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The Influence of the Spread of Automatic Control and Sharing Technologies on Motorization Processes: Concept, Calculation Scheme, Forecast

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  • M. Yu. Ksenofontov

    (Institute for Economic Forecasting, Russian Academy of Sciences)

  • S. R. Milyakin

    (Institute for Economic Forecasting, Russian Academy of Sciences)

Abstract

The article offers a description of the logic of the influence of the spread of automatic control technologies and sharing practices on the processes of motorization, as well as its formalization in the calculation scheme for the scenarios used in forecasting of car fleets in the long term.

Suggested Citation

  • M. Yu. Ksenofontov & S. R. Milyakin, 2020. "The Influence of the Spread of Automatic Control and Sharing Technologies on Motorization Processes: Concept, Calculation Scheme, Forecast," Studies on Russian Economic Development, Springer, vol. 31(3), pages 254-263, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:sorede:v:31:y:2020:i:3:d:10.1134_s1075700720030077
    DOI: 10.1134/S1075700720030077
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Kenneth B. Medlock & Ronald Soligo, 2002. "Car Ownership and Economic Development with Forecasts to the Year 2015," Journal of Transport Economics and Policy, University of Bath, vol. 36(2), pages 163-188, May.
    2. Tian Wu & Hongmei Zhao & Xunmin Ou, 2014. "Vehicle Ownership Analysis Based on GDP per Capita in China: 1963–2050," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 6(8), pages 1-23, August.
    3. Klein, Nicholas J. & Smart, Michael J., 2017. "Millennials and car ownership: Less money, fewer cars," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 20-29.
    4. Joyce Dargay & Dermot Gately & Martin Sommer, 2007. "Vehicle Ownership and Income Growth, Worldwide: 1960-2030," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 4), pages 143-170.
    5. Meyer, I. & Leimbach, M. & Jaeger, C.C., 2007. "International passenger transport and climate change: A sector analysis in car demand and associated CO2 emissions from 2000 to 2050," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 35(12), pages 6332-6345, December.
    6. M. Yu. Ksenofontov & S. R. Milyakin, 2018. "The Automobilization Process and Its Determining Factors in the Past, Present, and Future," Studies on Russian Economic Development, Springer, vol. 29(4), pages 406-414, July.
    7. Huo, Hong & Wang, Michael, 2012. "Modeling future vehicle sales and stock in China," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 17-29.
    8. L. V. Eder & V. Yu. Nemov, 2017. "Forecast of energy consumption of vehicles," Studies on Russian Economic Development, Springer, vol. 28(4), pages 423-430, July.
    9. Marcos Chamon & Paolo Mauro & Yohei Okawa, 2008. "Mass car ownership in the emerging market giants [‘Petroleum taxes’]," Economic Policy, CEPR, CESifo, Sciences Po;CES;MSH, vol. 23(54), pages 244-296.
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    Cited by:

    1. Yefang Zhou & Hitomi Sato & Toshiyuki Yamamoto, 2021. "Shared Low-Speed Autonomous Vehicle System for Suburban Residential Areas," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(15), pages 1-15, August.

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