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Bayesian analysis of ranking data with the Extended Plackett–Luce model

Author

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  • Cristina Mollica

    (Sapienza University of Rome)

  • Luca Tardella

    (Sapienza University of Rome)

Abstract

Multistage ranking models, including the popular Plackett–Luce distribution (PL), rely on the assumption that the ranking process is performed sequentially, by assigning the positions from the top to the bottom one (forward order). A recent contribution to the ranking literature relaxed this assumption with the addition of the discrete-valued reference order parameter, yielding the novel Extended Plackett–Luce model (EPL). Inference on the EPL and its generalization into a finite mixture framework was originally addressed from the frequentist perspective. In this work, we propose the Bayesian estimation of the EPL in order to address more directly and efficiently the inference on the additional discrete-valued parameter and the assessment of its estimation uncertainty, possibly uncovering potential idiosyncratic drivers in the formation of preferences. We overcome initial difficulties in employing a standard Gibbs sampling strategy to approximate the posterior distribution of the EPL by combining the data augmentation procedure and the conjugacy of the Gamma prior distribution with a tuned joint Metropolis–Hastings algorithm within Gibbs. The effectiveness and usefulness of the proposal is illustrated with applications to simulated and real datasets.

Suggested Citation

  • Cristina Mollica & Luca Tardella, 2021. "Bayesian analysis of ranking data with the Extended Plackett–Luce model," Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, vol. 30(1), pages 175-194, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:stmapp:v:30:y:2021:i:1:d:10.1007_s10260-020-00519-5
    DOI: 10.1007/s10260-020-00519-5
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Cristina Mollica & Luca Tardella, 2017. "Bayesian Plackett–Luce Mixture Models for Partially Ranked Data," Psychometrika, Springer;The Psychometric Society, vol. 82(2), pages 442-458, June.
    2. David J. Spiegelhalter & Nicola G. Best & Bradley P. Carlin & Angelika Van Der Linde, 2002. "Bayesian measures of model complexity and fit," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 64(4), pages 583-639, October.
    3. Philip L. H. Yu & K. F. Lam & S. M. Lo, 2005. "Factor analysis for ranked data with application to a job selection attitude survey," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 168(3), pages 583-597, July.
    4. R. L. Plackett, 1975. "The Analysis of Permutations," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 24(2), pages 193-202, June.
    5. Isobel Claire Gormley & Thomas Brendan Murphy, 2006. "Analysis of Irish third‐level college applications data," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 169(2), pages 361-379, March.
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