IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/reensy/v233y2023ics0951832023000194.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Regional seismic risk and resilience assessment: Methodological development, applicability, and future research needs – An earthquake engineering perspective

Author

Listed:
  • Du, Ao
  • Wang, Xiaowei
  • Xie, Yazhou
  • Dong, You

Abstract

Given the devastating losses incurred by past major earthquake events together with the ever-increasing global seismic exposures due to population growth and urbanization, strategic decision-support tools are required to help stakeholders make more contemplated decisions that promote seismic resilience of the built environment. Such decision-support is enabled by regional seismic risk and resilience assessment, which holistically incorporates the various underlying physics processes and uncertainties for quantitative and probabilistic assessment of regional seismic hazard impacts, and has thereby attracted increasing research focus over the past twenty years. As a significant departure from the traditional site-specific assessment, where only an individual structure and site-specific seismic hazard are of interest, such regional-level assessment introduces additional dimensions and complexity. To date, there is a lack of review studies summarizing the related research advancements in seismic risk and resilience assessment from a regional-level perspective in the context of earthquake engineering. This study fills this gap by conducting a systematic review covering: the methodological development of regional seismic risk assessment (RSRiA) across its key modules, including hazard analysis, exposure modeling, fragility assessment, and consequence evaluation, as well as the associated uncertainty quantification and propagation; the development of resilience metrics, restoration modeling and planning in regional seismic resilience assessment (RSReA); and the applicability of existing computational workflows. Insights into the features, applicability, compatibility, and limitations of existing models and tools are provided. This study also highlights the challenges and future directions toward further advancing the research frontiers of RSRiA and RSReA.

Suggested Citation

  • Du, Ao & Wang, Xiaowei & Xie, Yazhou & Dong, You, 2023. "Regional seismic risk and resilience assessment: Methodological development, applicability, and future research needs – An earthquake engineering perspective," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 233(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:233:y:2023:i:c:s0951832023000194
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2023.109104
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0951832023000194
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ress.2023.109104?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ouyang, Min & Wang, Zhenghua, 2015. "Resilience assessment of interdependent infrastructure systems: With a focus on joint restoration modeling and analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 141(C), pages 74-82.
    2. Maryia Markhvida & Brian Walsh & Stephane Hallegatte & Jack Baker, 2020. "Quantification of disaster impacts through household well-being losses," Nature Sustainability, Nature, vol. 3(7), pages 538-547, July.
    3. Adachi, Takao & Ellingwood, Bruce R., 2008. "Serviceability of earthquake-damaged water systems: Effects of electrical power availability and power backup systems on system vulnerability," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 93(1), pages 78-88.
    4. Yi Peng, 2015. "Regional earthquake vulnerability assessment using a combination of MCDM methods," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 234(1), pages 95-110, November.
    5. Hosseini, Seyedmohsen & Barker, Kash & Ramirez-Marquez, Jose E., 2016. "A review of definitions and measures of system resilience," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 145(C), pages 47-61.
    6. Mario Salgado-Gálvez & Daniela Zuloaga Romero & César Velásquez & Martha Carreño & Omar-Darío Cardona & Alex Barbat, 2016. "Urban seismic risk index for Medellín, Colombia, based on probabilistic loss and casualties estimations," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 80(3), pages 1995-2021, February.
    7. Dehghani, Nariman L. & Jeddi, Ashkan B. & Shafieezadeh, Abdollah, 2021. "Intelligent hurricane resilience enhancement of power distribution systems via deep reinforcement learning," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 285(C).
    8. Bilal M. Ayyub, 2014. "Systems Resilience for Multihazard Environments: Definition, Metrics, and Valuation for Decision Making," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 34(2), pages 340-355, February.
    9. Liu, Wei & Song, Zhaoyang, 2020. "Review of studies on the resilience of urban critical infrastructure networks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 193(C).
    10. Almoghathawi, Yasser & Barker, Kash & Albert, Laura A., 2019. "Resilience-driven restoration model for interdependent infrastructure networks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 185(C), pages 12-23.
    11. Satoshi Tsuchiya & Hirokazu Tatano & Norio Okada, 2007. "Economic Loss Assessment due to Railroad and Highway Disruptions," Economic Systems Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(2), pages 147-162.
    12. De Iuliis, Melissa & Kammouh, Omar & Cimellaro, Gian Paolo & Tesfamariam, Solomon, 2021. "Quantifying restoration time of power and telecommunication lifelines after earthquakes using Bayesian belief network model," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 208(C).
    13. Boakye, Jessica & Guidotti, Roberto & Gardoni, Paolo & Murphy, Colleen, 2022. "The role of transportation infrastructure on the impact of natural hazards on communities," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 219(C).
    14. Camilo Gomez & Andrés D. González & Hiba Baroud & Claudia D. Bedoya‐Motta, 2019. "Integrating Operational and Organizational Aspects in Interdependent Infrastructure Network Recovery," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 39(9), pages 1913-1929, September.
    15. Andrew M. Smith & Andrés D. González & Leonardo Dueñas‐Osorio & Raissa M. D'Souza, 2020. "Interdependent Network Recovery Games," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 40(1), pages 134-152, January.
    16. Mario A. Salgado-Gálvez & Daniela Zuloaga Romero & César A. Velásquez & Martha L. Carreño & Omar-Darío Cardona & Alex H. Barbat, 2016. "Urban seismic risk index for Medellín, Colombia, based on probabilistic loss and casualties estimations," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 80(3), pages 1995-2021, February.
    17. Ouyang, Min, 2014. "Review on modeling and simulation of interdependent critical infrastructure systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 121(C), pages 43-60.
    18. Mohammad R. Zolfaghari & Elnaz Peyghaleh, 2015. "Implementation of Equity in Resource Allocation for Regional Earthquake Risk Mitigation Using Two‐Stage Stochastic Programming," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 35(3), pages 434-458, March.
    19. Jonathan Remo & Nicholas Pinter, 2012. "Hazus-MH earthquake modeling in the central USA," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 63(2), pages 1055-1081, September.
    20. Yu, Yun-Chi & Gardoni, Paolo, 2022. "Predicting road blockage due to building damage following earthquakes," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 219(C).
    21. Mabel Marulanda & Martha Carreño & Omar Cardona & Mario Ordaz & Alex Barbat, 2013. "Probabilistic earthquake risk assessment using CAPRA: application to the city of Barcelona, Spain," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 69(1), pages 59-84, October.
    22. Choe, Do-Eun & Gardoni, Paolo & Rosowsky, David & Haukaas, Terje, 2008. "Probabilistic capacity models and seismic fragility estimates for RC columns subject to corrosion," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 93(3), pages 383-393.
    23. Sharma, Neetesh & Gardoni, Paolo, 2022. "Mathematical modeling of interdependent infrastructure: An object-oriented approach for generalized network-system analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 217(C).
    24. Cox, Andrew & Prager, Fynnwin & Rose, Adam, 2011. "Transportation security and the role of resilience: A foundation for operational metrics," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 18(2), pages 307-317, March.
    25. Yasser Almoghathawi & Andrés D. González & Kash Barker, 2021. "Exploring Recovery Strategies for Optimal Interdependent Infrastructure Network Resilience," Networks and Spatial Economics, Springer, vol. 21(1), pages 229-260, March.
    26. Kameshwar, Sabarethinam & Cox, Daniel T. & Barbosa, Andre R. & Farokhnia, Karim & Park, Hyoungsu & Alam, Mohammad S. & van de Lindt, John W., 2019. "Probabilistic decision-support framework for community resilience: Incorporating multi-hazards, infrastructure interdependencies, and resilience goals in a Bayesian network," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 191(C).
    27. S. Ploeger & G. Atkinson & C. Samson, 2010. "Applying the HAZUS-MH software tool to assess seismic risk in downtown Ottawa, Canada," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 53(1), pages 1-20, April.
    28. Vitor Silva & Helen Crowley & Marco Pagani & Damiano Monelli & Rui Pinho, 2014. "Development of the OpenQuake engine, the Global Earthquake Model’s open-source software for seismic risk assessment," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 72(3), pages 1409-1427, July.
    29. Argyroudis, Sotirios A. & Mitoulis, Stergios Α. & Winter, Mike G. & Kaynia, Amir M., 2019. "Fragility of transport assets exposed to multiple hazards: State-of-the-art review toward infrastructural resilience," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 191(C).
    30. García-Torres, Samy & Kahhat, Ramzy & Santa-Cruz, Sandra, 2017. "Methodology to characterize and quantify debris generation in residential buildings after seismic events," Resources, Conservation & Recycling, Elsevier, vol. 117(PB), pages 151-159.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Jia, Rui & Du, Kun & Song, Zhigang & Xu, Wei & Zheng, Feifei, 2024. "Scenario reduction-based simulation method for efficient serviceability assessment of earthquake-damaged water distribution systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 246(C).
    2. HIMOTO, Keisuke & SAWADA, Yuto & OHMIYA, Yoshifumi, 2024. "Quantifying fire resilience of buildings considering the impact of water damage accompanied by fire extinguishment," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 243(C).
    3. Anwar, Ghazanfar Ali & Zhang, Xiaoge, 2024. "Deep reinforcement learning for intelligent risk optimization of buildings under hazard," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 247(C).
    4. Fadel Miguel, Leandro F. & Beck, André T., 2024. "Optimal path shape of friction-based Track-Nonlinear Energy Sinks to minimize lifecycle costs of buildings subjected to ground accelerations," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 248(C).
    5. Yang, Sen & Zhang, Yi & Lu, Xinzheng & Guo, Wei & Miao, Huiquan, 2024. "Multi-agent deep reinforcement learning based decision support model for resilient community post-hazard recovery," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 242(C).
    6. Moradi, Shohreh & Khan, Md Muzahid & Hossain, Niamat Ullah Ibne & Shamsuddoha, Mohammad & Gorod, Alex, 2023. "Modeling and assessing seismic resilience leveraging systems dynamic approach: A case study of society 5.0," International Journal of Critical Infrastructure Protection, Elsevier, vol. 43(C).
    7. Xu, Min & Li, Guoyuan & Chen, Anthony, 2024. "Resilience-driven post-disaster restoration of interdependent infrastructure systems under different decision-making environments," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 241(C).
    8. Wen, Jiayi & Li, Xiaoxuan & Xue, Jingwei, 2024. "Feasibility evaluation of Copula theory for substation equipment with multiple nonlinear-related seismic response indexes," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 247(C).
    9. Li, Chao & Diao, Yucheng & Li, Hong-Nan & Pan, Haiyang & Ma, Ruisheng & Han, Qiang & Xing, Yihan, 2023. "Seismic performance assessment of a sea-crossing cable-stayed bridge system considering soil spatial variability," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 235(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Poulin, Craig & Kane, Michael B., 2021. "Infrastructure resilience curves: Performance measures and summary metrics," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    2. Brunner, L.G. & Peer, R.A.M. & Zorn, C. & Paulik, R. & Logan, T.M., 2024. "Understanding cascading risks through real-world interdependent urban infrastructure," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 241(C).
    3. Mottahedi, Adel & Sereshki, Farhang & Ataei, Mohammad & Qarahasanlou, Ali Nouri & Barabadi, Abbas, 2021. "Resilience estimation of critical infrastructure systems: Application of expert judgment," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 215(C).
    4. Liu, Xing & Fang, Yi-Ping & Zio, Enrico, 2021. "A Hierarchical Resilience Enhancement Framework for Interdependent Critical Infrastructures," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 215(C).
    5. Trucco, Paolo & Petrenj, Boris, 2023. "Characterisation of resilience metrics in full-scale applications to interdependent infrastructure systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 235(C).
    6. Tiong, Achara & Vergara, Hector A., 2023. "Evaluation of network expansion decisions for resilient interdependent critical infrastructures with different topologies," International Journal of Critical Infrastructure Protection, Elsevier, vol. 42(C).
    7. Reilly, Allison C. & Baroud, Hiba & Flage, Roger & Gerst, Michael D., 2021. "Sources of uncertainty in interdependent infrastructure and their implications," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 213(C).
    8. Liu, Huan & Tatano, Hirokazu & Pflug, Georg & Hochrainer-Stigler, Stefan, 2021. "Post-disaster recovery in industrial sectors: A Markov process analysis of multiple lifeline disruptions," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 206(C).
    9. Liu, Wei & Song, Zhaoyang, 2020. "Review of studies on the resilience of urban critical infrastructure networks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 193(C).
    10. Jingjing Kong & Slobodan P. Simonovic, 2019. "Probabilistic Multiple Hazard Resilience Model of an Interdependent Infrastructure System," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 39(8), pages 1843-1863, August.
    11. Nguyen, Hung & Abdel-Mottaleb, Noha & Uddin, Shihab & Zhang, Qiong & Lu, Qing & Zhang, He & Li, Mingyang, 2022. "Joint maintenance planning of deteriorating co-located road and water infrastructures with interdependencies," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 226(C).
    12. Amanda Melendez & David Caballero-Russi & Mariantonieta Gutierrez Soto & Luis Felipe Giraldo, 2022. "Computational models of community resilience," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 111(2), pages 1121-1152, March.
    13. Adel Mottahedi & Farhang Sereshki & Mohammad Ataei & Ali Nouri Qarahasanlou & Abbas Barabadi, 2021. "The Resilience of Critical Infrastructure Systems: A Systematic Literature Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(6), pages 1-32, March.
    14. Bellè, Andrea & Abdin, Adam F. & Fang, Yi-Ping & Zeng, Zhiguo & Barros, Anne, 2023. "A data-driven distributionally robust approach for the optimal coupling of interdependent critical infrastructures under random failures," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 309(2), pages 872-889.
    15. Jingjing Kong & Slobodan P. Simonovic & Chao Zhang, 2019. "Sequential Hazards Resilience of Interdependent Infrastructure System: A Case Study of Greater Toronto Area Energy Infrastructure System," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 39(5), pages 1141-1168, May.
    16. Canbilen Sütiçen, Tuğçe & Batun, Sakine & Çelik, Melih, 2023. "Integrated reinforcement and repair of interdependent infrastructure networks under disaster-related uncertainties," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 308(1), pages 369-384.
    17. Ouyang, Min, 2017. "A mathematical framework to optimize resilience of interdependent critical infrastructure systems under spatially localized attacks," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 262(3), pages 1072-1084.
    18. Moglen, Rachel L. & Barth, Julius & Gupta, Shagun & Kawai, Eiji & Klise, Katherine & Leibowicz, Benjamin D., 2023. "A nexus approach to infrastructure resilience planning under uncertainty," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 230(C).
    19. Maddah, Negin & Heydari, Babak, 2024. "Building back better: Modeling decentralized recovery in sociotechnical systems using strategic network dynamics," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 246(C).
    20. Alkhaleel, Basem A. & Liao, Haitao & Sullivan, Kelly M., 2022. "Risk and resilience-based optimal post-disruption restoration for critical infrastructures under uncertainty," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 296(1), pages 174-202.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:233:y:2023:i:c:s0951832023000194. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/reliability-engineering-and-system-safety .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.