Long memory in volatility in foreign exchange markets: evidence from selected countries in Africa
Author
Abstract
Suggested Citation
DOI: 10.1007/s12197-024-09668-9
Download full text from publisher
As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.
References listed on IDEAS
- C. May & G Farrell, 2018. "Modelling Exchange Rate Volatility Dynamics: Empirical Evidence From South Africa," Studies in Economics and Econometrics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(3), pages 71-114, December.
- Jushan Bai & Pierre Perron, 1998.
"Estimating and Testing Linear Models with Multiple Structural Changes,"
Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 66(1), pages 47-78, January.
- Perron, P. & Bai, J., 1995. "Estimating and Testing Linear Models with Multiple Structural Changes," Cahiers de recherche 9552, Universite de Montreal, Departement de sciences economiques.
- Perron, P. & Bai, J., 1995. "Estimating and Testing Linear Models with Multiple Structural Changes," Cahiers de recherche 9552, Centre interuniversitaire de recherche en économie quantitative, CIREQ.
- Tobias Rydén & Timo Teräsvirta & Stefan Åsbrink, 1998.
"Stylized facts of daily return series and the hidden Markov model,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 13(3), pages 217-244.
- Rydén, Tobias & Teräsvirta, Timo & Åsbrink, Stefan, 1996. "Stylized Facts of Daily Return Series and the Hidden Markov Model," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 117, Stockholm School of Economics.
- Sadique, Shibley & Silvapulle, Param, 2001. "Long-Term Memory in Stock Market Returns: International Evidence," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 6(1), pages 59-67, January.
- Calvo, Guillermo A. & Reinhart, Carmen M. & Vegh, Carlos A., 1995.
"Targeting the real exchange rate: theory and evidence,"
Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 47(1), pages 97-133, June.
- Reinhart, Carmen & Calvo, Guillermo & Vegh, Carlos, 1994. "Targeting the real exchange rate: Theory and evidence," MPRA Paper 13412, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Reinhart, Carmen & Calvo, Guillermo & Vegh, Carlos, 1994. "Targeting the real exchange rate," MPRA Paper 13765, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Mr. Carlos A. Végh Gramont & Mr. Guillermo Calvo & Ms. Carmen Reinhart, 1994. "Targeting the Real Exchange Rate: Theory and Evidence," IMF Working Papers 1994/022, International Monetary Fund.
- Bollerslev, Tim & Ole Mikkelsen, Hans, 1996.
"Modeling and pricing long memory in stock market volatility,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 73(1), pages 151-184, July.
- Tom Doan, "undated". "RATS program to replicate Bollerslev-Mikkelson(1996) FIEGARCH models," Statistical Software Components RTZ00173, Boston College Department of Economics.
- Breitung, Jörg & Eickmeier, Sandra, 2011.
"Testing for structural breaks in dynamic factor models,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 163(1), pages 71-84, July.
- Breitung, Jörg & Eickmeier, Sandra, 2009. "Testing for structural breaks in dynamic factor models," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2009,05, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Granger, Clive W. J. & Hyung, Namwon, 2004. "Occasional structural breaks and long memory with an application to the S&P 500 absolute stock returns," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 11(3), pages 399-421, June.
- Alexander Boateng & Gloria Claudio-Quiroga & Luis A. Gil-Alana, 2020. "Exchange rate dynamics in South Africa," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(22), pages 2339-2352, May.
- M. S. Mohanty & Marc Klau, 2005.
"Monetary Policy Rules in Emerging Market Economies: Issues and Evidence,"
Springer Books, in: Rolf J. Langhammer & Lúcio Vinhas Souza (ed.), Monetary Policy and Macroeconomic Stabilization in Latin America, pages 205-245,
Springer.
- M. S. Mohanty & Marc Klau, 2004. "Monetary policy rules in emerging market economies: issues and evidence," BIS Working Papers 149, Bank for International Settlements.
- Sifunjo E. Kisaka & Wainaina Gituro & Pokhariyal Ganesh & Ngugi W. Rose, 2008. "An analysis of the efficiency of the foreign exchange market in Kenya," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 14(2), pages 1-13.
- P Thupayagale & K Jefferis, 2011. "Real Versus Spurious Long-Memory Volatility In Foreign Exchange Data: Evidence From The Rand Against The G4 Currencies," Studies in Economics and Econometrics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(2), pages 71-94, August.
- Chkili, Walid & Aloui, Chaker & Nguyen, Duc Khuong, 2012. "Asymmetric effects and long memory in dynamic volatility relationships between stock returns and exchange rates," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 22(4), pages 738-757.
- Lasfer, M. Ameziane & Melnik, Arie & Thomas, Dylan C., 2003. "Short-term reaction of stock markets in stressful circumstances," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 27(10), pages 1959-1977, October.
- Mr. Jun Nagayasu, 2003. "The Efficiency of the Japanese Equity Market," IMF Working Papers 2003/142, International Monetary Fund.
- Iyke, Bernard Njindan & Ho, Sin-Yu, 2021. "Exchange rate exposure in the South African stock market before and during the COVID-19 pandemic," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 43(C).
- Ayogu, Melvin D, 1997. "Return Predictability: Evidence from Nigeria's Foreign Exchange Parallel Market," Journal of African Economies, Centre for the Study of African Economies, vol. 6(2), pages 296-313, July.
- repec:ebl:ecbull:v:14:y:2008:i:2:p:1-13 is not listed on IDEAS
- Liu, Ming, 2000. "Modeling long memory in stock market volatility," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 99(1), pages 139-171, November.
- Jushan Bai & Pierre Perron, 2003.
"Computation and analysis of multiple structural change models,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 18(1), pages 1-22.
- BAI, Jushan & PERRON, Pierre, 1998. "Computation and Analysis of Multiple Structural-Change Models," Cahiers de recherche 9807, Universite de Montreal, Departement de sciences economiques.
- Tom Doan, "undated". "MULTIPLEBREAKS: RATS procedure to perform multiple structural change analysis," Statistical Software Components RTS00138, Boston College Department of Economics.
- Tom Doan, "undated". "RATS programs to replicate examples of Bai-Perron procedure," Statistical Software Components RTZ00008, Boston College Department of Economics.
- Tom Doan, "undated". "BAIPERRON: RATS procedure to perform Bai-Perron Test for Multiple Structural Changes," Statistical Software Components RTS00013, Boston College Department of Economics.
- Bollerslev, Tim & Wright, Jonathan H., 2000. "Semiparametric estimation of long-memory volatility dependencies: The role of high-frequency data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 98(1), pages 81-106, September.
- Omane-Adjepong, Maurice & Boako, Gidoen & Alagidede, Paul, 2018. "Modelling heterogeneous speculation in Ghana’s foreign exchange market: Evidence from ARFIMA-FIGARCH and Semi-Parametric methods," MPRA Paper 86617, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Ms. Jayasri Dutta, 2002. "Dread of Depreciation: Measuring Real Exchange Rate Interventions," IMF Working Papers 2002/063, International Monetary Fund.
- Aron, Janine & Ayogu, Melvin, 1997. "Foreign Exchange Market Efficiency Tests in Sub-Saharan Africa," Journal of African Economies, Centre for the Study of African Economies, vol. 6(3), pages 150-192, Supplemen.
- Y. K. Tse, 1998.
"The conditional heteroscedasticity of the yen-dollar exchange rate,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 13(1), pages 49-55.
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- Kuttu, Saint, 2018. "Modelling long memory in volatility in sub-Saharan African equity markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 176-185.
- Geoffrey Ngene & Kenneth A. Tah & Ali F. Darrat, 2017.
"Long memory or structural breaks: Some evidence for African stock markets,"
Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 34(1), pages 61-73, September.
- Ngene, Geoffrey & Tah, Kenneth A. & Darrat, Ali F., 2017. "Long memory or structural breaks: Some evidence for African stock markets," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 61-73.
- Kunal Saha & Vinodh Madhavan & Chandrashekhar G. R. & David McMillan, 2020. "Pitfalls in long memory research," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(1), pages 1733280-173, January.
- Abderrazak Ben Maatoug & Rim Lamouchi & Russell Davidson & Ibrahim Fatnassi, 2018.
"Modelling Foreign Exchange Realized Volatility Using High Frequency Data: Long Memory versus Structural Breaks,"
Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, vol. 10(1), pages 1-25, March.
- Abderrazak Ben Maatoug & Rim Lamouchi & Russell Davidson & Ibrahim Fatnassi, 2018. "Modelling Foreign Exchange Realized Volatility Using High Frequency Data: Long Memory versus Structural Breaks," Post-Print hal-01982032, HAL.
- Andrés Herrera Aramburú & Gabriel Rodríguez, 2016.
"Volatility of stock market and exchange rate returns in Peru: Long memory or short memory with level shifts?,"
International Journal of Monetary Economics and Finance, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 9(1), pages 45-66.
- Andres Herrera & Gabriel Rodríguez, 2014. "Volatility of Stock Market and Exchange Rate Returns in Peru: Long Memory or Short Memory with Level Shifts?," Documentos de Trabajo / Working Papers 2014-393, Departamento de Economía - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú.
- Morana, Claudio & Beltratti, Andrea, 2004. "Structural change and long-range dependence in volatility of exchange rates: either, neither or both?," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 11(5), pages 629-658, December.
- Assaf, Ata, 2015. "Long memory and level shifts in REITs returns and volatility," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 172-182.
- Banerjee, Anindya & Urga, Giovanni, 2005. "Modelling structural breaks, long memory and stock market volatility: an overview," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 129(1-2), pages 1-34.
- Geoffrey Ngene & Ann Nduati Mungai & Allen K. Lynch, 2018. "Long-Term Dependency Structure and Structural Breaks: Evidence from the U.S. Sector Returns and Volatility," Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies (RPBFMP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 21(02), pages 1-38, June.
- Al-Shboul, Mohammad & Alsharari, Nizar, 2019. "The dynamic behavior of evolving efficiency: Evidence from the UAE stock markets," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 119-135.
- Charfeddine, Lanouar & Ajmi, Ahdi Noomen, 2013. "The Tunisian stock market index volatility: Long memory vs. switching regime," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 16(C), pages 170-182.
- Choi, Kyongwook & Yu, Wei-Choun & Zivot, Eric, 2010.
"Long memory versus structural breaks in modeling and forecasting realized volatility,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(5), pages 857-875, September.
- Kyongwook Choi & Wei-Choun Yu & Eric Zivot, 2008. "Long Memory versus Structural Breaks in Modeling and Forecasting Realized Volatility," Working Papers UWEC-2008-20-FC, University of Washington, Department of Economics.
- Robert A. Connolly & Z. Nuray G‹Ner & Kenneth N. Hightower, 2007.
"Evidence on the Extent and Potential Sources of Long Memory in U.S. Treasury Security Returns and Yields,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 39(2-3), pages 689-702, March.
- Robert A. Connolly & Z. Nuray Güner & Kenneth N. Hightower, 2007. "Evidence on the Extent and Potential Sources of Long Memory in U.S. Treasury Security Returns and Yields," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 39(2‐3), pages 689-702, March.
- Gabriel Rodríguez & Roxana Tramontana Tocto, 2015.
"Application of a Short Memory Model With Random Level Shifts to the Volatility of Latin American Stock Market Returns,"
Latin American Journal of Economics-formerly Cuadernos de Economía, Instituto de Economía. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile., vol. 52(2), pages 185-211, November.
- Gabriel Rodriguez & Roxana Tramontana, 2014. "An Application of a Short Memory Model With Random Level Shifts to the Volatility of Latin American Stock Market Returns," Documentos de Trabajo / Working Papers 2014-385, Departamento de Economía - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú.
- Rodríguez, Gabriel & Tramontana, Roxana, 2015. "An Application of a Short Memory Model with Random Level Shifts to the Volatility of Latin American Stock Market Returns," Working Papers 2015-004, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú.
- Dark Jonathan Graeme, 2010. "Estimation of Time Varying Skewness and Kurtosis with an Application to Value at Risk," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 14(2), pages 1-50, March.
- Lu, Yang K. & Perron, Pierre, 2010.
"Modeling and forecasting stock return volatility using a random level shift model,"
Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 17(1), pages 138-156, January.
- Yang K. Lu & Pierre Perron, 2008. "Modeling and Forecasting Stock Return Volatility Using a Random Level Shift Model," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series wp2008-012, Boston University - Department of Economics.
- Han Hwa Goh & Kim Leng Tan & Chia Ying Khor & Sew Lai Ng, 2016. "Volatility and Market Risk of Rubber Price in Malaysia: Pre- and Post-Global Financial Crisis," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 14(2), pages 323-344, December.
- Gabriel Rodríguez & José Carlos Gonzáles Tanaka, 2016. "An Empirical Application of a Random Level Shifts Model with Time-Varying Probability and Mean Reversion to the Volatility of Latin-American Forex Markets Returns [Una aplicación empírica de un modelo," Documentos de Trabajo / Working Papers 2016-415, Departamento de Economía - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú.
- Shi, Yanlin & Ho, Kin-Yip, 2015. "Modeling high-frequency volatility with three-state FIGARCH models," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 473-483.
- Junior A. Ojeda Cunya & Gabriel Rodríguez, 2016.
"An application of a random level shifts model to the volatility of Peruvian stock and exchange rate returns,"
Macroeconomics and Finance in Emerging Market Economies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 9(1), pages 34-55, March.
- Junior Ojeda & Gabriel Rodriguez, 2014. "An Application of a Random Level Shifts Model to the Volatility of Peruvian Stock and Exchange Rates Returns," Documentos de Trabajo / Working Papers 2014-383, Departamento de Economía - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú.
More about this item
Keywords
Long memory; FIEGARCH; Structural break; Foreign Exchange Market; Africa;
All these keywords.JEL classification:
- C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
- G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
Statistics
Access and download statisticsCorrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:jecfin:v:48:y:2024:i:2:d:10.1007_s12197-024-09668-9. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.