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Intensity and economic loss assessment of the snow, low-temperature and frost disasters: a case study of Beijing City

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  • Guizhi Wang

    (Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology)

  • Lingyan Wu

    (Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology)

  • Jibo Chen

    (Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology)

Abstract

In this paper, an ordinal regression model and a K-means clustering method are employed to directly assess the intensity of snow, low-temperature and frost disasters in non-pasture areas. Then, economic loss caused by the disasters is evaluated quantitatively by static and dynamic input–output models, respectively. Finally, an empirical analysis is conducted taking Beijing as an example. Compared to historical data in Beijing, results show that snowstorms in 2010 occurred more frequently than before when the intensity was weaker. Meanwhile, the frequency of low-temperature and frost disasters occurring did not change much, but serious low-temperature disasters happened due to heavy snowfalls. The indirect economic losses of the snow, low-temperature and frost disasters occurring in Beijing in 2010 are 2.23 times the direct economic losses. And some sectors are very sensitive to the disasters. Furthermore, it is found that the total economic losses obtained by a dynamic input–output model are less than that evaluated by a static model.

Suggested Citation

  • Guizhi Wang & Lingyan Wu & Jibo Chen, 2016. "Intensity and economic loss assessment of the snow, low-temperature and frost disasters: a case study of Beijing City," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 84(1), pages 293-307, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:84:y:2016:i:1:d:10.1007_s11069-016-2429-3
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-016-2429-3
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Jiazheng Lu & Jun Guo & Jianping Hu & Li Yang & Tao Feng, 2017. "Analysis of ice disasters on ultra-high-voltage direct-current transmission lines," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 86(1), pages 203-217, March.

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