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Discussion of: The option market’s anticipation of information content in earnings announcements

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  • Jeffrey J. Burks

    (University of Notre Dame)

Abstract

Billings and Jennings (2011) develop a new measure of stock price sensitivity to earnings called anticipated information content (AIC). The main difference between an AIC and an earnings response coefficient (ERC) is that AICs measure expected rather than actual sensitivity. I evaluate the AIC’s potential usefulness in future research, and conclude that AICs have several disadvantages relative to ERCs but might be useful in rare circumstances. Estimates of AICs contain considerable measurement error and fail a primary test of construct validity when left uncorrected. I outline a method for correcting two of the three sources of measurement error, which can be used by researchers interested in pursuing work on AICs. The method may have uses beyond computing AICs because it yields a prediction of the unsigned change in stock price during a scheduled event window.

Suggested Citation

  • Jeffrey J. Burks, 2011. "Discussion of: The option market’s anticipation of information content in earnings announcements," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 16(3), pages 620-629, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:reaccs:v:16:y:2011:i:3:d:10.1007_s11142-011-9145-8
    DOI: 10.1007/s11142-011-9145-8
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Patell, Jm & Wolfson, Ma, 1981. "The Ex Ante And Ex Post Price Effects Of Quarterly Earnings Announcements Reflected In Option And Stock-Prices," Journal of Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 19(2), pages 434-458.
    2. Mary Brooke Billings & Robert Jennings, 2011. "The option market’s anticipation of information content in earnings announcements," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 16(3), pages 587-619, September.
    3. Hull, John C & White, Alan D, 1987. "The Pricing of Options on Assets with Stochastic Volatilities," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 42(2), pages 281-300, June.
    4. Cox, John C. & Ross, Stephen A. & Rubinstein, Mark, 1979. "Option pricing: A simplified approach," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 7(3), pages 229-263, September.
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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • M41 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Accounting - - - Accounting
    • M49 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Accounting - - - Other
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G29 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Other

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