impacts on the competitive dynamics. The authors argue in favor of a positive impact of a more moderate consolidation on competition indicators, but are also warning the regulator to prevent excessive concentration and cartel arrangements.

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    File URL: http://www.ses.org.rs/ekonomika-preduzeca/2012-7-8-05.pdf
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    Article provided by SAE - Serbian Association of Economists in its journal SAE Journal.

    Volume (Year): (2012)
    Issue (Month): 7-8 (December)
    Pages: 372-385

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    Handle: RePEc:srb:journl:y:2012:i:7-8:p:372-385
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    1. La Porta, Rafael & Lopez-de-Silanes, Florencio & Shleifer, Andrei, 2001. "Government Ownership of Banks," Working Paper Series rwp01-016, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government.
    2. J.A. Bikker & K. Haaf, 2000. "Competition, concentration and their relationship: an empirical analysis of the banking industry," Research Series Supervision (discontinued) 30, Netherlands Central Bank, Directorate Supervision.
    3. L. Deidda & B. Fattouh, 2002. "Concentration in the banking industry and economic growth," Working Paper CRENoS 200202, Centre for North South Economic Research, University of Cagliari and Sassari, Sardinia.
    4. Dragan Ðuričin & Iva Vuksanović, 2012. "Isn’T Output More Important Than Inflation In Impotent Economy: Serbia’S Economic Policies Revision," Serbian Association of Economists Journal, SAE - Serbian Association of Economists, issue 1-2, pages 13-32, February.
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