IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/endesu/v23y2021i6d10.1007_s10668-020-01022-3.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Multi-objective optimization modelling for analysing sustainable development goals of Nigeria: Agenda 2030

Author

Listed:
  • Umar Muhammad Modibbo

    (Aligarh Muslim University
    Modibbo Adama University of Technology)

  • Irfan Ali

    (Aligarh Muslim University)

  • Aquil Ahmed

    (Aligarh Muslim University)

Abstract

Sustainability of developmental goals remains the significant challenges for every nation in the world. In an environment of flexibility coupled with multiple and conflicting objectives on social economic, energy and environmental issues, a fuzzy goal programming approach proves to be suitable in helping policymakers for attaining their aspirational goals as it takes imprecise information into account. In this study, we proposed a multi-objective goal programming model to analyse the socio-economic, environmental and energy sector of Nigeria. The sectors relating to the gross domestic product, electricity consumption, employment and greenhouse gases emissions are regarded as the key sustainable development goals (SDGs) for the year 2030, upon which all other goals depend on directly or indirectly. We considered four scenarios based on decision-makers' value judgments using the analytic hierarchy process (AHP). Moreover, we have developed a weighted fuzzy goal programming model for the SDGs incorporating the AHP. The model reveals that individual goals are achievable at 81, 83, and 89 per cents, respectively, while the overall achievement function indicated only 73 per cent achievement is possible. The optimal employment for the various economic sectors is also computed at various tolerance values and presented alongside Pareto objective values. The results yielded an economic justification mathematically and provided insight for critical and future strategic planning towards achieving sustainable economic policies. The models can be replicated in the context of other nations in addressing long-term socio-economic planning and indispensable requirements for renewable sources inclusion to satisfy future energy demand economically without environmental damages.

Suggested Citation

  • Umar Muhammad Modibbo & Irfan Ali & Aquil Ahmed, 2021. "Multi-objective optimization modelling for analysing sustainable development goals of Nigeria: Agenda 2030," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 23(6), pages 9529-9563, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:endesu:v:23:y:2021:i:6:d:10.1007_s10668-020-01022-3
    DOI: 10.1007/s10668-020-01022-3
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10668-020-01022-3
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s10668-020-01022-3?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Belaid Aouni & Fouad Ben Abdelaziz & Davide La Torre, 2012. "The stochastic goal programming model: Theory and applications," Post-Print hal-00778729, HAL.
    2. Cinzia Colapinto & Raja Jayaraman & Simone Marsiglio, 2017. "Multi-criteria decision analysis with goal programming in engineering, management and social sciences: a state-of-the art review," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 251(1), pages 7-40, April.
    3. Shahbaz, Muhammad & Lean, Hooi Hooi, 2012. "Does financial development increase energy consumption? The role of industrialization and urbanization in Tunisia," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 473-479.
    4. A. Charnes & W. W. Cooper & R. O. Ferguson, 1955. "Optimal Estimation of Executive Compensation by Linear Programming," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 1(2), pages 138-151, January.
    5. Srikant Gupta & Armin Fügenschuh & Irfan Ali, 2018. "A Multi-Criteria Goal Programming Model to Analyze the Sustainable Goals of India," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(3), pages 1-19, March.
    6. Aouni, Belaid & Ben Abdelaziz, Foued & Martel, Jean-Marc, 2005. "Decision-maker's preferences modeling in the stochastic goal programming," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 162(3), pages 610-618, May.
    7. Aouni, Belaid & Kettani, Ossama, 2001. "Goal programming model: A glorious history and a promising future," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 133(2), pages 225-231, January.
    8. Aouni, Belaid & Colapinto, Cinzia & La Torre, Davide, 2014. "Financial portfolio management through the goal programming model: Current state-of-the-art," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 234(2), pages 536-545.
    9. Gujba, H. & Mulugetta, Y. & Azapagic, A., 2013. "Passenger transport in Nigeria: Environmental and economic analysis with policy recommendations," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 353-361.
    10. Rita Vasconcellos Oliveira, 2018. "Back to the Future: The Potential of Intergenerational Justice for the Achievement of the Sustainable Development Goals," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(2), pages 1-16, February.
    11. Raja Jayaraman & Cinzia Colapinto & Danilo Liuzzi & Davide Torre, 2017. "Planning sustainable development through a scenario-based stochastic goal programming model," Operational Research, Springer, vol. 17(3), pages 789-805, October.
    12. Mohammad Asim Nomani & Irfan Ali & Armin Fügenschuh & Aquil Ahmed, 2017. "A fuzzy goal programming approach to analyse sustainable development goals of India," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(7), pages 443-447, April.
    13. Jayaraman, Raja & Colapinto, Cinzia & Torre, Davide La & Malik, Tufail, 2015. "Multi-criteria model for sustainable development using goal programming applied to the United Arab Emirates," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 447-454.
    14. Borges, Ana Rosa & Antunes, Carlos Henggeler, 2003. "A fuzzy multiple objective decision support model for energy-economy planning," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 145(2), pages 304-316, March.
    15. Kaygusuz, Kamil, 2012. "Energy for sustainable development: A case of developing countries," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 16(2), pages 1116-1126.
    16. Yılmaz Balaman, Şebnem & Selim, Hasan, 2014. "A fuzzy multiobjective linear programming model for design and management of anaerobic digestion based bioenergy supply chains," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 928-940.
    17. Sokona, Youba & Mulugetta, Yacob & Gujba, Haruna, 2012. "Widening energy access in Africa: Towards energy transition," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 47(S1), pages 3-10.
    18. Dylan Jones & Mehrdad Tamiz, 2010. "Practical Goal Programming," International Series in Operations Research and Management Science, Springer, edition 1, number 978-1-4419-5771-9, April.
    19. Aliyu, Abubakar Sadiq & Ramli, Ahmad Termizi & Saleh, Muneer Aziz, 2013. "Nigeria electricity crisis: Power generation capacity expansion and environmental ramifications," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 354-367.
    20. Raja Jayaraman & Danilo Liuzzi & Cinzia Colapinto & Tufail Malik, 2017. "A fuzzy goal programming model to analyze energy, environmental and sustainability goals of the United Arab Emirates," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 251(1), pages 255-270, April.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Ahteshamul Haq & Umar Muhammad Modibbo & Aquil Ahmed & Irfan Ali, 2022. "Mathematical modeling of sustainable development goals of India agenda 2030: a Neutrosophic programming approach," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 24(10), pages 11991-12018, October.
    2. A. Reyana & Sandeep Kautish & Khalid Abdulaziz Alnowibet & Hossam M. Zawbaa & Ali Wagdy Mohamed, 2023. "Opportunities of IoT in Fog Computing for High Fault Tolerance and Sustainable Energy Optimization," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(11), pages 1-14, May.
    3. Mohammad Faisal Khan & Asif Pervez & Umar Muhammad Modibbo & Jahangir Chauhan & Irfan Ali, 2021. "Flexible Fuzzy Goal Programming Approach in Optimal Mix of Power Generation for Socio-Economic Sustainability: A Case Study," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(15), pages 1-27, July.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Jayaraman, Raja & Colapinto, Cinzia & Torre, Davide La & Malik, Tufail, 2015. "Multi-criteria model for sustainable development using goal programming applied to the United Arab Emirates," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 447-454.
    2. Cinzia Colapinto & Raja Jayaraman & Simone Marsiglio, 2017. "Multi-criteria decision analysis with goal programming in engineering, management and social sciences: a state-of-the art review," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 251(1), pages 7-40, April.
    3. Irfan Ali & Umar Muhammad Modibbo & Jahangir Chauhan & Maryam Meraj, 2021. "An integrated multi-objective optimization modelling for sustainable development goals of India," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 23(3), pages 3811-3831, March.
    4. Salem Nechi & Belaid Aouni & Zouhair Mrabet, 2020. "Managing sustainable development through goal programming model and satisfaction functions," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 293(2), pages 747-766, October.
    5. Raja Jayaraman & Cinzia Colapinto & Danilo Liuzzi & Davide Torre, 2017. "Planning sustainable development through a scenario-based stochastic goal programming model," Operational Research, Springer, vol. 17(3), pages 789-805, October.
    6. Srikant Gupta & Armin Fügenschuh & Irfan Ali, 2018. "A Multi-Criteria Goal Programming Model to Analyze the Sustainable Goals of India," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(3), pages 1-19, March.
    7. Cinzia Colapinto & Raja Jayaraman & Fouad Ben Abdelaziz & Davide La Torre, 2020. "Environmental sustainability and multifaceted development: multi-criteria decision models with applications," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 293(2), pages 405-432, October.
    8. Danilo Liuzzi & Veronica Lupi & Aymeric Vié, 2022. "Sustainability, cooperation and mobility of workers within and between European countries: a two-stage goal programming model," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 311(2), pages 749-769, April.
    9. Raja Jayaraman & Danilo Liuzzi & Cinzia Colapinto & Tufail Malik, 2017. "A fuzzy goal programming model to analyze energy, environmental and sustainability goals of the United Arab Emirates," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 251(1), pages 255-270, April.
    10. Jayaraman, Raja & Colapinto, Cinzia & La Torre, Davide & Malik, Tufail, 2017. "A Weighted Goal Programming model for planning sustainable development applied to Gulf Cooperation Council Countries," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 185(P2), pages 1931-1939.
    11. Jang Ho Kim & Yongjae Lee & Woo Chang Kim & Frank J. Fabozzi, 2022. "Goal-based investing based on multi-stage robust portfolio optimization," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 313(2), pages 1141-1158, June.
    12. Ahteshamul Haq & Umar Muhammad Modibbo & Aquil Ahmed & Irfan Ali, 2022. "Mathematical modeling of sustainable development goals of India agenda 2030: a Neutrosophic programming approach," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 24(10), pages 11991-12018, October.
    13. Hocine, Amine, 2018. "Meta goal programing approach for solving multi-criteria de Novo programing problemAuthor-Name: Zhuang, Zheng-Yun," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 265(1), pages 228-238.
    14. Alireza Azimian & Belaid Aouni, 2017. "Supply chain management through the stochastic goal programming model," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 251(1), pages 351-365, April.
    15. Bilbao-Terol, Amelia & Arenas-Parra, Mar & Cañal-Fernández, Verónica, 2016. "A model based on Copula Theory for sustainable and social responsible investments," Revista de Contabilidad - Spanish Accounting Review, Elsevier, vol. 19(1), pages 55-76.
    16. David Kik & Matthias Gerhard Wichmann & Thomas Stefan Spengler, 2022. "Decision support framework for the regional facility location and development planning problem," Journal of Business Economics, Springer, vol. 92(1), pages 115-157, January.
    17. Belaid AOUNI & Cinzia COLAPINTO & Davide LA TORRE, 2008. "Solving stochastic multi-objective programming through the GP model," Departmental Working Papers 2008-18, Department of Economics, Management and Quantitative Methods at Università degli Studi di Milano.
    18. Cinzia Colapinto & Danilo Liuzzi & Simone Marsiglio, 2017. "Sustainability and intertemporal equity: a multicriteria approach," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 251(1), pages 271-284, April.
    19. Zheng-Yun Zhuang & Chi-Kit Ho & Paul Juinn Bing Tan & Jia-Ming Ying & Jin-Hua Chen, 2020. "The Optimal Setting of A/B Exam Papers without Item Pools: A Hybrid Approach of IRT and BGP," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(8), pages 1-29, August.
    20. Aouni, Belaid & Colapinto, Cinzia & La Torre, Davide, 2014. "Financial portfolio management through the goal programming model: Current state-of-the-art," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 234(2), pages 536-545.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:endesu:v:23:y:2021:i:6:d:10.1007_s10668-020-01022-3. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.