IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/testjl/v32y2023i3d10.1007_s11749-023-00859-w.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Estimating weak periodic vector autoregressive time series

Author

Listed:
  • Yacouba Boubacar Maïnassara

    (Université Bourgogne Franche-Comté)

  • Eugen Ursu

    (Université de Bordeaux
    West University of Timisoara)

Abstract

This article develops the asymptotic distribution of the least squares estimator of the model parameters in periodic vector autoregressive time series models (hereafter PVAR) with uncorrelated but dependent innovations. When the innovations are dependent, this asymptotic distributions can be quite different from that of PVAR models with independent and identically distributed (iid for short) innovations developed (Ursu and Duchesne in J Time Ser Anal 30:70–96, 2009). Modified versions of the Wald tests are proposed for testing linear restrictions on the parameters. These asymptotic results are illustrated by Monte Carlo experiments. An application to a bivariate real financial data is also proposed.

Suggested Citation

  • Yacouba Boubacar Maïnassara & Eugen Ursu, 2023. "Estimating weak periodic vector autoregressive time series," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 32(3), pages 958-997, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:testjl:v:32:y:2023:i:3:d:10.1007_s11749-023-00859-w
    DOI: 10.1007/s11749-023-00859-w
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11749-023-00859-w
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11749-023-00859-w?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Boubacar Mainassara, Y. & Francq, C., 2011. "Estimating structural VARMA models with uncorrelated but non-independent error terms," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 102(3), pages 496-505, March.
    2. Nicholas M. Kiefer & Timothy J. Vogelsang, 2002. "Heteroskedasticity-Autocorrelation Robust Standard Errors Using The Bartlett Kernel Without Truncation," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 70(5), pages 2093-2095, September.
    3. Kaizô I. BeltraTo & Peter Bloomfield, 1987. "Determining The Bandwidth Of A Kernel Spectrum Estimate," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 8(1), pages 21-38, January.
    4. Francq, Christian & Zakoïan, Jean-Michel, 2007. "HAC estimation and strong linearity testing in weak ARMA models," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 98(1), pages 114-144, January.
    5. Boubacar Mainassara, Y. & Carbon, M. & Francq, C., 2012. "Computing and estimating information matrices of weak ARMA models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(2), pages 345-361.
    6. Eben Lazarus & Daniel J. Lewis & James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2018. "HAR Inference: Recommendations for Practice Rejoinder," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(4), pages 574-575, October.
    7. Newey, Whitney & West, Kenneth, 2014. "A simple, positive semi-definite, heteroscedasticity and autocorrelation consistent covariance matrix," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 33(1), pages 125-132.
    8. Christopher M. Schlick & Soenke Duckwitz & Sebastian Schneider, 2013. "Project dynamics and emergent complexity," Computational and Mathematical Organization Theory, Springer, vol. 19(4), pages 480-515, December.
    9. Christian Francq & Hamdi Raïssi, 2007. "Multivariate Portmanteau Test For Autoregressive Models with Uncorrelated but Nonindependent Errors," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 28(3), pages 454-470, May.
    10. Eugen Ursu & Pierre Duchesne, 2009. "On modelling and diagnostic checking of vector periodic autoregressive time series models," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(1), pages 70-96, January.
    11. Andrews, Donald W K, 1991. "Heteroskedasticity and Autocorrelation Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimation," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 59(3), pages 817-858, May.
    12. Franses, Philip Hans & Paap, Richard, 2004. "Periodic Time Series Models," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780199242030, Decembrie.
    13. Yacouba Boubacar Maïnassara & Bruno Saussereau, 2018. "Diagnostic Checking in Multivariate ARMA Models With Dependent Errors Using Normalized Residual Autocorrelations," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 113(524), pages 1813-1827, October.
    14. Francq, Christian & Roy, Roch & Zakoian, Jean-Michel, 2005. "Diagnostic Checking in ARMA Models With Uncorrelated Errors," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 100, pages 532-544, June.
    15. Eben Lazarus & Daniel J. Lewis & James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2018. "HAR Inference: Recommendations for Practice," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(4), pages 541-559, October.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Y. Boubacar Maïnassara & A. Ilmi Amir, 2024. "Portmanteau tests for periodic ARMA models with dependent errors," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 45(2), pages 164-188, March.
    2. Federico Belotti & Alessandro Casini & Leopoldo Catania & Stefano Grassi & Pierre Perron, 2023. "Simultaneous bandwidths determination for DK-HAC estimators and long-run variance estimation in nonparametric settings," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(3), pages 281-306, February.
    3. Boubacar Mainassara, Y. & Francq, C., 2011. "Estimating structural VARMA models with uncorrelated but non-independent error terms," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 102(3), pages 496-505, March.
    4. Hirukawa, Masayuki, 2023. "Robust Covariance Matrix Estimation in Time Series: A Review," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 36-61.
    5. Boubacar Maïnassara, Yacouba & Raïssi, Hamdi, 2015. "Semi-strong linearity testing in linear models with dependent but uncorrelated errors," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 103(C), pages 110-115.
    6. Abhimanyu Gupta & Myung Hwan Seo, 2023. "Robust Inference on Infinite and Growing Dimensional Time‐Series Regression," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 91(4), pages 1333-1361, July.
    7. Casini, Alessandro & Perron, Pierre, 2024. "Prewhitened long-run variance estimation robust to nonstationarity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 242(1).
    8. Yacouba Boubacar Maïnassara & Youssef Esstafa & Bruno Saussereau, 2021. "Estimating FARIMA models with uncorrelated but non-independent error terms," Statistical Inference for Stochastic Processes, Springer, vol. 24(3), pages 549-608, October.
    9. Martínez-Iriarte, Julián & Sun, Yixiao & Wang, Xuexin, 2020. "Asymptotic F tests under possibly weak identification," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 218(1), pages 140-177.
    10. Yacouba Boubacar Maïnassara & Landy Rabehasaina, 2020. "Estimation of weak ARMA models with regime changes," Statistical Inference for Stochastic Processes, Springer, vol. 23(1), pages 1-52, April.
    11. Boudoukh, Jacob & Israel, Ronen & Richardson, Matthew, 2022. "Biases in long-horizon predictive regressions," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(3), pages 937-969.
    12. Casini, Alessandro, 2023. "Theory of evolutionary spectra for heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation robust inference in possibly misspecified and nonstationary models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(2), pages 372-392.
    13. Yixiao Sun & Xuexin Wang, 2019. "An Asymptotically F-Distributed Chow Test in the Presence of Heteroscedasticity and Autocorrelation," Papers 1911.03771, arXiv.org.
    14. Sun, Yixiao & Yang, Jingjing, 2020. "Testing-optimal kernel choice in HAR inference," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 219(1), pages 123-136.
    15. Richard T. Baillie & Francis X. Diebold & George Kapetanios & Kun Ho Kim, 2022. "On Robust Inference in Time Series Regression," PIER Working Paper Archive 22-012, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
    16. Boubacar Mainassara, Yacouba, 2010. "Selection of weak VARMA models by modified Akaike's information criteria," MPRA Paper 24981, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    17. Boubacar Mainassara, Y. & Carbon, M. & Francq, C., 2012. "Computing and estimating information matrices of weak ARMA models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(2), pages 345-361.
    18. Hidalgo, Javier & Schafgans, Marcia, 2021. "Inference without smoothing for large panels with cross-sectional and temporal dependence," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 223(1), pages 125-160.
    19. Abdoulkarim Ilmi Amir & Yacouba Boubacar Maïnassara, 2020. "Multivariate portmanteau tests for weak multiplicative seasonal VARMA models," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 61(6), pages 2529-2560, December.
    20. Boubacar Mainassara, Yacouba, 2009. "Multivariate portmanteau test for structural VARMA models with uncorrelated but non-independent error terms," MPRA Paper 18990, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:testjl:v:32:y:2023:i:3:d:10.1007_s11749-023-00859-w. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.