IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/nathaz/v111y2022i2d10.1007_s11069-021-05118-5.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Computational models of community resilience

Author

Listed:
  • Amanda Melendez

    (University of Kentucky)

  • David Caballero-Russi

    (The Pennsylvania State University)

  • Mariantonieta Gutierrez Soto

    (The Pennsylvania State University)

  • Luis Felipe Giraldo

    (University of los Andes)

Abstract

Protecting civil infrastructure from natural and man-made hazards is vital. Understanding the impact of these hazards helps allocate resources efficiently. Researchers have recently proposed static and dynamic computational models for community resilience analyses to evaluate a community’s ability to recover after a disruptive event. Yet, these frameworks still need to adequately address community interdependencies and consider the impact of decision-making in modeling. This paper presents a state-of-the-art review of computational methods to model community resilience, focusing on the last 10 years. It addresses critical terminology, community interdependencies, and current resilience guides within community resilience comprehension and discusses static and dynamic computational models, including probabilistic modeling in uncertain environments, rating models for community resilience assessment, optimization-based modeling for resilient community design, game theory, agent-based, and probabilistic dynamical modeling. This paper presents key findings of promising research for future directions in the community resilience field.

Suggested Citation

  • Amanda Melendez & David Caballero-Russi & Mariantonieta Gutierrez Soto & Luis Felipe Giraldo, 2022. "Computational models of community resilience," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 111(2), pages 1121-1152, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:111:y:2022:i:2:d:10.1007_s11069-021-05118-5
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-021-05118-5
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11069-021-05118-5
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11069-021-05118-5?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Igor Linkov & Cate Fox‐Lent & Laura Read & Craig R. Allen & James C. Arnott & Emanuele Bellini & Jon Coaffee & Marie‐Valentine Florin & Kirk Hatfield & Iain Hyde & William Hynes & Aleksandar Jovanovic, 2018. "Tiered Approach to Resilience Assessment," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 38(9), pages 1772-1780, September.
    2. Shangde Gao & Yan Wang, 2021. "Assessing the impact of geo-targeted warning messages on residents’ evacuation decisions before a hurricane using agent-based modeling," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 107(1), pages 123-146, May.
    3. Jun Zhuang & Vicki M. Bier, 2007. "Balancing Terrorism and Natural Disasters---Defensive Strategy with Endogenous Attacker Effort," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 55(5), pages 976-991, October.
    4. Liu, Wei & Song, Zhaoyang & Ouyang, Min & Li, Jie, 2020. "Recovery-based seismic resilience enhancement strategies of water distribution networks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 203(C).
    5. Álvarez, Xana & Gómez-Rúa, María & Vidal-Puga, Juan, 2019. "Risk prevention of land flood: A cooperative game theory approach," MPRA Paper 91515, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Chakravarty, Amiya K., 2011. "A contingent plan for disaster response," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(1), pages 3-15, November.
    7. Li Sun & Bozidar Stojadinovic & Giovanni Sansavini, 2019. "Agent‐Based Recovery Model for Seismic Resilience Evaluation of Electrified Communities," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 39(7), pages 1597-1614, July.
    8. Dhulipala, Somayajulu L.N. & Flint, Madeleine M., 2020. "Series of semi-Markov processes to model infrastructure resilience under multihazards," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 193(C).
    9. Ramirez-Marquez, Jose E. & Rocco, Claudio M. & Barker, Kash & Moronta, Jose, 2018. "Quantifying the resilience of community structures in networks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 169(C), pages 466-474.
    10. Özlem Ergun & Luyi Gui & Jessica L. Heier Stamm & Pinar Keskinocak & Julie Swann, 2014. "Improving Humanitarian Operations through Technology-Enabled Collaboration," Production and Operations Management, Production and Operations Management Society, vol. 23(6), pages 1002-1014, June.
    11. Kjell Hausken & Vicki M. Bier & Jun Zhuang, 2009. "Defending Against Terrorism, Natural Disaster, and All Hazards," International Series in Operations Research & Management Science, in: Vicki M. M. Bier & M. Naceur Azaiez (ed.), Game Theoretic Risk Analysis of Security Threats, chapter 4, pages 65-97, Springer.
    12. Nagurney, Anna & Salarpour, Mojtaba & Daniele, Patrizia, 2019. "An integrated financial and logistical game theory model for humanitarian organizations with purchasing costs, multiple freight service providers, and budget, capacity, and demand constraints," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 212(C), pages 212-226.
    13. Francis, Royce & Bekera, Behailu, 2014. "A metric and frameworks for resilience analysis of engineered and infrastructure systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 121(C), pages 90-103.
    14. Amaya, Johanna & Delgado-Lindeman, Maira & Arellana, Julian & Allen, Jaime, 2021. "Urban freight logistics: What do citizens perceive?," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    15. Coles John & Zhuang Jun, 2011. "Decisions in Disaster Recovery Operations: A Game Theoretic Perspective on Organization Cooperation," Journal of Homeland Security and Emergency Management, De Gruyter, vol. 8(1), pages 1-16, July.
    16. Daniel Eisenberg & Thomas Seager & David L. Alderson, 2019. "Rethinking Resilience Analytics," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 39(9), pages 1870-1884, September.
    17. Mario Salgado-Gálvez & Daniela Zuloaga Romero & César Velásquez & Martha Carreño & Omar-Darío Cardona & Alex Barbat, 2016. "Urban seismic risk index for Medellín, Colombia, based on probabilistic loss and casualties estimations," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 80(3), pages 1995-2021, February.
    18. Chengguang Lai & Xiaohong Chen & Xiaoyu Chen & Zhaoli Wang & Xushu Wu & Shiwei Zhao, 2015. "A fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model for flood risk based on the combination weight of game theory," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 77(2), pages 1243-1259, June.
    19. Zhao, S. & Liu, X. & Zhuo, Y., 2017. "Hybrid Hidden Markov Models for resilience metrics in a dynamic infrastructure system," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 164(C), pages 84-97.
    20. Bilal M. Ayyub, 2014. "Systems Resilience for Multihazard Environments: Definition, Metrics, and Valuation for Decision Making," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 34(2), pages 340-355, February.
    21. De Iuliis, Melissa & Kammouh, Omar & Cimellaro, Gian Paolo & Tesfamariam, Solomon, 2021. "Quantifying restoration time of power and telecommunication lifelines after earthquakes using Bayesian belief network model," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 208(C).
    22. E. G. Macatulad & A. C. Blanco, 2019. "A 3DGIS multi-agent geo-simulation model for assessment of building evacuation scenarios considering urgency and knowledge of exits," International Journal of Urban Sciences, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(3), pages 318-334, July.
    23. Kammouh, Omar & Gardoni, Paolo & Cimellaro, Gian Paolo, 2020. "Probabilistic framework to evaluate the resilience of engineering systems using Bayesian and dynamic Bayesian networks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 198(C).
    24. Mario A. Salgado-Gálvez & Daniela Zuloaga Romero & César A. Velásquez & Martha L. Carreño & Omar-Darío Cardona & Alex H. Barbat, 2016. "Urban seismic risk index for Medellín, Colombia, based on probabilistic loss and casualties estimations," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 80(3), pages 1995-2021, February.
    25. Daniel Seaberg & Laura Devine & Jun Zhuang, 2017. "A review of game theory applications in natural disaster management research," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 89(3), pages 1461-1483, December.
    26. J. Park & T. P. Seager & P. S. C. Rao & M. Convertino & I. Linkov, 2013. "Integrating Risk and Resilience Approaches to Catastrophe Management in Engineering Systems," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 33(3), pages 356-367, March.
    27. Mohammad Vahidnia & Ali Alesheikh & Seyed Alavipanah, 2015. "A multi-agent architecture for geosimulation of moving agents," Journal of Geographical Systems, Springer, vol. 17(4), pages 353-390, October.
    28. Haphuriwat, N. & Bier, V.M., 2011. "Trade-offs between target hardening and overarching protection," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 213(1), pages 320-328, August.
    29. Arthur, W. Brian, 2006. "Out-of-Equilibrium Economics and Agent-Based Modeling," Handbook of Computational Economics, in: Leigh Tesfatsion & Kenneth L. Judd (ed.), Handbook of Computational Economics, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 32, pages 1551-1564, Elsevier.
    30. Shital A. Thekdi & Samrat Chatterjee, 2019. "Toward adaptive decision support for assessing infrastructure system resilience using hidden performance measures," Journal of Risk Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(8), pages 1020-1043, August.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. HIMOTO, Keisuke & SAWADA, Yuto & OHMIYA, Yoshifumi, 2024. "Quantifying fire resilience of buildings considering the impact of water damage accompanied by fire extinguishment," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 243(C).
    2. Yang, Sen & Zhang, Yi & Lu, Xinzheng & Guo, Wei & Miao, Huiquan, 2024. "Multi-agent deep reinforcement learning based decision support model for resilient community post-hazard recovery," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 242(C).
    3. Maddah, Negin & Heydari, Babak, 2024. "Building back better: Modeling decentralized recovery in sociotechnical systems using strategic network dynamics," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 246(C).
    4. Ting Que & Yuxin Wu & Shiyu Hu & Jianmin Cai & Nan Jiang & Huige Xing, 2022. "Factors Influencing Public Participation in Community Disaster Mitigation Activities: A Comparison of Model and Nonmodel Disaster Mitigation Communities," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(19), pages 1-18, September.
    5. Elkady, Sahar & Hernantes, Josune & Labaka, Leire, 2023. "Towards a resilient community: A decision support framework for prioritizing stakeholders' interaction areas," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 237(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Daniel Seaberg & Laura Devine & Jun Zhuang, 2017. "A review of game theory applications in natural disaster management research," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 89(3), pages 1461-1483, December.
    2. Xuehua Han & Liang Wang & Dandan Xu & He Wei & Xinghua Zhang & Xiaodong Zhang, 2022. "Research Progress and Framework Construction of Urban Resilience Computational Simulation," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(19), pages 1-15, September.
    3. Adel Mottahedi & Farhang Sereshki & Mohammad Ataei & Ali Nouri Qarahasanlou & Abbas Barabadi, 2021. "The Resilience of Critical Infrastructure Systems: A Systematic Literature Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(6), pages 1-32, March.
    4. Mottahedi, Adel & Sereshki, Farhang & Ataei, Mohammad & Qarahasanlou, Ali Nouri & Barabadi, Abbas, 2021. "Resilience estimation of critical infrastructure systems: Application of expert judgment," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 215(C).
    5. Xu, Zizhen & Chopra, Shauhrat S., 2022. "Network-based Assessment of Metro Infrastructure with a Spatial–temporal Resilience Cycle Framework," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 223(C).
    6. Cai, Baoping & Zhang, Yanping & Wang, Haifeng & Liu, Yonghong & Ji, Renjie & Gao, Chuntan & Kong, Xiangdi & Liu, Jing, 2021. "Resilience evaluation methodology of engineering systems with dynamic-Bayesian-network-based degradation and maintenance," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 209(C).
    7. Du, Ao & Wang, Xiaowei & Xie, Yazhou & Dong, You, 2023. "Regional seismic risk and resilience assessment: Methodological development, applicability, and future research needs – An earthquake engineering perspective," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 233(C).
    8. H. Klammler & P. S. C. Rao & K. Hatfield, 2018. "Modeling dynamic resilience in coupled technological-social systems subjected to stochastic disturbance regimes," Environment Systems and Decisions, Springer, vol. 38(1), pages 140-159, March.
    9. Corinne Curt & Jean‐Marc Tacnet, 2018. "Resilience of Critical Infrastructures: Review and Analysis of Current Approaches," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 38(11), pages 2441-2458, November.
    10. Liu, Xing & Fang, Yi-Ping & Zio, Enrico, 2021. "A Hierarchical Resilience Enhancement Framework for Interdependent Critical Infrastructures," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 215(C).
    11. Nader Naderpajouh & David J. Yu & Daniel P. Aldrich & Igor Linkov & Juri Matinheikki, 2018. "Engineering meets institutions: an interdisciplinary approach to the management of resilience," Environment Systems and Decisions, Springer, vol. 38(3), pages 306-317, September.
    12. Cassottana, Beatrice & Shen, Lijuan & Tang, Loon Ching, 2019. "Modeling the recovery process: A key dimension of resilience," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 190(C), pages 1-1.
    13. Heimir Thorisson & James H. Lambert & John J. Cardenas & Igor Linkov, 2017. "Resilience Analytics with Application to Power Grid of a Developing Region," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 37(7), pages 1268-1286, July.
    14. Payuna Uday & Karen Marais, 2015. "Designing Resilient Systems‐of‐Systems: A Survey of Metrics, Methods, and Challenges," Systems Engineering, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 18(5), pages 491-510, October.
    15. Uday, Payuna & Chandrahasa, Rakshit & Marais, Karen, 2019. "System Importance Measures: Definitions and Application to System-of-Systems Analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 191(C).
    16. Wei, Yian & Cheng, Yao & Liao, Haitao, 2024. "Optimal resilience-based restoration of a system subject to recurrent dependent hazards," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 247(C).
    17. Hao, Yucheng & Jia, Limin & Zio, Enrico & Wang, Yanhui & Small, Michael & Li, Man, 2023. "Improving resilience of high-speed train by optimizing repair strategies," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 237(C).
    18. Liu, Juncai & Tian, Li & Yang, Meng & Meng, Xiangrui, 2024. "Probabilistic framework for seismic resilience assessment of transmission tower-line systems subjected to mainshock-aftershock sequences," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 242(C).
    19. Poulin, Craig & Kane, Michael B., 2021. "Infrastructure resilience curves: Performance measures and summary metrics," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    20. Cheng, Yao & Elsayed, E.A. & Chen, Xi, 2021. "Random Multi Hazard Resilience Modeling of Engineered Systems and Critical Infrastructure," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 209(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:111:y:2022:i:2:d:10.1007_s11069-021-05118-5. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.